The academic publishing process is notoriously stately. Events in the rest of the world happen at their own swift pace as a given article makes its way through the publication pipeline. In the case of Russian climate scepticism: an understudied case, authors Teresa Ashe & Marianna Poberezhskaya submitted their work in April of last year, in what is beginning to seem like a different geopolitical era. Meanwhile, our species must simultaneously keep many balls in the air; our attention has many genuine demands. It would be a genuine shame if these authors' unique contribution was overlooked in the hurly-burly.
Publishing in Climatic Change as part of a topical collection, Ashe & Poberezhskaya review and draw together the relatively sparse literature on climate skepticism in Russia. The local context leads to stark differences from what many of us in the United States may find famiilar, but also a few similarities. Self-appointed "think tanks" of the kind so enthusiastically built and crafted for pushing agendas in the United States are almost absent, made unnecessary by a tight interlock between large energy enterprises and the Russian government. On the other hand, repurposed physicists in both countries have played key roles in fostering public ignorance by relying on their special authority to offer advice on things of which they're ignorant. NGOs operate at their peril; a change in the mood of government is potentially quite dangerous.
Leaving aside the local idiosyncrasies of Russia's grasp of anthropogenic climate change, because it strikes many comparisons between Russia and the US needing supporting citations this paper can serve as a mini-education about climate skepticism in both countries. Beyond that, it's of course encouraging to see how a state so heavily dependent on fossil fuels still has a very substantial population amenable to facts.
Rapid fragmentation of Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf. Acceleration of an ice shelf ending in 2006 created an injury and scar that is now becoming apparent, two decades after the original insult began. The mechanism joins two other major contributors hastening the demise of this ice shelf.
Microplastics have light-absorbing ability to enhance cryospheric melting. It appears that we may be attacking subaerial ice (glaciers, ice sheets, sea ice) with mutually reinforcing multiple weapons. The authors point out that according to what we know of physics, microplastics should certainly be having negative effects on ice— but confirmation needs field work.
Fast Action on Short-lived Climate Pollutants and Nature-based Solutions to Help Countries Meet Carbon Neutrality Goals Researchers calculate that by paying attention to a number of small and more easily pulled levers of climate control, we can partially ameliorate our extremely tardy grappling with the main problem behind climate change, effectively buy back some preicious time we've wasted. This time is priced quite cheaply.
Environmental trade-offs of direct air capture technologies in climate change mitigation toward 2100. Authors find that direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS) is now more or less a mandatory requirement. DACCS is also not a silver bullet in terrms of material trades needed to make it a reality, and will be eye-poppingly energy intensive in operation (not surprising, given the offending chemistry causing the need for DACCS).
All of the above open access and free to read. Also don't miss our weekly collection of government and NGO reports, here.
