With the passage of time our scientific understanding improves. Thanks to the fundamental purpose and scale of the effort, our arc of progress is especially swift and brightly visible in the shape of our (unfortunately) growing collection of IPCC Assessment Reports.
With better vision comes more clarity, sometimes uncomfortably so. As it has emerged (with a synthesis section still to be delivered), the IPCC's most recent assessment report AR6 has been notable for casting what popular media has described as notably bleaker picture of our future climate chances, with language centered more on urgency than in the past. This may seem only a change in mood but the shift in coloration is not based on emotions but rather improved skill and technique. We can see this in an article just published in the EGU journal Climate of The Past: Technical Note: Past and future warming – direct comparison on multi-century timescales, by Kaufman and McKay. The article abstract conveys the gist in preternaturally calm language, given the conclusions:
In 2013, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concluded that Northern Hemisphere temperatures had reached levels unprecedented in at least 1400 years. The 2021 report now sees global mean temperatures rising to levels unprecedented in over 100 000 years. This Technical Note briefly explains the reasons behind this major change. Namely, the new assessment reflects additional global warming that occurred between the two reports and improved paleotemperature reconstructions that extend further back in time. In addition to past and recent warming, the conclusion also considers multi-century future warming, which thereby enables a direct comparison with paleotemperature reconstructions on multi-century time scales.
A New Ocean State After Nuclear War. "Anthropogenic climate change" isn't just about GHGs. There are faster and arguably uglier ways to change the planet other than driving SUVs.
Are We at Risk of Losing the Current Generation of Climate Researchers to Data Science? In this commentary Jain et al. argue that by its nature climate research leads to what might be termed a bottomless pit of computation, distracting and ultimately diverting new research talent. Plausible remedies are suggested.
Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2021. In our gov/ngo section, by IRENA. Good news is appreciated: "The period 2010 to 2021 has witnessed a seismic improvement in the competitiveness of renewables. The global weighted average LCOE of newly commissioned utility-scale solar PV projects declined by 88% between 2010 and 2021, whereas onshore wind fell by 68%, CSP by 68%, and offshore wind by 60%." It gets even better.
Greenhouse gases modulate the strength of millennial-scale subtropical rainfall, consistent with future predictions. Paleoclimate research connects with modeling to help assess our skill with climate projections.
All of the above open access and free to read.
Physical science of climate change, effects
Baroclinic Blocking
Martineau et al., Geophysical Research Letters, Open Access 10.1029/2022gl097791
Diffuse radiation forcing constraints on gross primary productivity and global terrestrial evapotranspiration
Chakraborty et al., [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10510543.1
Methane’s Solar Radiative Forcing
Byrom & Shine Shine, [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10510618.1
The Arctic sea ice-cloud radiative negative feedback in the Barents and Kara Sea region
Fu et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Open Access 10.1007/s00704-022-04137-x
Observations of climate change, effects
Assessment of climate variations in the growing period in Central Europe since the end of eighteenth century
Szyga-Pluta et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-022-04141-1
Barents-Kara sea-ice decline attributed to surface warming in the Gulf Stream
Yamagami et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31117-6
Changes in rainfall patterns in southern Brazil over 1961–2020 period detected by rain gauge data
Martini, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7804
Changes in the Length of the Season with Favorable Environmental Conditions for Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic Basin during the Last 40 Years
Wu & Korty, Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0767.1
Climate change and extreme events are changing the biology of Polar Regions
Robinson, Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16309
Climatology of sea-effect snow in Finland
Olsson et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7801
East–west contrasting changes in Southern Indian Ocean Antarctic Bottom Water salinity over three decades
Choi & Nam, Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-16331-y
From a spatial structure perspective spatial-temporal variation of climate redistribution of China based on the K?ppen–Geiger classification
Guan et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099319
Human Influence on Seasonal Precipitation in Europe
Christidis & Stott, Journal of Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0637.1
Improved complete ensemble empirical mode decompositions with adaptive noise of global, hemispherical and tropical temperature anomalies, 1850–2021
Coleman, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00704-022-04064-x
Influence of Track Change on the Inconsistent Poleward Migration of Typhoon Activity
Guo & Tan, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd036640
More intense, organized deep convection with shrinking tropical ascent regions
Wodzicki & Rapp, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl098615
Pyrogeography across the western Palaearctic: A diversity of fire regimes
Pausas, Global Ecology and Biogeography, 10.1111/geb.13569
Rising ecosystem water demand exacerbates the lengthening of tropical dry seasons
Xu et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31826-y
Surface Heat Transfer Changes over Arctic Land and Sea Connected to Arctic Warming
Kong et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7808
