Sea Ice Prediction

Comparison of observed September minimum Arctic sea ice extent through 2008 (red line) with IPCC AR4 model projections.  The solid black line shows the mean of the 13 models, and dashed black lines show the range of the model results.  Arctic sea ice is melting much faster than predicted by climate models.  (Source: Copenhagen Diagnosis, 2009)

Note: A version of this graphic without the added text can be found here.

SkS Resources that use this Graphic

• Ice Isn't Melting
• How the IPCC is More Likely to Underestimate the Climate Response
• How Reliable are Climate Models?
• Ice-Free Arctic
• Climate Scientists Erring on the Side of Least Drama
• How Do Climate Models Work?
• The Physical Realities of Global Warming
• In pictures: cutting edge climate science, communication, and kittens from the 2013 AGU conference

Images

• High resolution JPEG (1024 pixels wide)

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