Physical science of climate change, effects
Strong ocean/sea-ice contrasts observed in satellite-derived ice crystal number concentrations in Arctic ice boundary-layer clouds
Papakonstantinou?Presvelou et al., Geophysical Research Letters, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022gl098207
Mechanisms of Ocean Heat Uptake along and across Isopycnals
Clément et al., Journal of Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0793.1
Observations of climate change, effects
Recent Increase in the Occurrence of Snow Droughts Followed by Extreme Heatwaves in a Warmer World
Li & Wang, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099925
A century of observed temperature change in the Indian Ocean
Wenegrat et al., , Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10510505.1
Annual Mean Arctic Amplification 1970-2020: Observed and simulated by CMIP6 climate models
Chylek et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099371
North-south differences in under-ice primary production in the Chukchi Sea from 1988 to 2018
Payne et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc018431
Salinity variability modes in the Pacific Ocean from the perspectives of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and global warming
Shi et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2021jc018092
Observational constraint on the contribution of surface albedo feedback to the amplified Tibetan Plateau surface warming
Chen et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2021jd036085
Decrease of Annually Accumulated Tropical Cyclone-Induced Sea Surface Cooling and Diapycnal Mixing in Recent Decades
Zhang et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099290
Extreme weather impacts of climate change: an attribution perspective
Clarke et al., Environmental Research: Climate, Open Access 10.1088/2752-5295/ac6e7d
Evaporative water loss of 1.42 million global lakes
Zhao et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31125-6
Rapid fragmentation of Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf
Benn et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2545-2022
Global decline in frequency
Pathak et al., , Open Access pdf 10.1101/2021.10.24.465613
Climate warming shortens ice durations and alters freeze and break-up patterns in Swedish water bodies
Hallerbäck et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2493-2022
Aircraft observations and reanalysis depictions of trends in the North Atlantic winter jet stream wind speeds and turbulence
Tenenbaum et al., Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 10.1002/qj.4342
Unravelling the long-term, locally heterogenous response of Greenland glaciers observed in archival photography
Cooper et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2449-2022
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, contributors, effects
Experimental investigation for the impact of chlorite dissolution on CO2 mineral trapping in a sandstone-brine-CO2 system
Cheng et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2163
Quantifying the Effect of Climate Change on Midlatitude Subseasonal Prediction Skill Provided by the Tropics
Mayer & Barnes Barnes Barnes, , Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10510819.1
Investigating the cloud radiative effect of Arctic cirrus
Marsing et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-395
A global inventory of quantitative documentary evidence related to climate since the 15th century
Burgdorf, Climate of the Past, Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-18-1407-2022
Contributions of Internal Climate Variability in Driving Global and Ocean Temperature Variations Using Multi-Layer Perceptron Neural Network
Xiao et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2022.06.001
Impacts of active satellite sensors' low-level cloud detection limitations on cloud radiative forcing in the Arctic
Liu, , Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-140
A global ensemble of ocean wave climate statistics from contemporary wave reanalysis and hindcasts
Morim et al., Scientific Data, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41597-022-01459-3
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects
Why has precipitation increased in the last 120 years in Norway?
Konstali & Sorteberg, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2021jd036234
Future Thermodynamic Impacts of Global Warming on Landfalling Typhoons and Their Induced Storm Surges to the Pearl River Delta Region as Inferred from High-Resolution Regional Models
Chen et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0436.1
Lisbon urban heat island in future urban and climate scenarios
Silva et al., Urban Climate, 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101218
Future Thermodynamic Impacts of Global Warming on Landfalling Typhoons and Their Induced Storm Surges to the Pearl River Delta Region as Inferred from High-Resolution Regional Models
Chen et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0436.1
Lisbon urban heat island in future urban and climate scenarios
Silva et al., Urban Climate, 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101218
Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
Combination of decadal predictions and climate projections in time: Challenges and potential solutions
Befort et al., Geophysical Research Letters, Open Access 10.1029/2022gl098568
Cryosphere & climate change
Control of short-stature vegetation type on shallow ground temperatures in permafrost across the eastern Canadian Arctic
Evans et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022jg006941
Synchronous retreat of southeast Greenland’s peripheral glaciers
Liu et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl097756
Climate warming shortens ice durations and alters freeze and break-up patterns in Swedish water bodies
Hallerbäck et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2493-2022
Unravelling the long-term, locally heterogenous response of Greenland glaciers observed in archival photography