Technical Note: Past and future warming – direct comparison on multi-century timescales
Kaufman & McKay McKay, Climate of the Past, Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-18-911-2022
Tricentennial trends in spring ice break-ups on three rivers in northern Europe
Norrgård & Helama, The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2881-2022
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects
A Nonstationary Standardized Precipitation Index (NSPI) Using Bayesian Splines
Stagge & Sung, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jamc-d-21-0244.1
Continuous measurement of sea ice freeboard with tide gauges and GNSS interferometric reflectometry
Xie, Remote Sensing of Environment, 10.1016/j.rse.2022.113165
Direct use of large-footprint lidar waveforms to estimate aboveground biomass
Ni-Meister et al., Remote Sensing of Environment, 10.1016/j.rse.2022.113147
Mapping an Observation-Based Global Solar Irradiance Climatology across the Conterminous United States
Rupp et al., Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 10.1175/jamc-d-21-0236.1
Radiative closure and cloud effects on the radiation budget based on satellite and shipborne observations during the Arctic summer research cruise, PS106
Barrientos-Velasco et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-22-9313-2022
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects
A multi-algorithm analysis of projected changes to freezing rain over North America in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations
McCray et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd036935
Analysis of tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling in the present and future climate from the suite of CMIP6 models
Kumar et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-022-04136-y
Constrained CMIP6 projections indicate less warming and a slower increase in water availability across Asia
Chai et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31782-7
Contrasting Responses of Hailstorms to Anthropogenic Climate Change in Different Synoptic Weather Systems
Fan et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2022ef002768
Contributions of External Forcing and Internal Climate Variability to Changes in the Summer Surface Air Temperature over East Asia
Zha et al., Journal of Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0577.1
Evaluation of events of extreme temperature change between neighboring days in CMIP6 models over China
Song & Yan Yan, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Open Access 10.1007/s00704-022-04142-0
Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in a Multiresolution Ensemble of Atmosphere-Only and Fully Coupled Global Climate Models
Baker et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0801.1
Future changes in heat wave characteristics and their impacts on the electricity demand in South Korea
Kim et al., Weather and Climate Extremes, Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100485
Influence of global warming and urbanization on regional climate of Megacity: A case study of Chengdu, China
Yuan et al., Urban Climate, Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101227
Interbasin and interhemispheric impacts of a collapsed Atlantic Overturning Circulation
Orihuela-Pinto et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01380-y
Interbasin and interhemispheric impacts of a collapsed Atlantic Overturning Circulation
Orihuela-Pinto et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01380-y
Links between Climate Sensitivity and the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in a Simple General Circulation Model
Davis et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0320.1
More intense, organized deep convection with shrinking tropical ascent regions
Wodzicki & Rapp, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl098615
Projected Changes in Atmospheric Ridges over the Pacific–North American Region Using CMIP6 Models
Loikith et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0794.1
Reduced ENSO Variability due to a Collapsed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Orihuela-Pinto et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0293.1
Strengthened tropical cyclones and higher flood risk under compound effect of climate change and urbanization across China's Greater Bay Area
Deng et al., Urban Climate, 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101224
Strengthening Amplitude and Impact of the Pacific Meridional Mode on ENSO in the Warming Climate Depicted by CMIP6 Models
Fan et al., Journal of Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0683.1
Terrestrial Stilling Projected to Continue in the Northern Hemisphere Mid-Latitudes
Deng et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002448
Transient and Equilibrium Responses of the Atlantic Overturning Circulation to Warming in Coupled Climate Models: The Role of Temperature and Salinity
Bonan et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0912.1
Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
Biases of the Barotropic Atmospheric Circulation Variability in CMIP6 Models
Castanheira & Marques, Journal of Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0581.1
On the representation of atmospheric circulation modes in regional climate models over Western Europe
Ibebuchi, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7807
Regional Earth System Model for CORDEX-South Asia: a comparative assessment of RESM and ESM over the tropical Indian Ocean
Kumar et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7806
Should multivariate bias corrections of climate simulations account for changes of rank correlation over time?
Vrac et al., [journal not provided], 10.1002/essoar.10510318.1
Understanding Controlling Factors of Extratropical Humidity and Clouds with an Idealized General Circulation Model
Frazer & Ming Ming Ming Ming, [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10507645.1
Why do CMIP6 models fail to simulate snow depth in terms of temporal change and high mountain snow of China skillfully?
