A selection of new climate related research articles is shown below.
The graph is from paper #80.
1. Observed warming over northern South America has an anthropogenic origin
"Results indicate that the recently observed warming in the dry seasons is well beyond the range of natural (internal) variability. In the wet season the natural modes of variability explain a substantial portion of Tmin and Tmax variability. We demonstrate that the large-scale component of greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing is detectable in dry-seasonal warming. However, none of the global and regional climate change projections reproduce the observed warming of up to 0.6 K/Decade in Tmax in 1983–2012 over northern SA during the austral spring (SON). Thus, besides the global manifestation of GHG forcing, other external drivers have an imprint."
2. Observed changes in temperature extremes over Asia and their attribution
"We determined that the warming trend was inconsistent with the natural variability of the climate system but agreed with climate responses to external forcing as simulated by the models. The anthropogenic and natural signals could be detected and separated from each other in the region for almost all indices, indicating the robustness of the warming signal as well as the attribution of warming to external causes."
3. Reduced cooling following future volcanic eruptions
"Using earth system model simulations we find that the eruption-induced cooling is significantly weaker in the future state. This is predominantly due to an increase in planetary albedo caused by increased tropospheric aerosol loading with a contribution from associated changes in cloud properties."
4. The 2015 drought in Washington State: a harbinger of things to come?
"In contrast to most historical droughts, which have been driven by precipitation deficits, our results suggest that 2015 is a useful analog of typical conditions in the Pacific Northwest by the mid-21st century."
"Long-term trends (1948–2011 and 1959–2001) in both simulations show a strong increase of intense tropical cyclone activity. This contrasts with pronounced multidecadal variations found in observations."
6. Role of the North Atlantic Oscillation in decadal temperature trends
10. Impacts of Tropical North Atlantic SST on Western North Pacific Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
11. Extreme multi-basin flooding linked with extra-tropical cyclones
13. Global land surface temperature from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers
17. Assessment of climate change trends over the Loess Plateau in China from 1901 to 2100
19. Dark ice dynamics of the south-west Greenland Ice Sheet
21. Observationally constrained surface mass balance of Larsen C ice shelf, Antarctica
22. On the sensitivity of Antarctic sea ice model biases to atmospheric forcing uncertainties
23. Submesoscale Sea Ice-Ocean Interactions in Marginal Ice Zones
25. On the relationship between Atlantic Niño variability and ocean dynamics
27. Systematic Errors in Weather and Climate Models: Nature, Origins, and Way Forward
29. Origin of the warm eastern tropical Atlantic SST bias in a climate model
30. Rainfall Characteristics of Recurving Tropical Cyclones Over the Western North Pacific
33. Attribution and mitigation of heat wave-induced urban heat storage change
35. Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities
37. Future changes in climate extremes over Equatorial East Africa based on CMIP5 multimodel ensemble
39. Denitrification, dehydration and ozone loss during the 2015/2016 Arctic winter
41. Uncertain recovery of the North Atlantic right whale in a changing ocean
"Contrary to previous predictions, the right whale population is projected to recover in the future as long as prey availability and mortality rates remain within the ranges observed during 1980–2012. However, recent events indicate a northward range shift in right whale prey, potentially resulting in decreased prey availability and/or an expansion of right whale habitat into unprotected waters. An annual increase in the number of whale deaths comparable to that observed during the summer 2017 mass mortality event may cause a decline to extinction even under conditions of normal prey availability."
"We also used a recent series of flooding events in Yalong Bay, southern China, to test the robustness of mangroves to sea level changes in relation to their genetic diversity. The events resulted in the death of half of the mangrove trees in this area. Significantly, less genetically diverse mangrove species suffered much greater destruction. The dieback was accompanied by a drastic reduction in local invertebrate biodiversity. We thus predict that tropical coastal communities will be seriously endangered as the global sea level rises."
43. Observed long-term greening of alpine vegetation—a case study in the French Alps
"The timing of accelerated greening prior to 2000 coincided with a pronounced increase in the amount of snow-free growing degree-days that occurred during the 1980s and 1990s. In the case of grasslands and low-shrub habitats, we did not find evidence for a negative effect of grazing on greening trends, possibly due to the low grazing intensity typically found in the study area. We propose that the emergence of a longer and warmer growing season enabled high-elevation plant communities to produce more biomass, and also allowed for plant colonization of habitats previously characterized by long-lasting snow cover."
44. Vulnerability of Coral Reefs to Bioerosion From Land-Based Sources of Pollution
"Our results show that eutrophication of reef seawater by land-based sources of pollution can magnify the effects of OA through nutrient driven-bioerosion. These conditions could contribute to the collapse of coastal coral reef ecosystems sooner than current projections predict based only on ocean acidification."
49. Glacial melt content of water use in the tropical Andes
50. Criminological Perspectives on Climate Change, Violence and Ecocide
51. Empowerment, climate change adaptation, and agricultural production: evidence from Niger
54. Might climate change the “healthy migrant” effect?
55. The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture: Findings from Households in Vietnam
58. Warming and top predator loss drive ecosystem multifunctionality
59. Climate mediates the success of migration strategies in a marine predator
61. Vapor-pressure deficit and extreme climatic variables limit tree growth
64. Household installation of solar panels – Motives and barriers in a 10-year perspective
"Highlights
"Electricity intensity (kWh m−3) will increase in arid regions of the state due to shifts to alternative water sources such as indirect potable water reuse, desalination, and water transfers. In wetter, typically less populated, regions, reduced water demand for electricity-intensive supplies will decrease the electricity intensity of the water supply mix, though total electricity consumption will increase due to urban population growth."
"It takes about 10 years before snow deposition in the higher ablation zone starts to affect the position of the glacier snout. For the case of modest warming, the difference in glacier length between the snow and no-snow experiments becomes 400 to 500 m within two decades."
68. Bayesian versus politically motivated reasoning in human perception of climate anomalies
70. A Climate for Art: Enhancing Scientist-Citizen Collaboration In Bangladesh
74. Global consequences of afforestation and bioenergy cultivation on ecosystem service indicators
75. Impact of biofuels on contrail warming
76. Spatial-temporal characteristics of aerosol loading over the Yangtze River Basin during 2001–2015
"There is no significant AOD trend over most areas of the Yangtze River Basin during 2001–2015, while strong decreasing trends are found over most of the middle and lower Yangtze Basin during 2011–2015. These decreasing trends may relate to changes in annual precipitation, wind speed, and air-pollution control policies."
77. North Atlantic influence on Holocene flooding in the southern Greater Caucasus
79. Is there 1.5-million-year-old ice near Dome C, Antarctica?
80. Reconstructing Northeastern United States temperatures using Atlantic white cedar tree rings
81. Designing the Climate Observing System of the Future
Posted by Ari Jokimäki on Friday, 10 November, 2017
 |
The Skeptical Science website by Skeptical Science is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. |