Cooper et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2449-2022
The circum-Antarctic ice-shelves respond to a more positive Southern Annular Mode with regionally varied melting
Verfaillie et al., Communications Earth & Environment, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-022-00458-x
Observations of submesoscale eddy-driven heat transport at an ice shelf calving front
Friedrichs et al., Communications Earth & Environment, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-022-00460-3
Warm surface waters increase Antarctic ice shelf melt and delay dense water formation
Aoki et al., Communications Earth & Environment, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-022-00456-z
Sea level & climate change
Migration and transformation of coastal wetlands in response to rising seas
Osland et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.abo5174
Sea level rise drives carbon and habitat loss in the U.S. mid-Atlantic coastal zone
Warnell et al., PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000044
Revisiting sea-level budget by considering all potential impact factors for global mean sea-level change estimation
Wang et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-14173-2
Paleoclimate
Episodes of early Pleistocene West Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat recorded by Iceberg Alley sediments
Bailey et al., Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 10.1029/2022pa004433
One-to-one Coupling between Southern Ocean Productivity and Antarctica Climate
Lu et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl098761
Impact of iron fertilisation on atmospheric CO2 during the last glaciation
Saini et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-2022-46
Impact of terrestrial biosphere on the atmospheric CO2 concentration across Termination V
Hes et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-2021-143
The warm winter paradox in the Pliocene northern high latitudes
Tindall et al., Climate of the Past, Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-18-1385-2022
Biology & climate change, related geochemistry
Assessment of the impacts of an unprecedented heatwave on intertidal shellfish of the Salish Sea
Raymond et al., Ecology, 10.1002/ecy.3798
Experimental warming reduces body mass but not reproductive investment
Lackey & Whiteman, Ecology, 10.1002/ecy.3791
Projected Increases in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Productivity Loss Caused by Drought Under Climate Change
Cao et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2022ef002681
Range shifts of overwintering birds depend on habitat type, snow conditions and habitat specialization
Bosco et al., , Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1170896/v1
Benthic Carbon Remineralization and Iron Cycling in Relation to Sea Ice Cover Along the Eastern Continental Shelf of the Antarctic Peninsula
Baloza et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2021jc018401
Anthropogenic Carbon Increase has Caused Critical Shifts in Aragonite Saturation Across a Sensitive Coastal System
Jarníková et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2021gb007024
Ecosystems at glacier margins can serve as climate-change laboratories
Gaglioti et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl098574
Topographic and vegetation drivers of thermal heterogeneity along the boreal–grassland transition zone in western Canada: Implications for climate change refugia
Estevo et al., Ecology and Evolution, 10.1002/ece3.9008
Increased Global Vegetation Productivity Despite Rising Atmospheric Dryness Over the Last Two Decades
Song et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002634
Land-use change shifts and magnifies seasonal variations of the decomposer system in lowland tropical landscapes
Krashevska et al., Ecology and Evolution, 10.1002/ece3.9020
Forecasting the combined effects of future climate and land use change on the suitable habitat of Davidia involucrata Baill
Tang & Zhao, Ecology and Evolution, 10.1002/ece3.9023
Growth and development of an invasive forest insect under current and future projected temperature regimes
Walter et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.9017
Human-climate coupled changes in vegetation community complexity of China since 1980s
Su et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002553
Global change re-structures alpine plant communities through interacting abiotic and biotic effects
Collins et al., Ecology Letters, 10.1111/ele.14060
Long-distance facilitation of coastal ecosystem structure and resilience
Wang et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 10.1073/pnas.2123274119
Climate warming–driven phenological shifts are species-specific in woody plants: evidence from twig experiment in Kashmir Himalaya
Hassan et al., International Journal of Biometeorology, 10.1007/s00484-022-02317-y
Body size responses to the combined effects of climate and land use changes within an urban framework
Martin & Sheridan , Global Change Biology, Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16292
Future Directions to Manage Wildlife Health in a Changing Climate
Hofmeister et al., EcoHealth, 10.1007/s10393-022-01604-9
Trading water for carbon in the future: effects of elevated CO2 and warming on leaf hydraulic traits in a semiarid grassland
Mueller et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16314
Birds adapted to cold conditions show greater changes in range size related to past climatic oscillations than temperate birds
Carrera et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-14972-7
Impact of freshwater runoff from the southwest Greenland Ice Sheet on fjord productivity since the late 19th century
Oksman et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2471-2022
Grazing and global change factors differentially affect biodiversity-ecosystem functioning relationships in grassland ecosystems
He et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16305