Zhang et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl098888
Cryosphere & climate change
Contrasted geomorphological and limnological properties of thermokarst lakes formed in buried glacier ice and ice-wedge polygon terrain
Coulombe et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2837-2022
Contribution of ground ice melting to the expansion of Selin Co (lake) on the Tibetan Plateau
Wang et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2745-2022
Mechanisms of landslide destabilization induced by glacier-retreat on Tungnakvíslarjökull area, Iceland
Lacroix et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl098302
Sensitivity of erosion-rate in permafrost landscapes to changing climatic and environmental conditions based on lake sediments from Northwestern Alaska
Shelef et al., Earth's Future, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022ef002779
Sea level & climate change
Coastal sea level monitoring in the Mediterranean and Black seas
Pérez Gómez et al., Ocean Science, Open Access pdf 10.5194/os-18-997-2022
Groundwater Rise and Associated Flooding in Coastal Settlements due to Sea-Level Rise: A Review of Processes and Methods
Bosserelle et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002580
Impacts of sea-level rise on coastal zones of Mauritius: insights following calculation of a coastal vulnerability index
Beeharry et al., Natural Hazards, 10.1007/s11069-022-05378-9
Predicting changes in molluscan spatial distributions in mangrove forests in response to sea level rise
Ma et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access 10.1002/ece3.9033
Sea level rise and the Great Barrier Reef the future implications on reef tidal dynamics
Mawson et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2021jc017823
The influence of the solid Earth on the contribution of marine sections of the Antarctic ice sheet to future sea-level change
Yousefi et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2021gl097525
Paleoclimate
Earth’s Climate History from 4.5 Billion Years to One Minute
Lin & Qian, Atmosphere, 10.1080/07055900.2022.2082914
Greenhouse gases modulate the strength of millennial-scale subtropical rainfall, consistent with future predictions
Guo et al., [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10508390.1
Multi-centennial variability of Yangtze delta growth over the last 2000 years: Interplay of climate and people
Nian et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002461
Physiological control on carbon isotope fractionation in marine phytoplankton
Brandenburg et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-3305-2022
Severe drought conditions in northern East Asia during the early Pliocene caused by weakened Pacific meridional temperature gradient
Zheng et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl098813
Biology & climate change, related geochemistry
A limit on the evolutionary rescue of an Antarctic bacterium from rising temperatures
Toll-Riera et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.abk3511
Air exposure moderates ocean acidification effects during embryonic development of intertidally spawning fish
Frommel et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-16399-6
Climate sensitivity of seasonal radial growth in young stands of Mexican conifers
Pompa-García et al., International Journal of Biometeorology, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00484-022-02312-3
Contrasting growth trends in Nothofagus pumilio upper-elevation forests induced by climate warming in the Southern Andes
Brand et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109083
Contrasting Sea-Ice Algae Blooms in a Changing Arctic Documented by Autonomous Drifting Buoys
Hill et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2021jc017848
Contrasting trends in water use efficiency of the alpine grassland in Tibetan Plateau
Ma & Zhang, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd036919
Coral Reef Exposure to Damaging Tropical Cyclone Waves in a Warming Climate
Dixon et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002600
Decadal abundance patterns in an isolated urban reptile assemblage: Monitoring under a changing climate
How et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.9081
Emerging signals of declining forest resilience under climate change
Forzieri et al., Nature, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41586-022-04959-9
Fitness homeostasis across an experimental water gradient predicts species’ geographic range and climatic breadth
Pearse et al., Ecology, 10.1002/ecy.3827
Forecasting shifts in habitat suitability of three marine predators suggests a rapid decline in inter-specific overlap under future climate change
van Beest et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access 10.1002/ece3.9083
Global warming generates predictable extinctions of warm- and cold-water marine benthic invertebrates via thermal habitat loss
Reddin et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16333
Historical population dynamics of the Adélie penguin in response to atmospheric-ocean circulation patterns at Beaufort Island, Ross Sea, Antarctica
Zheng et al., Global and Planetary Change, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2022.103892
Long-term trends and drought: Spatiotemporal variation in juvenile sex ratios of North American ducks
Ellis et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access 10.1002/ece3.9099
Losses of Tree Cover in California Driven by Increasing Fire Disturbance and Climate Stress
Wang et al., AGU Advances, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021av000654
Low-level nutrient enrichment during thermal stress delays bleaching and ameliorates calcification in three Hawaiian reef coral species
Han et al., PeerJ, Open Access 10.7717/peerj.13707
Marine heatwaves drive recurrent mass mortalities in the Mediterranean Sea
Garrabou et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16301
Marine heatwaves threaten key foraging grounds of sea turtles in Southeast Asian Seas
Konsta et al., Regional Environmental Change, 10.1007/s10113-022-01952-w
Optimal growth temperature of Arctic soil bacterial communities increases under experimental warming
Rijkers et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16342
Parents exposed to warming produce offspring lower in weight and condition
Spinks et al., Ecology and Evolution, 10.1002/ece3.9044
Pervasive alterations to snow-dominated ecosystem functions under climate change
Wieder et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2202393119
Pervasive alterations to snow-dominated ecosystem functions under climate change
Wieder et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2202393119
Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change
