Skeptical Science New Research for Week #51, 2021

122 articles in 90 journals by 735 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

Interpreting Observed Temperature Probability Distributions Using a Relationship between Temperature and Temperature Advection
Linz & Chen Journal of Climate
Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0920.1

An assessment of radiative impacts of CO2 on baroclinic instability using idealized life cycles
Kaviani et al. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Observations of climate change, effects

Emerging Trends in Arctic Solar Absorption
Sledd & L’Ecuyer Geophysical Research Letters

Variations in the probability distribution function of air temperature anomalies in winter and summer from 1961 to 2016 over China
Wu et al. International Journal of Climatology

Temperature extremes and circulation types in the Czech Republic, 1961–2020
Zahradní?ek et al. International Journal of Climatology

Variations in Eurasian surface air temperature over multiple timescales and their possible causes
Qiao et al. International Journal of Climatology

Historical trend of probable maximum precipitation in Utah and associated weather types
Gu et al. International Journal of Climatology

Tibetan dust accumulation linked to ecological and landscape response to global climate change
Huang et al. Geophysical Research Letters

(provisional link) Central equatorial Pacific warming and freshening in the 20th century: insights from a coral ensemble approach

Evidence of elevation-dependent warming from the Chinese Tian Shan
Gao et al. The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-15-5765-2021

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, contributors, effects

Quantifying and reducing researcher subjectivity in the generation of climate indices from documentary sources
Adamson et al.
Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-2021-167

Deep Argo reveals bottom water properties and pathways in the Australian-Antarctic Basin
Foppert et al. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

Detection of Climate Transitions and Discontinuities by Hurst Rescaling
Legates & Outcalt International Journal of Climatology

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

Climate Model Projections for Canada: A Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6
Sobie et al. Atmosphere-Ocean
Open Access pdf 10.1080/07055900.2021.2011103

Comparison of elevation-dependent warming and its drivers in the tropical and subtropical Andes
Toledo et al. Climate Dynamics
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-021-06081-4

The response of the East Asian summer rainfall to more extreme El Niño events in future climate scenarios
Veiga & Yuan Atmospheric Research

Influence of retreating Barents–Kara sea ice on the periodicity of El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Heo et al. International Journal of Climatology

(provisional link) Meteorological Influences on Anthropogenic PM2.5 in Future Climates: Species Level Analysis in the Community Earth System Model v2

Extreme Tropical Precipitation Clusters show strong increases in frequency under Global Warming in CMIP6 modessls
Dulguerov et al. Geophysical Research Letters

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection GCMA

(provisional link) What contributes to the inter-annual variability in tropical lower stratospheric temperatures?

Evaluation of Soil Moisture in CMIP6 Simulations
Qiao et al. Journal of Climate

Precipitation–temperature relationships over Europe in CORDEX regional climate models
Lhotka & Kyselý International Journal of Climatology

Identifying and correcting biases in localized downscaling estimates of daily precipitation return values
Risser et al. Climatic Change
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-021-03265-z

(provisional link) Object-based evaluation of precipitation systems in convection-permitting regional climate simulation over eastern China

Review article: Parameterizations of snow-related physical processes in land surface models
Lee et al.
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-2021-319

Cryosphere & climate change

Suppression of Arctic Sea Ice Growth in the Eurasian–Pacific Seas by Winter Clouds and Snowfall
Lim et al. Journal of Climate

Review article: Existing and potential evidence for Holocene grounding-line retreat and readvance in Antarctica
Johnson et al.
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-2021-360

Parker Ice Tongue collapse, Antarctica, triggered by loss of stabilizing land-fast sea ice
Gomez?Fell et al. Geophysical Research Letters

Surface mass balance controlled by local surface slope in inland Antarctica: implications for ice-sheet mass balance and Oldest Ice delineation in Dome Fuji
Van Liefferinge et al. Geophysical Research Letters

Impact of the melt–albedo feedback on the future evolution of the Greenland Ice Sheet with PISM-dEBM-simple
Zeitz et al. The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-15-5739-2021