Projected climate change impact on a coastal sea-as significant as all current pressures combined
Wåhlström et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16312
New tree-level temperature response curves document sensitivity of tree growth to high temperatures across a US-wide climatic gradient
Gantois, Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16313
GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry
Long-term drought aggravates instability of alpine grassland productivity to extreme climatic event
He et al., Ecology, 10.1002/ecy.3792
Global pattern of soil priming effect intensity and its environmental drivers
Mo et al., Ecology, 10.1002/ecy.3790
Global Estimates of Biogenic Methane Production in Marine Sediments Using Machine Learning and Deterministic Modeling
Lee et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021gb007248
Carbon dioxide and methane dynamics in a peatland headwater stream: Origins, processes and implications
Taillardat et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg006855
Deepening the Late Quaternary’s deep ocean carbon mysteries
Farmer, Geophysical Research Letters, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022gl099161
Carbonate parameter estimation and its application in revealing temporal and spatial variation in the South and Mid-Atlantic Bight, USA
Li et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc018811
Plankton Imagery Data Inform Satellite-Based Estimates of Diatom Carbon
Chase et al., Geophysical Research Letters, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022gl098076
Groundwater discharge as a driver of methane emissions from Arctic lakes
Olid et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31219-1
Towards monitoring CO2 source-sink distribution over India via inverse modelling: Quantifying the fine-scale spatiotemporal variability of atmospheric CO2 mole fraction
Thilakan et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-392
High peatland methane emissions following permafrost thaw: enhanced acetoclastic methanogenesis during early successional stages
Heffernan et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-3051-2022
Substantial non-growing season CO2 loss across Tibetan alpine permafrost region
Li et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16315
Tree crown damage and its effects on forest carbon cycling in a tropical forest
Needham et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16318
Younger carbon dominates global soil carbon efflux
Xiao et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16311
Greenhouse gas emissions from African lakes are no longer a blind spot
Borges et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.abi8716
Predicting China’s carbon intensity through 2050: an integrated analysis method
Xu et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2081117
Impact of interannual and multidecadal trends on methane-climate feedbacks and sensitivity
Cheng & Redfern, Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31345-w
Decomposing driving forces of carbon emission variation-A structural decomposition analysis of Japan
Li et al., Earth's Future, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021ef002639
CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering
Experimental investigation for the impact of chlorite dissolution on CO2 mineral trapping in a sandstone-brine-CO2 system
Cheng et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2163
Analysis of mathematical modeling methods in the processes of underground injection, storage, and conversion of carbon dioxide
Klimov & Zakirov, Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2162
Insights into the interaction between typical amines and alkaline minerals for improved CO2 absorption and mineralization
Ji et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2164
Removing carbon dioxide: first, do no harm
Buesseler et al., Nature, 10.1038/d41586-022-01774-0
A bacteria-based carbon sequestration and waste recycling system
La et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-14239-1
Environmental trade-offs of direct air capture technologies in climate change mitigation toward 2100
Qiu et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31146-1
Barking up the wrong tree? Can forest expansion help meet climate goals?
Baggio-Compagnucci et al., Environmental Science & Policy, 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.05.011
Post combustion CO2 capture with calcium and lithium hydroxide
Costagliola et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-14235-5
Decarbonization
Heterogenous impacts of components in urban energy metabolism: evidences from gravity model
Tu et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-021-01857-4
Bioclimatic passive design strategies of traditional houses in cold climate regions
Tamaskani Esfehankalateh et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-021-01855-6
Changes in the carbon mitigation responsibility of Japan's capital city, Tokyo – analysis of power supply shocks due to nuclear power plant accidents
Murakami et al., Urban Climate, Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101221
Vanadium for green energy: Increasing demand but with health implications in volcanic terrains
Parnell, GeoHealth, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021gh000579
Composite Cathodes for Solid-State Lithium Batteries: “Catholytes” the Underrated Giants
Al-Salih et al., Advanced Energy and Sustainability Research, 10.1002/aesr.202200032
Strategies to improve building environmental and economic performance: an exploratory study on 37 residential building scenarios
Scherz et al., The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11367-022-02073-6
Integrated analysis of increased bioenergy futures in India
Graham et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113125
Urban and rural household energy transition in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does spatial heterogeneity reveal the direction of the transition?