Naimi et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16310
Revisiting talus and free-air temperatures after 50 years of change at an American pika (Ochotona princeps) study site in the Southern Rockies
Monk & Ray, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000049
Simulation of the potential distribution of rare and endangered Satyrium species in China under climate change
Ouyang et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.9054
Subsidy accessibility drives asymmetric food web responses
Gutgesell et al., Ecology, Open Access 10.1002/ecy.3817
The rising threat of climate change for arthropods from Earth’s cold regions: Taxonomic rather than native status drives species sensitivity
Renault et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16338
Warming shifts soil microbial communities and tropical tree seedling mortality
Liu & He, Ecology, 10.1002/ecy.3810
GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry
Accelerated mobilization of organic carbon from retrogressive thaw slumps on the northern Taymyr Peninsula
Bernhard et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2819-2022
Assimilation of global satellite leaf area estimates reduces modeled global carbon uptake and energy loss by terrestrial ecosystems
Fox et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg006830
Asymmetric impacts of diurnal warming on vegetation carbon sequestration of marshes in the Qinghai Tibet Plateau
Shen et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2022gb007396
Characteristics and source analysis of greenhouse gas concentration changes at Akedala Station in Central Asia
Zhao et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Open Access 10.1007/s00704-022-04114-4
Climate consequences of hydrogen emissions
Ocko & Hamburg, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-22-9349-2022
Detecting Hot Spots of Methane Flux using Footprint-Weighted Flux Maps
Rey?Sanchez et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg006977
Drivers and trends of global soil microbial carbon over two decades
Patoine et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31833-z
Effects of precipitation seasonal distribution on net ecosystem CO2 exchange over an alpine meadow in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau
Zheng et al., International Journal of Biometeorology, 10.1007/s00484-022-02300-7
Eutrophication reduced the release of dissolved organic carbon from tropical seagrass roots through exudation and decomposition
Jiang et al., Marine Environmental Research, 10.1016/j.marenvres.2022.105703
Fugitive gas migration in the vadose zone at an experimental field site in the Montney shale gas region
Forde et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl098762
Global pattern of ecosystem respiration tendencies and its implications on terrestrial carbon sink potential
Yu et al., Earth's Future, Open Access 10.1029/2022ef002703
High-resolution datasets for global carbonate and silicate rock weathering carbon sinks and their change trends
Xiong et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2022ef002746
Methane and Carbon Dioxide Fluxes in a Temperate Tidal Salt Marsh: Comparisons Between Plot and Ecosystem Measurements
Hill & Vargas, Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg006943
Mismatch of N release from the permafrost and vegetative uptake opens pathways of increasing nitrous oxide emissions in the high Arctic
Lacroix et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16345
Net primary production and ecosystem carbon flux of Brazilian tropical savanna ecosystems from eddy covariance and inventory methods
Vourlitis et al., [journal not provided], 10.1002/essoar.10510005.1
New estimates of Southern Ocean annual net community production revealed by BGC-Argo floats
Su et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2021gl097372
Nitrogen availability determines ecosystem productivity in response to climate warming
Liu et al., Ecology, 10.1002/ecy.3823
Phenological season-dependent temperature effects on soil respiration in a subtropical Pinus massoniana forest
Lei et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109086
Simultaneous measurements of dissolved organic carbon and soil respiration reveal reduced soil carbon loss under nitrogen addition in a montane forest
Wang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg006829
Soil carbon loss in warmed subarctic grasslands is rapid and restricted to topsoil
Verbrigghe et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-3381-2022
Spatial Distributions of Riverine and Marine Dissolved Organic Carbon in the Western Arctic Ocean: Results From the 2018 Korean Expedition
Jung et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2021jc017718
Structure and function of the soil microbiome underlying N2O emissions from global wetlands
Bahram et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-29161-3
The Deep Ocean’s Carbon Exhaust
Chen et al., [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10507757.1
Total and labile pools of organic carbon in relation to soil biological properties under contrasting land-use systems in a dry mountainous region
Sharma et al., Carbon Management, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17583004.2022.2089236
Variability in the Global Ocean Carbon Sink From 1959 to 2020 by Correcting Models With Observations
Bennington et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl098632
Vertical distribution of bacterial community diversity in the Greater Khingan Mountain permafrost region
Li et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.9106
CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering
Potential of Land-Neutral Negative Emissions Through Biochar Sequestration
Werner et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002583
The role of post UK-LGM erosion processes in the long-term storage of buried organic C across Great Britain – A ‘first order' assessment
Tye et al., Earth, Open Access 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104126
Decarbonization
A solar tower fuel plant for the thermochemical production of kerosene from H2O and CO2
Zoller et al., Joule, Open Access pdf 10.1016/j.joule.2022.06.012
An independent analysis of bias sources and variability in wind plant pre-construction energy yield estimation methods
Todd et al., Wind Energy, 10.1002/we.2768
Efficient use of cement and concrete to reduce reliance on supply-side technologies for net-zero emissions
Watari et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31806-2
Hydroelectricity modeling for low-carbon and no-carbon grids: Empirical operational parameters for optimization and dispatch models
Marshall & Grubert, Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002503
