A selection of new climate related research articles is shown below.
Mankind
Assessing the Impacts of Extreme Agricultural Droughts in China Under Climate and Socioeconomic Changes (open access)
"Our simulations project a rise of 2.5~3.3% in average rice, maize, and wheat productivity before 2050 but decrease thereafter if climate warming continues."
Climate change adaptation strategies and food productivity in Nepal: a counterfactual analysis
"Based on a survey of 720 farming households in Nepal, our results show that adoption of adaptation strategies has significantly increased food productivity. Among the adaptation strategies, soil and water management are shown to have the largest impact on food productivity followed by adjustments to the timing of farm operations and crop and varietal adjustment."
Adaptation to climate change at local level in Europe: An overview
The changing sensitivity of power systems to meteorological drivers: a case study of Great Britain (open access)
Interpreting nonlinear semi-elasticities in reduced-form climate damage estimation
Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots (open access)
Evaluating climate change adaptation efforts on the US 50 states’ hazard mitigation plans
Differences between low-end and high-end climate change impacts in Europe across multiple sectors (open access)
"For example, for the 2080s, mitigation consistent with the Paris Agreement would reduce aggregate Europe-wide impacts on the area of intensive agriculture by 21% (on average across climate models), on the area of managed forests by 34%, on water stress by 14%, on people flooded by 10% and on biodiversity vulnerability by 16%."
Biosphere
Phytoplankton Do Not Produce Carbon?Rich Organic Matter in High CO2 Oceans
How training citizen scientists affects the accuracy and precision of phenological data
Plant cuticle under global change: Biophysical implications
Ecological genomics predicts climate vulnerability in an endangered southwestern songbird
Explaining European fungal fruiting phenology with climate variability
Spring phenology at different altitudes is becoming more uniform under global warming in Europe
Global importance of large?diameter trees
Other impacts
Energy production
Clean vehicles as an enabler for a clean electricity grid (open access)
Changes in European wind energy generation potential within a 1.5 °C warmer world (open access)
Climate, air quality and human health benefits of various solar photovoltaic deployment scenarios in China in 2030 (open access)
Climate Policy
Research on carbon market price mechanism and influencing factors: a literature review
Regional Climate Change Policy Under Positive Feedbacks and Strategic Interactions
Temperature, precipitation, wind
Identification and analysis of recent temporal temperature trends for Dehradun, Uttarakhand, India
Preceding winter La Niña reduces Indian summer monsoon rainfall (open access)
Potential impact of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming on consecutive dry and wet days over West Africa (open access)
Global Character of Latent Heat Release in Oceanic Warm Rain Systems
Reduced Urban Heat Island intensity under warmer conditions (open access)
Extreme events
Risks from climate extremes change differently from 1.5°C to 2.0°C depending on rarity (open access)
A comprehensive flash flood defense system in China: overview, achievements, and outlook
Future heat waves and surface ozone (open access)
Cloud Feedback Key to Marine Heatwave off Baja California
Forcings and feedbacks
Observations of Local Positive Low Cloud Feedback Patterns and Their Role in Internal Variability and Climate Sensitivity (open access)
"Objective analysis of two long?term satellite cloud fraction data sets together with observed sea surface temperature (SST) during the same periods suggest strong patterned SST?low cloud fraction feedback. Internal modes of variability, the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, emerge from this analysis, and associated with these SST variability modes are corresponding low cloud fraction patterns that suggest a strong and positive local low cloud feedback to the SST anomalies. Such SST?LCC feedback is important for both internal variability and future climate change. We find that such feedback is too weak in current models, which implies stronger than expected future latent warming and possibly higher climate sensitivity."
Decadal evolution of the surface energy budget during the fast warming and global warming hiatus periods in the ERA-interim (open access)
The Combined Influence of Observed Southern Ocean Clouds and Sea Ice on Top?of?Atmosphere Albedo
Feedback mechanisms of shallow convective clouds in a warmer climate as demonstrated by changes in buoyancy (open access)
Global distribution of aerosol optical depth in 2015 using CALIPSO level 3 data
Improved Global Net Surface Heat Flux
Attribution of Local Temperature Response to Deforestation
Cryosphere
Impacts of extratropical storm tracks on Arctic sea ice export through Fram Strait
Intense Winter Surface Melt on an Antarctic Ice Shelf (open access)
"The station recorded temperatures well above the melting point even in winter. The occurrence of winter melt is confirmed by satellite images and by thermometers buried in the snow, which measured a warming of the snow even at 3 m depth. Between 2014 and 2017, about 23% of all melt in Cabinet Inlet occurred in winter. Winter melt is due to warm winds that descend from the mountains, known as föhn. We have not seen the amount of winter melt increasing since 2000. However, we expect winter melt to happen more frequently if greenhouse gas continues to accumulate in the atmosphere."
Topographic Steering of Enhanced Ice Flow at the Bottleneck Between East and West Antarctica (open access)
Bedrock Erosion Surfaces Record Former East Antarctic Ice Sheet Extent (open access)
Hydrosphere
Future hydroclimatological changes in South America based on an ensemble of regional climate models
Atmospheric and oceanic circulation
Underestimated AMOC Variability and Implications for AMV and Predictability in CMIP Models
Coherent Circulation Changes in the Deep North Atlantic from 16°N and 26°N Transport Arrays (open access)
Ocean circulation drifts in multi-millennial climate simulations: the role of salinity corrections and climate feedbacks (open access)
The Sensitivity of Future Ocean Oxygen to Changes in Ocean Circulation
Carbon cycle
Climate Sensitivity Controls Uncertainty in Future Terrestrial Carbon Sink
The Ephemeral Signature of Permafrost Carbon in an Arctic Fluvial Network
Dominant regions and drivers of the variability of the global land carbon sink across timescales
Plant Regrowth as a Driver of Recent Enhancement of Terrestrial CO2 Uptake
"Here using multiple terrestrial biosphere models, we demonstrate that despite a large contribution from CO2 fertilization, the enhanced CO2 uptake in the 2000s cannot be fully explained without an increasing uptake by land use change, in particular, plant regrowth. The regrowth effect is most pronounced in North America, Europe, and temperate Eurasia, and they account for 94% of the global total CO2 uptake enhancement by plant regrowth. The strengthening trends in both CO2 fertilization and plant regrowth suggest that the deceleration of the atmospheric CO2 increase continues in the future."
Characterizing biospheric carbon balance using CO2 observations from the OCO-2 satellite (open access)
Palaeoclimatology
Where is the 1-million-year-old ice at Dome A? (open access)
Random and externally controlled occurrences of Dansgaard–Oeschger events (open access)
Posted by Ari Jokimäki on Friday, 25 May, 2018
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