Emodi et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113118
Cross-cutting scenarios and strategies for designing decarbonization pathways in the transport sector toward carbon neutrality
Zhang & Hanaoka, Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31354-9
Incentive structures for power-to-X and e-fuel pathways for transport in EU and member states
Skov & Schneider, Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113121
Is it safe to live near wind turbines? Reviewing the impacts of wind turbine noise
Karasmanaki, Energy for Sustainable Development, 10.1016/j.esd.2022.05.012
Potential and roadmap of CO2 emission reduction in urban buildings: case study of Shenzhen
Jiang et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2022.06.006
Aerosols
Insect herbivory caused plant stress emissions increases the negative radiative forcing of aerosols
Holopainen et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd036733
Aerosol activation characteristics and prediction at the central European ACTRIS research station Melpitz, Germany
Wang et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-427
A sulfuric acid nucleation potential model for the atmosphere
Johnson & Jen Jen Jen, , Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-35
Climate change communications & cognition
Russian climate scepticism: an understudied case
Ashe & Poberezhskaya, Climatic Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-022-03390-3
Climate action and populism of the left in Ecuador
Kramarz & Kingsbury, Environmental Politics, 10.1080/09644016.2022.2090388
Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change
Implications of changing cropping pattern to low water demand plants due to climate change: evidence from Iran
Mikhak et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-021-01847-6
Determinants of dairy farmers’ likelihood of climate change adaptation in the Thrace Region of Turkey
Koç & Uzmay, Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-021-01850-x
Depth-dependent responses of soil organic carbon stock under annual and perennial cropping systems
Chen et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2203486119
Millet and sorghum yield simulations under climate change scenarios in Senegal
Faye et al., Regional Environmental Change, 10.1007/s10113-022-01940-0
Effects of climate change in European croplands and grasslands: productivity, greenhouse gas balance and soil carbon storage
Carozzi et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-3021-2022
Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change
Spatiotemporal characteristics of US floods: Current status and forecast under a future warmer climate
Li et al., Earth's Future, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022ef002700
Projected effects of temperature and precipitation variability change on streamflow patterns using a functional flows approach
Patterson et al., Earth's Future, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021ef002631
The timing of unprecedented hydrological drought under climate change
Satoh et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-30729-2
Projected climate change impacts on groundwater recharge in the Urucuia Aquifer System, Brazil
Pereira et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7773
Regional extreme precipitation index: Evaluations and projections from the multi-model ensemble CMIP5 over Thailand
Rojpratak & Supharatid, Weather and Climate Extremes, Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100475
Development of an ensemble Bayesian inference-based copula approach for bivariate risk evaluation of extreme precipitation under climate change
Sun et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7768
Climate change economics
Governing trade: a cross-national study of governance, trade, and CO2 emissions
Hargrove et al., Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 10.1007/s13412-022-00772-y
Managing vulnerability in the Green Climate Fund
Bertilsson, Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2022.2081118
Climate change mitigation public policy research
Country specific low carbon commitments versus equitable and practical company specific decarbonisation targets
Immink et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-021-01854-7
Spatiotemporal development of land use systems, influences and climate variability in Southwestern Ghana (1970–2020)
Sarfo et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-021-01848-5
Multi-scale politics in climate change: the mismatch of authority and capability in federalizing Nepal
Khatri et al., Climate Policy, Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2022.2090891
When does the structural power of business fade? assessing business privileged access at global climate negotiations
Hanegraaff, Environmental Politics, Open Access pdf 10.1080/09644016.2022.2087353
Paris climate agreement and global environmental efficiency: New evidence from fuzzy regression discontinuity design
Salman et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113128
Governing trade: a cross-national study of governance, trade, and CO2 emissions
Hargrove et al., Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 10.1007/s13412-022-00772-y
Cost-effective reduction of fossil energy use in the European transport sector: An assessment of the Fit for 55 Package
Ovaere & Proost, Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113085
Policy instruments matter: Support schemes for renewable energy capacity in worldwide comparison
Barnea et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113093
Assessing barriers to the internationalization of China’s certified emission reductions (CCERs): a Delphi survey
Wei & Xiao, Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2022.2090892
Fast Action on Short-lived Climate Pollutants and Nature-based Solutions to Help Countries Meet Carbon Neutrality Goals
Sun et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2022.06.003
Climate pledges versus commitment: Are policy actions of Middle-East and North African countries consistent with their emissions targets?