Uncertainties in mass balance estimation of the Antarctic Ice Sheet using the input and output method
Lin & Liu Liu
Open Access 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-5589

(provisional link) Accelerated mass loss of Himalayan glaciers since the Little Ice AgeAccelerated mass loss of Himalayan glaciers since the Little Ice Age

Observing, Measuring, and Assessing the Consequences of Snow Drought
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-20-0243.1

Sea level & climate change

Coastal Landfills and Rising Sea Levels: A Challenge for the 21st Century
Nicholls et al. Frontiers in Marine Science Coastal Management 2019
Open Access pdf 10.3389/fmars.2021.710342

Brief communication: A roadmap towards credible projections of ice sheet contribution to sea level
Aschwanden et al. The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-15-5705-2021

The Antarctic contribution to 21st century sea-level rise predicted by the UK Earth System Model with an interactive ice sheet
Siahaan et al.
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-2021-371


Paleohydrological context for recent floods and droughts in the Fraser River Basin, British Columbia, Canada
Brice et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3daf

The blue suns of 1831: was the eruption of Ferdinandea, near Sicily, one of the largest volcanic climate forcing events of the nineteenth century?
Garrison et al. Climate of the Past
Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-17-2607-2021

Applying climwin to dendrochronology: A breakthrough in the analyses of tree responses to environmental variability
Rubio-Cuadrado et al. Dendrochronologia

Little Ice Age abruptly triggered by intrusion of Atlantic waters into the Nordic Seas
Lapointe & Bradley Science Advances
Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.abi8230

Biology & climate change

Compound hot temperature and high chlorophyll extreme events in global lakes
Woolway et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3d5a

Nutrient pathways and their susceptibility to past and future change in the Eurasian Arctic Ocean
Tuerena et al. Ambio
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-021-01673-0

Marine sponges in the once and future ocean
Mills & Sperling Xue Global Change Biology Biomolecular Engineering
Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16053

High CO2 expands where plants can grow in CESM-CLM4-CNDV
Kowalczyk & Lee Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

Ecosystem response through a resilience lens: do differences in the Illinois river over 150 y indicate regime shifts?
DeBoer et al. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences

Detecting climate signals in populations across life histories
Jenouvrier et al. Global Change Biology
Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16041

Decadal trend of plankton community change and habitat shoaling in the Arctic gateway recorded by planktonic foraminifera
Greco et al. Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1101/2021.08.26.457757

Protected area characteristics that help waterbirds respond to climate warming
Gaget et al. Conservation Biology

Phenological mismatches between above- and belowground plant responses to climate warming
Liu et al. Nature Climate Change

Climate-Driven Tree Mortality and Fuel Aridity Increase Wildfire's Potential Heat Flux
Goodwin et al. Geophysical Research Letters

Exploring Populus phenological response to climate change using observational data and ecosystem modelling
Svystun & Jönsson Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108766

High resilience of carbon transport in long-term drought stressed mature Norway spruce trees within two weeks after drought release
Hikino et al. Global Change Biology

Non-stationary and interactive effects of climate and competition on pink salmon productivity
Ohlberger et al. Global Change Biology

Stepping stones towards Antarctica: Switch to southern spawning grounds explains an abrupt range shift in krill
Atkinson et al. Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16009

Ocean warming and acidification degrade shoaling performance and lateralization of novel tropical–temperate fish shoals
Mitchell et al. Global Change Biology

Understanding and managing the interactive impacts of growth in urban land use and climate change on freshwater biota: A case study using the platypus (Ornithorhynchus anatinus)
Coleman et al. Global Change Biology

Correction to: Forecasting intraspecific changes in distribution of a wide-ranging marine predator under climate change
Niella et al. Oecologia
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00442-021-05092-6

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

Estimated regional CO2 flux and uncertainty based on an ensemble of atmospheric CO2 inversions
Chandra et al.
Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-1039

Dynamics of the Swedish forest carbon pool between 2010 and 2015 estimated from satellite L-band SAR observations
Santoro et al. Remote Sensing of Environment

