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From time to time scientists or groups of scientists pull their heads out of instrumentation, calculation, the general obsessive fascination of focused scientific inquiry and think about what their work means to the wider world. What can come out of this is useful synthesis. Many of the over 100 journals we scan regularly publish moments of bigger picture thinking, these being distinguished from beery bar chatter because even as they seek to form conclusions or suggestions about where we're headed or may want to go as a society, they're grounded in a foundation of scrupulous attention to facts and evidence. There's too much good thinking of this kind to leave unread, yet these musings don't fit the strict definition of research publications. To account for all of this, we've added a section at the bottom of the weekly research roundups titled "Informed opinion and nudges." Some select governmental and NGO whitepapers with roots in solid science may also be found there.
*Apologies to Lebowski
For many years Skeptical Science volunteer Ari Jokimäki published this weekly research review. Of late Ari's been working on updating his massive literature review/compendium of papers investigating a seeming slowdown in warming that was for a time unaccounted for in Earth's energy budget, the so-called "global warming hiatus." The latest version is now published as Global Warming Hiatus papers, version 3.0. Constructing and maintaining this assembly is a massive amount of picky work— hats off to Ari.
Two papers in this month's list are particularly germane to Skeptical Science.
Questioning scientific practice: linking beliefs about scientists, science agencies, and climate change examines public attitudes and beliefs about science and scientific researchers. In plain language, what authors Safford et al identify is quite familiar: when confronted with unassailable facts and evidence, people posing as "skeptics" and pursuing various agendas are forced to abandon actual argument, shifting instead to ad hominem attacks on character. That's not a fair or honestly productive means of discourse, but the authors also identify possible ways of mitigating effects of such tactics. From the abstract:
The climate-change debate in the U.S. has increasingly turned from discussing climate data and scientific consensus to questioning the credibility of scientists. While disinterested unbiased assessment of data is a fundamental norm within the scientific community, it is unclear whether the public believes scientists are objective in their practices or how general views about scientists’ integrity shape acceptance of climate-related scientific claims... Our results suggest that the scientific community may need to expand discussion of the ethics and rigor of their practices when discussing climate change and point to the importance of further sociological investigation of how perceptions of scientists and scientific practices shape climate views.
In Patterns of controversy and consensus in German, Canadian, and US online news on climate change, Tschötsche, Schuck and Wonneberger identify some distinguishing characteristics of style and slant in climate news coverage across national boundaries. Highlights:
Physical science of global warming
On the impact of future climate change on tropopause folds and tropospheric ozone (open access)
Physical observations of global warming and effects
Supraglacial lake drainage at a fast-flowing Greenlandic outlet glacier (open access)
Multi?decadal changes in meteorological drought severity and their drivers in mainland China
Meltwater intrusions reveal mechanisms for rapid submarine melt at a tidewater glacier
Impact of West Antarctic Ice Shelf melting on the Southern Ocean Hydrography (open access)
Changes in temperature extremes on the Tibetan Plateau and their attribution
Modeling global warming & global warming effects
Simulated retreat of Jakobshavn Isbræ during the 21st century (open access)
Do CMIP5 models show El Niño diversity?
Projected Changes in Extreme Precipitation over Eastern Asia in the 21st Century
Projected changes in extreme warm and cold temperatures in China from 1.5°C to 5°C global warming
Humans dealing with our global warming
Patterns of controversy and consensus in German, Canadian, and US online news on climate change
Inequal responses of drylands to radiative forcing geoengineering methods
Thermodynamic Model of CO 2 Deposition in Cold Climates
The link between smallholders’ perception of climatic changes and adaptation in Tanzania
Coastal Louisiana landscape and storm surge evolution: 1850–2110
Climate change impacts on groundwater storage in the Central Valley, California
How can we effectively build capacity to adapt to climate change? Insights from Malawi (open access)
Climate change impacts on groundwater storage in the Central Valley, California
Afforestation for climate change mitigation: Potentials, risks and trade?offs
Determining the Social Cost of Carbon: Under Damage and Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty
Exploring greenhouse gas mitigation strategies for agriculture in Africa: The case of Nigeria
Protecting Antarctic blue carbon: as marine ice retreats can the law fill the gap? (open access)
Cost-benefit analysis to support decarbonization scenario for 2030: A case study in Italy
Biology and global warming
Shift in size of bumblebee queens over the last century
Autonomous adaptation to climate-driven change in marine biodiversity in a global marine hotspot
GHG sources and sinks, flux
Pseudoreplication and greenhouse-gas emissions from rivers (open access)
Tracking emissions in the US electricity system (open access)
Other
Global Warming Hiatus papers, version 3.0
Informed opinion and nudges
Zero Carbon Britain: Rising to the Climate Emergency
The scientific challenge of understanding and estimating climate change (open access)
Joint statement on EPA proposed rule and public availability of data (open access)
Latest climate models confirm need for urgent mitigation
Meeting the looming policy challenge of sea-level change and human migration (open access)
Recalibrating climate prospects
Climate migration myths (open access)
From migration to mobility (open access)
We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. Here's an excellent collection of tips and techniques for obtaining articles, legally.
Please let us know if you're aware of an article you think may be of interest for Skeptical Science research news, or if we've missed something that may be important. Send your input to Skeptical Science via our contact form.
A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.
The previous edition of Skeptical Science New Research may be found here.
Posted by Doug Bostrom on Wednesday, 4 December, 2019
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