Abudu et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2022.06.004
Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research
The role of indigenous knowledge in climate change adaptation in Africa
Leal Filho et al., Environmental Science & Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.06.004
Assessing household perception, autonomous adaptation and economic value of adaptation benefits: Evidence from West Coast of Peninsular Malaysia Ehsan et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2022.06.002
Targeting climate adaptation to safeguard and advance the Sustainable Development Goals
Fuldauer et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31202-w
Urban planning in Swiss cities has been slow to think about climate change: why and what to do?
Desthieux & Joerin, Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13412-022-00767-9
Climate change impacts on human health
Heat stress in the Caribbean: climatology, drivers, and trends of human biometeorology indices
Di Napoli et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7774
Association of ambient extreme heat with pediatric morbidity: a scoping review
Uibel et al., International Journal of Biometeorology, 10.1007/s00484-022-02310-5
Climate change & geopolitics
Attitudes towards climate migrants in Aotearoa New Zealand: the roles of climate change beliefs and immigration attitudes
Yates et al., Regional Environmental Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-01942-y
Other
Multidecadal Water Mass Dynamics on the West Greenland Shelf
Mortensen et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc018724
Fake news, real risks: How online discussion and sources of fact-check influence public risk perceptions toward nuclear energy
Ho et al., Risk Analysis, 10.1111/risa.13980
Extreme nitrate deficits in the western Arctic Ocean: Origin, decadal changes, and implications for denitrification on a polar marginal shelf
Zhuang et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2022gb007304
Increasing Frequency of Mid-Depth Salinity Maximum Intrusions in the Middle Atlantic Bight
Gawarkiewicz et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021jc018233
Millions of digitized historical sea-level pressure observations rediscovered
Hawkins et al., Geoscience Data Journal, 10.1002/gdj3.163
Microplastics have light-absorbing ability to enhance cryospheric melting
Yu-Lan et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2022.06.005
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
Quantifying risks avoided by limiting global warming to 1.5 or 2 °C above pre-industrial levels
Warren et al., Climatic Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-021-03277-9
Removing carbon dioxide: first, do no harm
Buesseler et al., Nature, 10.1038/d41586-022-01774-0
The drivers and the implications of marine heatwaves
Carey, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 10.1073/pnas.2209393119
Defending Renewable Energy Against Local Opposition in Ohio and New York, Matthew Eisenson, Sabin Center for Climate Change Law
To avoid the worst impacts of climate change, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has found that, by 2030, the world needs to be installing four times more wind and solar energy per year than the record-breaking levels set in 2020. This will require an immense mobilization of resources. Reaching the target for solar energy alone requires “installing the world’s current largest solar park roughly every day” by 2030. In the United States, local opposition to renewable energy projects is creating additional obstacles to achieving these ambitious targets. This month, the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law, in conjunction with the law firm Arnold & Porter LLP and Ohio attorney Trent A. Dougherty, filed two amicus briefs as part of the Renewable Energy Legal Defense Initiative (RELDI) supporting projects and policy.
