97 hours of consensus: caricatures and quotes from 97 scientists by John Cook
For months now, the tropical Pacific Ocean has been flirting with blossoming into a full-fledged El Niño state: Waters off the coast of South America have warmed, a hallmark of the climate phenomenon, but then cooled, only to warm once again. Winds, which normally blow east-to-west have made tentative moves in the other direction, another key criteria, but the bottom line is that the whole El Niño package hasn’t come together.
So, is this El Niño going to happen or not?
“Most likely” is the answer from forecasters with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University, who issue monthly forecasts.
El Nino Watch: 6 Months and Still Counting by Andrea Thompson, Climate Central, Sep 4, 2014
h/t to I Heart Climate Scientists
'Yet, like a young person planning their career, a mayor looking at future demographics or a corporation evolving a business strategy, there also needs to be a long term view of where we want to be fifty years or so down the road.
"That long term vision is ‘climate neutrality’ – ie not putting in more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere than natural processes take out – as soon as possible in the second half of the century.
"There is ample evidence from the UN’s climate science panel that global greenhouse gas emissions have to be zero or near zero by the end of the 21st century if we want to achieve the goal of holding a global temperature rise below 2C."
New York climate summit is a chance to push for long-term climate neutrality by Christiana Figueres and Mario Molina, The Guardian, Sep 4, 2014
The teaser widget for the 97 Hours of Consensus campaign caused a stir in Deniersville this past week. The absurd speculations by a prominent climate denier and his followers are squarely addressed in:
Anthony Watts Hot on the Conspiracy Trail. Serprise, Serprise, Serprise!! by Peter Sinclair, Climate Denieal Crock of the Week
In his ArsTechnica article, Scientific consensus has gotten a bad reputation—and it doesn’t deserve it, John Timmer links to John Cook's Communicating Scientific Consensus posted on the website of The Cultural Cognititon Project at the Yale Law School.
The Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution is dedicated to research and education to advance understanding of the ocean and its interaction with the Earth system, and to communicating this understanding for the benefit of society.
Posted by John Hartz on Sunday, 7 September, 2014
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