Meteorologically-Informed Spatial Planning of European PV Deployment to Reduce Multiday Generation Variability
Mühlemann et al., Earth's Future, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022ef002673
Potential hydropower contribution to mitigate climate risk and build resilience in Africa
Cáceres et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01413-6
Renewable energy sources and unemployment rate: Evidence from the US states
Saboori et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113155
Replacing coal in Georgia's power plants with woody biomass to increase carbon benefit: A mixed integer linear programming model
Masum et al., Journal of Environmental Management, 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115060
Review of global energy trends towards 2040 and recommendations for Iran oil and gas sector
Heidari et al., International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-022-03963-w
Sequential vacuum-evaporated perovskite solar cells with more than 24% efficiency
Li et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.abo7422
Technology characteristics that influence adoption of residential distributed energy resources: Adapting Rogers’ framework
Outcault et al., Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113153
The least cost design of 100 % solar power microgrids in Africa: Sensitivity to meteorological and economic drivers and possibility for simple pre-sizing rules
Chamarande et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, 10.1016/j.esd.2022.07.001
Whose jobs face transition risk in Alberta? Understanding sectoral employment precarity in an oil-rich Canadian province
Scheer et al., Climate Policy, Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2022.2086843
Black carbon
Secondary inorganic aerosol dominated the light absorption enhancement of black carbon aerosol in Wuhan, Central China
Zheng et al., Atmospheric Environment, 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2022.119288
Wildfire Smoke Demonstrates Significant and Predictable Black Carbon Light Absorption Enhancements
Lee et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099334
Aerosols
Effective radiative forcing of anthropogenic aerosols in E3SM version 1: historical changes, causality, decomposition, and parameterization sensitivities
Zhang et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-22-9129-2022
Effects of aerosol on terrestrial gross primary productivity in Central Asia
Ma et al., Atmospheric Environment, 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2022.119294
Future dust concentration over the Middle East and North Africa region under global warming and stratospheric aerosol intervention scenarios
Mousavi et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-370
Light absorption by brown carbon over the South-East Atlantic Ocean
Zhang et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-1000
Quantifying the effects of mixing state on aerosol optical properties
Yao et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-131
Radiative impacts of the Australian bushfires 2019–2020 – Part 1: Large-scale radiative forcing
Sellitto et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-22-9299-2022
Widespread wildfires over the western United States in 2020 linked to emissions reductions during COVID-19
Ren et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099308
Climate change communications & cognition
Increasing health risks during outdoor sports due to climate change in Texas: Projections vs. attitudes
Dee et al., GeoHealth, 10.1029/2022gh000595
Knowledge overconfidence is associated with anti-consensus views on controversial scientific issues
Light et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.abo0038
Politicizing climate change in times of populism: an introduction
Marquardt & Lederer, Environmental Politics, 10.1080/09644016.2022.2083478
Social norms explain prioritization of climate policy
Cole et al., Climatic Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-022-03396-x
The unbearable lightness of climate populism
Swyngedouw, Environmental Politics, 10.1080/09644016.2022.2090636
‘The Green New Deal’ as partisan cue: Evidence from a survey experiment in the rural U.S
McConnell, Environmental Politics, 10.1080/09644016.2022.2090655
Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change
Adaptive multi-paddock grazing management’s influence on soil food web community structure for: increasing pasture forage production, soil organic carbon, and reducing soil respiration rates in southeastern USA ranches
Johnson et al., PeerJ, Open Access 10.7717/peerj.13750
Climate change adaptation and maize productivity: a gender-based analysis
Koudjom, Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-022-03403-1
Community profiling to support inclusive urban community-based climate adaptation: experiences of a survey-based approach in urban informal settlements in Honiara, Solomon Islands
Ho et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2083547
Comparison of projected rice blast epidemics in the Korean Peninsula between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios
Lee et al., Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-022-03410-2
Contextual vulnerability to climate change of heterogeneous agri-food geographical indications: A case study of the Veneto region (Italy)
Salpina & Pagliacci, Environmental Science & Policy, 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.06.005
On the relative importance of climatic and non-climatic factors in crop yield models
Sidhu et al., Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-022-03404-0
Simulating the Climate Change Impacts and Evaluating Potential Adaptation Strategies for Irrigated Corn Production in Northern High Plains of Texas
Kothari et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100446
Temperature impacts on fish physiology and resource abundance lead to faster growth but smaller fish sizes and yields under warming
Lindmark et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16341
Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change
Differences in hydrological impacts using regional climate model and nested convection-permitting model data
Kay, Climatic Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-022-03405-z
Drivers of future fluvial flood risk change for residential buildings in Europe
Steinhausen et al., Global Environmental Change, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102559
Droughts and Mega-Droughts
Lin et al., Atmosphere, Open Access 10.1080/07055900.2022.2086848
Dynamic spatiotemporal variation and its causes of extreme precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin, China
Jin et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-022-04135-z