Gallinas-Las Dispensas Prescribed Fire Declared Wildfire Review, Matthew Eisenson, U.S. Forest Service
The Gallinas Watershed Prescribed Fire, Las Dispensas Unit, is located on the Santa Fe National Forest Pecos-Las Vegas Ranger District in New Mexico. Test fire ignitions began the morning of April 6, 2022. The test fire was determined successful at 12:34, and ignitions continued. The prescribed fire was declared a wildfire (Hermit’s Peak Fire) about four hours later. The review team found that the personnel assigned to the Las Dispensas Prescribed Fire followed their approved prescribed fire plan. There was confidence they were within the approved prescription limits, and they had a plan to suppress the fire and cease ignitions if the prescription parameters were exceeded. However, a post-prescribed fire analysis of fuel and weather revealed that the implementation was occurring under much drier conditions than were recognized. Persistent drought limited overwinter precipitation, less than average snowpack, fine fuel accumulation—post mechanical treatment, and increased heavy fuel loading after fireline preparation all contributed to increasing the risk of fire escape.
New Generation. Building a clean European electricity system by 2035., Rosslowe et al., Ember
The authors explore the least-cost pathways to a clean power system in Europe, compatible with the Paris Agreement climate goals (1.5C). Detailed, country-by-country, hour-by-hour power system modelling confirms the feasibility of almost completely decarbonizing Europe’s power sector by 2035, while expanding the electricity supply. Key metrics are quantified in order to benchmark progress, while accounting for a range of uncertainties. Crucially, the costs of competing routes are assessed, including the costs of developing the power system according to current plans. The authors summarize the results of three modelled pathways for the European power sector. The Stated Policy pathway is aligned with stated national policies until 2035. The other two pathways – Technology Driven and System Change – are computed to minimize cost while remaining within a carbon budget compatible with the Paris Agreement climate goals. The latter two pathways expand clean electrification but differ in their assumptions about available technologies and the levels of energy savings resulting from societal change.
World Energy Investment 2022, International Energy Agency
The report provides a full update on the investment picture in 2021 and full-year estimates of the outlook for 2022. It examines how investors are assessing risks and opportunities across all areas of fuel and electricity supply, critical minerals, efficiency and research and development, against a backdrop of uncertainties over how events will play out in 2022, namely the ongoing war in Ukraine, the outlook for the global economy, and in some countries the continuing public health risks from the pandemic. The report focuses on some important features of the new investment landscape which are already visible, including the energy security lens through which many investments are now viewed, widespread cost pressures, the major boost in revenues that high fuel prices are bringing to traditional suppliers, and burgeoning expectations in many countries that investments will be aligned with solutions to the climate crisis.
Methane Gas Leaks. Frequent leaks are resulting in death, injury and other damage to our health and environment., Dutzik et al., NCPIRG Education Fund, Environment North Carolina and Frontier Group
Methane gas, often known as natural gas, has heated the homes of many Americans for over a century – and for over a century, it has been prone to leaks, putting communities and the environment in danger. With growing awareness of the impact of methane leaks on the climate, and with growing availability of safer alternatives, it is clear that gas has no place in a modern clean energy network. Gas leaks and pipeline incidents are common and put public health and safety at risk. A gas pipeline incident occurs somewhere in the U.S. approximately every 40 hours. Gas leaks contribute to global warming.