Carbon accumulation rates of Holocene peatlands in central–eastern Europe document the driving role of human impact over the past 4000 years
Longman et al. Climate of the Past
Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-17-2633-2021

Summer surface CO2 dynamics on the Bering Sea and eastern Chukchi Sea shelves from 1989 to 2019
Wang et al. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

Aerosol–light interactions reduce the carbon budget imbalance
O'Sullivan et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3b77

Assessment of the importance of increasing temperature and decreasing soil moisture on global ecosystem productivity using solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence
Dang et al. Global Change Biology

Contrasting biophysical controls on carbon dioxide and methane outgassing from streams
Rovelli et al. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences

Increasing river alkalinity slows ocean acidification in the northern Gulf of Mexico
Gomez et al. Geophysical Research Letters

Evaluating alternative ebullition models for predicting peatland methane emission and its pathways via data-model fusion
Ma et al.
Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-2021-316

Response to concerns regarding the role of Antarctic blue carbon habitats in a global context
Zwerschke et al. Global Change Biology

Can carbon storage in West Antarctic fjords have an impact on climate change, following glacier retreat?
Ross Hunter Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16047

Ecoregion-wide, multi-sensor biomass mapping highlights a major underestimation of dry forests carbon stocks
Pötzschner et al. Remote Sensing of Environment

(provisional link) Measurement report: Source apportionment of carbonaceous aerosol using dual-carbon isotopes (13C and 14C) and levoglucosan in three northern Chinese cities during 2018–2019

(provisional link) Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic related to lockdown measures on tropospheric NO2 columns over Île-de-France

Downscaling CMIP6 Global Solutions to Regional Ocean Carbon Model: Connecting the Mississippi, Gulf of Mexico, and Global Ocean
Zhang & Xue Xue
Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-2021-339

Observational constraints on methane emissions from Polish coal mines using a ground-based remote sensing network
Luther et al.
Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-978

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

Editorial: Hydrogenation of CO2 in the absence of noble metals
Pan et al. Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology

Investigating climate tipping points under various emission reduction and carbon capture scenarios with a stochastic climate model
Mendez & Farazmand Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
Open Access pdf 10.1098/rspa.2021.0697


Effects of perceived social norms on support for renewable energy transition: Moderation by national culture and environmental risks
Chan et al. Journal of Environmental Psychology

Assessing the rapidly-emerging landscape of net zero targets
Hale et al. Climate Policy

The prospects for decarbonisation in the context of reported resources and energy policy goals: The case of Poland
Malec Energy Policy

Converting oil wells to geothermal resources: Roadmaps and roadblocks for energy transformation
Nadkarni et al. Energy Policy

Major US electric utility climate pledges have the potential to collectively reduce power sector emissions by one-third
Godlevskaya et al. One Earth
Open Access pdf 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.11.008

Black carbon

Contribution of coal combustion to black carbon: Coupling tracers with the aethalometer model
Blanco-Alegre et al. Atmospheric Research


The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth system models
Zhang et al. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-570

Anthropogenic aerosol effects on tropospheric circulation and sea surface temperature (1980–2020): separating the role of zonally asymmetric forcings
Diao et al. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-407

Climate change communications & cognition

Enhancing environmental resource sustainability by imagining oneself in the future
Engle-Friedman et al. Journal of Environmental Psychology

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

Commercial fishery disturbance of the global ocean biological carbon sink
Cavan & Hill Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16019

Do rice varieties matter? Climate change adaptation and livelihood diversification among rural smallholder households in the Mekong Delta region of Vietnam
Ho et al. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11027-021-09978-x

Wildlife impacts and changing climate pose compounding threats to human food security
Salerno et al. Current Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1016/j.cub.2021.08.074

Hydrology & climate change

Mean states and future projections of precipitation over the monsoon transitional zone in China in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models
Piao et al. Climatic Change
Open Access 10.1007/s10584-021-03286-8

Will anthropogenic warming increase Evapotranspiration? Examining Irrigation Water Demand Implications of Climate Change in California
Vahmani et al. Earth's Future
Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10506985.1