Earth’s future Multivariate analysis of compound flood hazard across Canada’s Atlantic, Pacific and Great Lakes coastal areas
Pirani & Najafi, Earth's Future, 10.1029/2022ef002655
Indicator-based approach for flood vulnerability assessment in ancient heritage city of Hoi An, Central Region of Vietnam
Nguyen et al., Natural Hazards, 10.1007/s11069-022-05475-9
Observational Evidence for Multivariate Drought Hazard Amplifications across Disparate Climate Regimes
Ganguli et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2022ef002809
Projected mean and extreme precipitation based on bias-corrected simulation outputs of CORDEX Southeast Asia
Ngai et al., Weather and Climate Extremes, Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100484
Trends and abrupt changes in extreme rainfall events and their influence on design quantiles: a case study in São Paulo, Brazil
Ballarin et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-022-04139-9
Variations in July Extreme Precipitation in Henan Province and the Related Mechanisms
Qianrong et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7805
Climate change economics
A bibliometric-qualitative literature review of green finance gap and future research directions
Debrah et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2095331
Decoupling the double jeopardy of climate risk and fiscal risk: A perspective of infrastructure investment
Chen & Chu Chu, Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100448
Do PTAs with Environmental Provisions Reduce GHG Emissions? Distinguishing the Role of Climate-Related Provisions
Sorgho & Tharakan, Environmental and Resource Economics, 10.1007/s10640-022-00707-9
How do environmental innovations and energy productivity affect the environment? Analyzing the role of economic globalization
Ahmad et al., International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, Open Access 10.1007/s13762-021-03620-8
How emissions trading affects income inequality: evidence from China
Zhang & Zhang, Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2022.2099789
Making physical climate risk assessments relevant to the financial sector – lessons learned from real estate cases in the Netherlands
Armah Nyadzi Attoh et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100447
Revisiting talus and free-air temperatures after 50 years of change at an American pika (Ochotona princeps) study site in the Southern Rockies
Monk & Ray, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000049
Using emissions trading schemes to reduce heterogeneous distortionary taxes: The case of recycling carbon auction revenues to support renewable energy
Gavard et al., Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113133
Climate change and the circular economy
Environmental benefits of circular economy approach to use of cobalt
Rahimpour Golroudbary et al., Global Environmental Change, Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102568
Climate change mitigation public policy research
At the intersection of mind and climate change: integrating inner dimensions of climate change into policymaking and practice
Wamsler & Bristow, Climatic Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-022-03398-9
Causal effects of the Tokyo emissions trading scheme on energy consumption and economic performance
Abe & Arimura Arimura, Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113151
Contrasting suitability and ambition in regional carbon mitigation
Liu et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31729-y
Convergence of oil consumption: A historical perspective with new concepts
Nazlioglu et al., Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113150
Delayed emergence of a global temperature response after emission mitigation
Samset et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-020-17001-1
Evaluating feed-in tariff policies on enhancing geothermal development in Indonesia
Setiawan et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113164
Integrating blue: How do we make nationally determined contributions work for both blue carbon and local coastal communities?
Dencer-Brown et al., Ambio, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-022-01723-1
Limits of household's energy efficiency improvements and its consequence – A case study for Hungary
Gróf et al., Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113078
Peru at the UNFCCC: explaining the country’s foreign climate policy
Pereira, Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2022.2100733
Reply to: Uncertainty in near-term temperature evolution must not obscure assessments of climate mitigation benefits
Samset et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31426-w
Scenario prediction and critical factors of CO2 emissions in the Pearl River Delta: A regional imbalanced development perspective
Zhou et al., Urban Climate, 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101226
Systems-thinking for environmental policy coherence: Stakeholder knowledge, fuzzy logic, and causal reasoning
Castro, Environmental Science & Policy, 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.07.001
The G20 emission projections to 2030 improved since the Paris Agreement, but only slightly
Nascimento et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11027-022-10018-5
The International Dimension of the EU Emissions Trading System: Bringing the Pieces Together
Verde & Borghesi, Environmental and Resource Economics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10640-022-00705-x
Uncertainty in near-term temperature evolution must not obscure assessments of climate mitigation benefit
Lanson et al., [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10504049.1
Uncertainty in near-term temperature evolution must not obscure assessments of climate mitigation benefits
Lanson et al., [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10504049.1
Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research
Building climate resilience through nature-based solutions in Europe: a review of enabling knowledge, finance and governance frameworks
Calliari et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100450
Community profiling to support inclusive urban community-based climate adaptation: experiences of a survey-based approach in urban informal settlements in Honiara, Solomon Islands
Ho et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2083547
Enabling private sector adaptation to climate change: factors supporting and limiting adaptation amongst Sri Lankan SMEs
Dale et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 10.1007/s11027-022-10011-y
Explainable deep learning powered building risk assessment model for proactive hurricane response
Gao & Wang, Risk Analysis, 10.1111/risa.13990
Institutional interdependence and infrastructure resilience