The Road Ahead. Toward a Net-Zero-Carbon Transportation. Future Findings and Impact | FY15–FY21., U.S. Department of Energy
The urgent need to decarbonize our transportation system—switching from petroleum-based fuels to cleaner, more sustainable energy sources—has become ever more apparent. While the nation is moving to rapidly boost production of electric vehicles, the transportation of goods and people will still rely heavily on gasoline and diesel fuel for decades to come. In just a few short years, breakthroughs from the recently completed U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Co-Optimization of Fuels & Engines (Co-Optima) initiative could improve cars’ fuel economy by 10% for today’s turbocharged engines and as much as 14% more for advanced engines using multiple combustion modes, compared to a 2015 baseline. At the same time, new bio-based fuel components could produce at least 60% fewer greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions than those generated by petroleum-based fuels for all on-road vehicles. The report summarizes approaches, findings, and potential impacts of the landmark Co-Optima research. For example, combined with other technology advancements already underway, Co-Optima breakthroughs can help improve fuel economy by 10% or more for light-duty vehicles; trim engine-out criteria pollutant emissions by as much as 99% for medium-duty and heavy-duty engines; and supply new fuel components with greenhouse gas emissions 60% lower than petroleum fuels for all cars and trucks.
Climate Change made devastating early heat in India and Pakistan 30 times more likely, Zachariah et al., World Weather Attribution Initiative
The 2022 heatwave is estimated to have led to at least 90 deaths across India and Pakistan, and to have triggered an extreme glacial lake outburst flood in northern Pakistan and forest fires in India. The heat reduced India’s wheat crop yields, causing the government to reverse an earlier plan to supplement the global wheat supply that has been affected by the war in Ukraine. In India, a shortage of coal led to power outages that limited access to cooling, compounding health impacts and forcing millions of people to use coping mechanisms such as limiting activity to the early morning and evening. Gridded observations that correspond well to station data and capture India and Pakistan are comparably short starting in 1979. The exact return period of such a rare event is thus highly uncertain and depends on the length of the data as well as the fitted distribution. When combining information of the shorter dataset with a dataset that only covers India but for a longer time span starting in 1951 the authors estimate the return period to be around 100 years in today’s climate of 1.2C global warming. The authors thus use 1 in 100 years, as the event definition for the attribution study. To increase the data available and determine the role of climate change in the observed changes the authors combine observations with 20 climate models, and conclude that human-caused climate change made this heatwave hotter and more likely. Because of climate change, the probability of an event such as that in 2022 has increased by a factor of about 30. The same event would have been about 1C cooler in a preindustrial climate.
Application Guide for the 2022 Sea Level Rise Technical Report, Collini et al., U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
The recently released Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States: Updated Mean Projections and Extreme Water Level Probabilities Along U.S. Coastlines (available here) provides the best available scientific insights regarding how and when sea level is expected to change. However, more accurate and sophisticated science does not directly translate into improved adaptation outcomes. The application guide is a first-of-its-kind effort to bridge this gap. The authors’ goal is to move from information to knowledge, with a focus on empowering those practitioners who must apply this science to decision-making.
U.S. Methane Emissions from Fossil Fuels at Risk of Worsening In 2022, Extending 2021 Trend, Kayrros
Methane emissions from some of the most prolific U.S. oil, natural gas and coal basins look at risk of significantly increasing in 2022 after bouncing back from Covid lows in 2021. Models were run for select oil, natural gas and coal basins historically associated with high methane emissions, including the Permian and Appalachian basins of the U.S., Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Algeria’s Hassi R’Mel natural gas basin and Turkmenistan. The results provide a comprehensive assessment of emissions from these regions, including both “super-emitters” that can be detected and measured from space as well as smaller leaks that may not register individually on satellite imagery but whose cumulative impact over time is measurable.
International Public Opinion on Climate Change, 2022, Leiserowitz et al., Yale Program on Climate Change Communication and Data for Good at Meta
The report describes climate change beliefs, attitudes, policy preferences, and behaviors among Facebook users in 110 countries, territories, and geographic groups, hereafter referred to as areas. Overall, these 110 areas represent 192 countries and territories worldwide. The survey was conducted from March 25 – April 14, 2022.
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Posted by Doug Bostrom on Thursday, 30 June, 2022
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