Increasing cloud water resource in a warming world
Cheng et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3db0

Stable isotopes in global lakes integrate catchment and climatic controls on evaporation
Vystavna et al. Nature Communications
Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-021-27569-x

Climate change economics

Stranded Assets: How Policy Uncertainty affects Capital, Growth, and the Environment
Bretschger & Soretz Soretz Environmental and Resource Economics SSRN Electronic Journal
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10640-021-00632-3

Fiscal decentralization and public budgets for energy RD&D: A race to the bottom?
Kassouri Energy Policy

Monetising behavioural change as a policy measure to support energy management in the residential sector: A case study in Greece
Koasidis et al. Energy Policy
Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112759

The effect of EPU, trade policy, and financial regulation on CO2 emissions in the United States: evidence from wavelet coherence and frequency domain causality techniques
Kirikkaleli & Alola Carbon Management

Does Transfer Payments Promote Low-Carbon Development of Resource-Exhausted Cities in China?
Li & Wang Earth's Future
Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021ef002339

Averaging or multi-year accounting? Environmental integrity implications for using international carbon markets in the context of single-year targets
Chen et al. Climate Policy
Open Access 10.1167/tvst.5.1.1

Are tenants willing to pay for energy efficiency? Evidence from a small-scale spatial analysis in Germany
März et al. Energy Policy

Climate change mitigation public policy research

The Glasgow leaders’ declaration on forests and land use: Significance toward “Net Zero”
Nasi Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16039

Achieving consensus in multilateral international negotiations: The case study of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change
Bernardo et al. Science Advances
Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.abg8068

Addressing climate services in SouthAmerican Chaco region through a knowledge coproduction process
Hernández et al. Global Environmental Change

Demand vs supply-side approaches to mitigation: What final energy demand assumptions are made to meet 1.5 and 2 °C targets?
Scott et al. Global Environmental Change
Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102448

The electricity- and CO2-saving potentials offered by regulation of European video-streaming services
Madlener et al. Energy Policy SSRN Electronic Journal
Open Access pdf 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112716

Factors promoting business strategies, activities, and long-term commitment for climate change mitigation: a survey of Japanese enterprises
Hori et al. Climate Policy

Trend towards virtual and hybrid conferences may be an effective climate change mitigation strategy
Tao et al. Nature Communications
Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-021-27251-2

Unpacking democracy: The effects of different democratic qualities on climate change performance over time
Selseng et al. Environmental Science & Policy
Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2021.12.009

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

The myth of urban poor climate adaptation idiosyncrasy
Cobbinah et al. Environmental Science & Policy

Digital technologies can enhance global climate resilience of critical infrastructure
Argyroudis et al. Climate Risk Management
Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100387

Heat vulnerability and adaptation of low-income households in Germany
Osberghaus & Abeling Global Environmental Change

Private adaptation to climate risks: Evidence from the world’s largest mining companies
Gustafsson et al. Climate Risk Management
Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100386

Public support for climate adaptation aid and migrants: a conjoint experiment in Japan
Uji et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3b7b

Intersectional climate justice: A conceptual pathway for bridging adaptation planning, transformative action, and social equity
Amorim-Maia et al. Urban Climate
Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2021.101053

Climate change impacts on human health

Associations between 8 Earth Observation-derived climate variables and enteropathogen infection: An Independent Participant Data Meta-Analysis of surveillance studies with broad spectrum nucleic acid diagnostics
Colston et al. GeoHealth
Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021gh000452

Physiological costs of undocumented human migration across the southern United States border
Campbell-Staton et al. Science

Environmental factors in declining human fertility
Skakkebæk et al. Nature Reviews Endocrinology

Climate change impacts on human culture

Projecting armed conflict risk in Africa towards 2050 along the SSP-RCP scenarios: a machine learning approach
Hoch et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3db2

Societal implications of a changing Arctic Ocean
Huntington et al. Ambio
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-021-01601-2