Gim & Miller Dong Li, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, Open Access 10.1016/j.cosust.2022.101203
Riverscapes as natural infrastructure: Meeting challenges of climate adaptation and ecosystem restoration
Skidmore & Wheaton, Anthropocene, Open Access 10.1016/j.ancene.2022.100334
Tracking local and regional climate im/mobilities through a multidimensional lens
Tschakert & Neef, Regional Environmental Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-01948-6
Urban household water usage in adaptation to climate change: Evidence from China
Qin et al., Environmental Science & Policy, 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.07.019
Wealth and Vulnerability to Climate Change: An Experimental Study on Burden Sharing among Heterogeneous Agents
Reindl, Environmental and Resource Economics, 10.1007/s10640-022-00672-3
Climate change impacts on human health
Climate change and physical activity: ambient temperature and urban trail use in Texas
Lanza et al., International Journal of Biometeorology, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00484-022-02302-5
Evaluations of heat action plans for reducing the health impacts of extreme heat: methodological developments (2012–2021) and remaining challenges
Dwyer et al., International Journal of Biometeorology, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00484-022-02326-x
Increasing health risks during outdoor sports due to climate change in Texas: Projections vs. attitudes
Dee et al., GeoHealth, 10.1029/2022gh000595
The Effects of Co-Exposure to Extremes of Heat and Particulate Air Pollution on Mortality in California: Implications for Climate Change
Rahman et al., American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, 10.1164/rccm.202204-0657oc
Urban thermal comfort trends in Sri Lanka: the increasing overheating problem and its potential mitigation
Simath & Emmanuel, International Journal of Biometeorology, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00484-022-02328-9
Other
A New Ocean State After Nuclear War
Harrison et al., AGU Advances, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021av000610
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
Anthropogenically driven climate and landscape change effects on inland water carbon dynamics: What have we learned and where are we going?
Pilla et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16324
Are We at Risk of Losing the Current Generation of Climate Researchers to Data Science?
Jain et al., AGU Advances, Open Access 10.1029/2022av000676
Carbon Neutralization: The exploration of clean energy and ecological environment to achieve low carbon emission
Amal et al., Carbon Neutralization, 10.1002/cnl2.16
Climate change and extreme events are changing the biology of Polar Regions
Robinson, Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16309
Earth stewardship: Shaping a sustainable future through interacting policy and norm shifts
Chapin et al., Ambio, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-022-01721-3
Europe on the way to net zero: What challenges and opportunities?
Rosenow, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000058
Polycentric and resilient perspectives for governing the commons: Strategic and law and economics insights for sustainable development
Gatto, Ambio, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-022-01719-x
The spatial dimension of energy transition policies, practices and technologies
Caragliu & Graziano , Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113154
Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2021, International Renewable Energy Agency
The global weighted average levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) of new onshore wind projects added in 2021 fell by 15%, year-on-year, to USD 0.033/kWh, whereas new utility-scale solar PV projects fell by 13% year-on-year to USD 0.048/kWh. Offshore wind declined 13% to USD 0.075/kWh. With only one concentrating solar power (CSP) plant commissioned in 2021, the LCOE rose 7% year on year to USD 0.114/kWh. The period 2010 to 2021 has witnessed a seismic improvement in the competitiveness of renewables. The global weighted average LCOE of newly commissioned utility-scale solar PV projects declined by 88% between 2010 and 2021, whereas onshore wind fell by 68%, CSP by 68%, and offshore wind by 60%.
Everyday Stories of Climate Change, Sou et al., RMIT University and The University of Manchester
When we talk about climate change, we often use abstract ideas such as ‘the planet is warming,’ ‘global sea levels are rising’ or ‘rainfall is becoming more unpredictable.’ But, how do these changes actually impact the daily lives of ‘ordinary’ families across the world? In the comic, you will travel to five countries and explore the everyday ways that low-income families experience climate change. The stories shine a light on some of the overlooked and ‘mundane’ impacts of climate change for those who are often left to shoulder much of the responsibility to adapt and recover.
Benchmarking Methane and other GHG Emissions Of Oil & Natural Gas Production in the United States, Curry et al., Ceres, Clean Air Task Force and ERM
The report uses publicly available data to develop comparable metrics that highlight the GHG performance of onshore oil and gas producers in the U.S. The report uses data reported to EPA and data calculated from assumptions in EPA’s annual Greenhouse Gas Inventory (GHG Inventory). The report focuses on the onshore oil and natural gas production segments and does not include emissions or production from offshore operations, gathering and boosting facilities, or other midstream or downstream segments of the oil and gas supply chains. The report focuses on 2020 production and emissions data and includes production and emissions trends for 2018 to 2020. Of 303 oil and natural gas producers with reported data, the top 100 oil and gas producers by total energy production were responsible for approximately 74% and 77%, respectively, of total reported methane and GHG emissions in 2020. While most top-100 producers are also among the top 100 emitters, production rank does not correspond to emissions rank. The methane emissions intensity of natural gas production and the GHG emissions intensity of oil and gas production varies dramatically across producers. Natural gas producers in the highest quartile of methane emissions intensity have an average emissions intensity that is nearly 24 times higher than natural gas producers in the lowest quartile of methane emissions intensity. Oil and gas producers in the highest quartile of GHG emissions intensity have an average emissions intensity that is more than 13 times higher than oil and gas producers in the lowest quartile.
Taking Stock 2022. US Greenhouse Gas Emissions Outlook in an Uncertain World., King et al., Rhodium Group
The authors found that the U.S. is on track to reduce emissions by 24% to 35% below 2005 levels by 2030, absent any additional policy action. This falls significantly short of the U.S.’s pledge under the Paris Agreement to reduce emissions by 50-52% below 2005 levels by 2030.
Americans Divided Over Direction of Biden’s Climate Change Policies, Kennedy et al., Pew Research Center
More than a year into Joe Biden’s presidency, the public is divided over the administration’s approach to climate change: 49% of U.S. adults say the Biden administration’s policies on climate change are taking the country in the right direction, while 47% say these climate policies are taking the country in the wrong direction. Ratings of Biden’s approach to climate change – and the federal government’s role in dealing with the issue – are deeply partisan. A majority of Republicans and independents who lean to the GOP (82%) say Biden’s climate policies are taking the country in the wrong direction. Among Democrats and Democratic leaners, most say Biden is moving the country in the right direction on climate policy (79%). But in a sign of Democratic frustration with progress tackling climate change, there’s discontent within the party even among those who say Biden’s policies are taking the country in the right direction. Among Democrats who back the direction of the administration’s climate policies, 61% say the administration could be doing a lot more on climate; far fewer (37%) say they are doing about as much as can be expected. While the public is divided over Biden’s approach to climate change, a majority of Americans continue to see room for more federal action on the issue: 58% say the federal government is doing too little to reduce the effects of global climate change, compared with just 18% who say it is doing too much (22% say it is doing about the right amount). Here again, partisan differences are wide, with Democrats much more likely than Republicans to say the federal government is doing too little to reduce the effects of climate change (82% vs. 28%).
The Future of Copper. Will the looming supply gap short-circuit the energy transition?, S&P Global
The study quantifies the amount of additional copper that will be required for increased electrification and the energy transition specifically, the rapid move to electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable electricity and the need for increased electricity infrastructure. The authors conclude that copper demand will double by 2035 and continue to grow thereafter. On the supply side, the authors find how challenging that will be, whether on the basis of current trends or with an unprecedented acceleration of supply from mining and recycling.
Removing Carbon Dioxide Through Ocean Fertilization: Legal Challenges and Opportunities, Silverman-Roati et al., Sabin Center for Climate Change Law
The Sabin Center today released a white paper exploring the legal framework for ocean fertilization research and deployment, both at the international and domestic (U.S.) levels. This is the fourth in a series of four white papers exploring the legal issues associated with various ocean-based CDR strategies, including ocean alkalinity enhancement, artificial upwelling and downwelling, and seaweed cultivation. Together, these white papers provide the most comprehensive analysis yet of legal issues associated with ocean CDR.
Back on the (climate) track. The quest for independence powers Germany’s energy transition, Zimmer and Stegman, Allianz Research
The race to energy sovereignty sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could push Germany’s green transition well past the finish line. Despite the increased use of coal for electricity generation in the short term, the European Union's Emission Trading System will limit additional emissions, and coal is still on track to be phased out by 2030. In the medium term, Germany’s ambitious new targets should push the renewable energy share of its electricity mix even beyond what would be needed to meet the Paris climate goals by 2035. Achieving the target of a fourfold increase in renewable energy capacity requires a paradigm shift in core areas of the electricity system. Planning and approval procedures for renewable energy, electricity, and hydrogen networks must be consistently simplified and accelerated. In addition, the infrastructure expansion for electricity, gas, and hydrogen networks is in urgent need of coordination, which is unlikely to happen without an integrated system-development plan. The renewable expansion will provide a large economic stimulus: EUR40bn of value added per year until 2035 (1.1% in 2021 GDP) and 440,000 jobs in Germany alone.
Benchmarking Africa's Minigrids Report, Adamopoulou et al., Africa Minigrid Developers Association
The authors' present an in-depth analysis of changes that occurred in the mini-grid industry in 2020 and 2021, including the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, and uncover emerging opportunities for achieving immediate scale and long-term sustainability. The authors' insights offer a high-level roadmap for all stakeholders, from mini-grid developers to policymakers, on the actions required to grow the industry. For example, mini-grid developers in Africa managed to almost double the number of connections in the middle of a global pandemic. While still small in comparison to the scope of the energy crisis, mini-grid developers now provide some of the most reliable and stable electricity on the continent to more than 500,000 people, healthcare facilities, schools, and businesses. The industry is also seeing revenue steadily increasing the longer assets are deployed.
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Posted by Doug Bostrom on Thursday, 21 July, 2022
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