The social dynamics in establishing complex community climate change initiatives: the case of a community fridge in Scotland
Carmen et al. Sustainability Science
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11625-021-01075-x


Concentration-Discharge Patterns Across the Gulf of Alaska Reveal Geomorphological and Glacierization Controls on Stream Water Solute Generation and Export
Jenckes et al. Geophysical Research Letters
Open Access 10.1029/2021gl095152

Large-scale Afforestation over the Loess Plateau in China Contributes to the Local Warming Trend
Tian et al. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

Contrasting drivers of belowground nitrogen cycling in a montane grassland exposed to a multifactorial global change experiment with elevated CO2, warming and drought
Maxwell et al. Global Change Biology

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

Fiscal decentralization and public budgets for energy RD&D: A race to the bottom?
Kassouri Energy Policy

The Glasgow leaders’ declaration on forests and land use: Significance toward “Net Zero”
Nasi Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16039

The meaning of net zero and how to get it right
Fankhauser et al. Nature Climate Change
Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-021-01245-w

Brief communication: A roadmap towards credible projections of ice sheet contribution to sea level
Aschwanden et al. The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-15-5705-2021

Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

Consumer Activism on Global Warming (pdf), Leiserowitz et al., Yale Program on Climate Change Communication

"Drawing on a nationally representative survey (n = 1,006), this report describes Americans’ willingness to engage in consumer activism to reduce global warming. The survey was conducted from September 10 – 20, 2021. 33% of Americans say they have rewarded companies that are taking steps to reduce global warming by buying their products in the past 12 months, and 28% say they have punished companies that are opposing steps to reduce global warming by not buying their products. 41% of Americans say that, over the next 12 months, they intend to reward companies that are taking steps to reduce global warming more frequently than they do now; the same percentage (41%) say they intend to punish companies that are opposing steps to reduce global warming more frequently than they do now."

Principles for Climate-Related Financial Risk Management for Large Banks (pdf), Staff, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency

"The draft Principles are designed to support the identification and management of climate-related financial risks by OCC-supervised banks with more than $100 billion in total consolidated assets. The principles are intended to support banks’ efforts to focus on key aspects of climate-related financial risk management and provide a high-level framework for climate-related financial risk management consistent with existing OCC rules and guidance. The OCC is seeking feedback on all aspects of these draft principles. It will use this feedback to inform any future guidance on climate-related financial risk."

12 Insights on Hydrogen (pdf), Gniewomir Flis and Matthias Deutsch, Agora Energiewende and Agora Industry

"There is an emerging consensus that the role of hydrogen for climate neutrality is crucial but secondary to direct electrification. By 2050, carbon-free hydrogen or hydrogen-based fuels will supply roughly one fifth of final energy worldwide, with much of the rest supplied by renewable electricity. Everyone agrees that the priority uses for hydrogen are to decarbonise industry, shipping and aviation, and firming a renewable-based power system. Therefore, we should anchor a hydrogen infrastructure around no-regret industrial, port and power system demand. Gas distribution grids need to prepare for a disruptive end to their business model, because netzero scenarios see very limited hydrogen in buildings. To stay on track for 1.5C, Europe needs to reduce consumption of natural gas in buildings by 42 percent over the next decade, as per the EU Impact Assessment. Similarly, land-based hydrogen mobility will remain a niche application. Any low-pressure gas distribution grids that survive will be close to ports, where refuelling and storage infrastructure could provide an impetus for the decarbonisation of the maritime and aviation sectors."


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How is New Research assembled?

Most articles appearing here are found via  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance. 

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The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:

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The section "Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives" includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of "perspectives," observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.

What does "(provisional link)" mean?

When the input list for New Research is processed, some articles do not produce a result from the journal databases we employ. Usually this is because the publisher has not yet supplied information to for the given article. In these cases and in order to still include timely listing of articles, we employ an alternate search tactic. While this method is usually correct, sometimes the link shown will lead to an incorrect destination (available time does not always permit manual checking of these). We invite readers to submit corrections in comments below.

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Posted by Doug Bostrom on Thursday, 23 December, 2021

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