Arguments
Skeptical Science New Research for Week #43 2023
Posted on 26 October 2023 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack
Open access notables
It's always a special pleasure to note an article including Skeptical Science's founder John Cook in the
author roster. Misinformation and the epistemic integrity of democracy includes not only Cook as a collaborator but also a cast of other familiar authorities on human cognition in connection with climate science, in particular how our mental equipment struggles with following a continuous thread of truth through a tangled knot of disconnected confusion in the form of misinformation.
We're not necessarily very good thinkers in the best of circumstances. We often fail to think clearly when we're in the presence of misinformation or synthetic ignorance, especially when it's calculated and crafted exactly for the purpose of paralyzing competent treatment. In their abstract the authors note "Democracy relies on a shared body of knowledge among citizens, for example trust in elections and reliable knowledge to inform policy-relevant debate." One can extend that thought (and the article implicltly does); not only democracy is at stake, but arguably all of what we currently consider to be "civilization." If we hear and believe that a virus is less likely to be causing a global pandemic than 5G cellular phone equipment and we've been fostered to be in large company, our public health systems begin to break down. Similarly, if our heads are stuffed with confusing rubbish about how Earth's climate functions, our societal cohesion and hence collective ability to govern side-effects of industry such as CO2 emissions and climate change malfunctions— as we're now acutely aware.
We can be thankful that not only this team but also a small army of other researchers are figuring out how to thicken our mental armor against bunk. In this work Lewandowsky et al. identify how misinformation has evolved to more efficiently attack and degrade public confidence in science, and specific tested methods of amelioriating this harm.
As complete a quantification of the physical impacts and external costs imposed by state-of-the-art ungoverned mechanized avarice as anybody could desire: The Environmental Footprint of Bitcoin Mining Across the Globe: Call for Urgent Action. Published in AGU Earth's Future by Chamanara, Ghaffarizadeh & Madani, this report has already made a splash in the press. But no newspaper will run enough column inches to fully capture the catastrophically entropic energy travesty inflicted on us all by bitcoin mining. Happily, the article is open access, so all the details are available.
If it were an engineer's report to a condo association describing a buildiing with failing environmental systems caused by poor habits of occupants, the condo board of directors would be feverishly revising bylaws, posting notes to offenders and urgently planning and then actioning repairs. However, The 2023 state of the climate report: Entering uncharted territory reports that nobody's answering the phone with listening ears fully open when it comes to climate change. Ripple et al. recite a growing damage list, an inventory of Earth systems degrading due to our fossil-fueled climate intervention and upset. Noting obligations and demands for forthright communications from scientists, the authors oblige, joining a burgeoning chorus ignited by eye-popping statistics from the year we're still in:
As scientists, we are increasingly being asked to tell the public the truth about the crises we face in simple and direct terms. The truth is that we are shocked by the ferocity of the extreme weather events in 2023. We are afraid of the uncharted territory that we have now entered. Conditions are going to get very distressing and potentially unmanageable for large regions of the world, with the 2.6°C warming expected over the course of the century, even if the self-proposed national emissions reduction commitments of the Paris Agreement are met.
As if running a country not richly endowed with economic underpinnings that is also facing population pressures both internal as well superimposed thanks to generosity— while trying to tiptoe through simmering conflict on all sides without also being set aflame-- is not already hard enough, we can still pile on more pressure. Integrating Climate Security into Policy Frameworks: Jordan identifies emerging climate-driven problems in Jordan, contextualizing them to Jordan's unique set of challenges. This ends up sounding fairly hair-raising to anybody able to form a comparative mental picture and who happens to be in more fortunate circumstances. It's a testament to hope if nothing else that the report goes on to construct a comprehensive launching point for short, medium and long term policy objectives to ameliorate the weight of climate change added to an already straining governance framework. A product of adelphi and CGIAR and one of several informative items In this week's government/NGO section.
Closing on a positive note: The ongoing lateral expansion of peatlands in Finland by Juselius-Rajamäki, Väliranta & Korhola in Global Change Biology. The authors report a surprising and pleasing finding, namely that contrary to conventional wisdom there are places on Earth where peatlands are expanding. At least, it's true in parts of Finland, where all five sampled areas showed increasing areal coverage. It's not a "get out of jail free" card by any means, but a brief glance at any weekly listing's "GHG sources & sinks, flux.." section reveals how the needle of organic carbon movement is generally pointed in the wrong direction. Anything grabbing carbon and sinking it is a gift at this point, making our mitigation efforts just a little bit easier.
Housekeeping
This edition of New Research includes some "back catalog" thanks our clearing a clog in the pipeline emptying as our weekly listing. Preprints as a publicly-accessible feature in the academic publishing landscape underwent an acceleration after many technical conventions for bibliiographic indexes and publication metadata tracking were established. Methods and procedures for handling preprints were added as pressure on the systems increased. It eventuates that accounting for the lifecycle of a paper as it may first appear in preprint and then (hopefully) progress to "pupate" to emerge as a published article adds complexity, with opportunities for errors and omissions. For New Research this has manifested as some peculiar glitches in how certain publishers handle the evolution of a paper, compared to how the majority operate, leading a fair number of items "stuck" in preprint status and hence unlisted here. This problem is substantially fixed with additional local logic, and this issue contains the entire (?) backlog of previously arrested reports.
172 articles in 48 journals by 1185 contributing authors
Physical science of climate change, effects
Alongshore winds force warm Atlantic Water toward Helheim Glacier in southeast Greenland, Snow et al., Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10507001.1
An Analytic Model for the Clear-Sky Longwave Feedback, Koll et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512192.1
Arctic freshwater impact on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: status and prospects, Haine et al., Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 10.1098/rsta.2022.0185
Arctic Sea Ice Loss Inducing Northwest Extension of Summer Precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau, Hu et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0027.1
Arctic weather variability and connectivity, Meng et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-42351-x
Comparative changes in seasonal marine heatwaves and cold spells over the Tropical Indian Ocean during recent decades and disentangling the drivers of highly intense events, Dinesh et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8272
Effects of variable ice–ocean surface properties and air mass transformation on the Arctic radiative energy budget, Wendisch et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-9647-2023
Energetic Constraints on the Pattern of Changes to the Hydrological Cycle under Global Warming, Bonan et al., Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10511511.1
How a stable greenhouse effect on Earth is maintained under global warming, Feng et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512049.1
Meridional Heat Transport in the DeepMIP Eocene ensemble: Non-CO2 and CO2 effects, Kelemen et al., Open Access pdf 10.22541/essoar.167065777.72214683/v1
The Global Patterns of Instantaneous CO2 Forcing at the Top of the Atmosphere and the Surface, Chen et al., Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10512390.1
Observations of climate change, effects
Extreme temperatures detection and attribution related to external forcing in Madagascar, Randriamarolaza et al., Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10511046.1
Fingerprint of climate change on Southern Ocean carbon storage, Wright et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512597.1
How Is Spatial Homogeneity in Precipitation Extremes Changing Globally?, Ghanghas et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512705.1
Increase of Simultaneous Soybean Failures Due To Climate Change, Moreno Dumont Goulart et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512181.1
Long-term warming and interannual variability contributions’ to marine heatwaves in the Mediterranean, Simon et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100619
Natural disasters related to rainfall trends in Espírito Santo, southeastern Brazil, de Oliveira Roza et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04703-x
Observed Changes in Interannual Precipitation Variability in the United States, Harp & Horton Horton Horton, Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10511770.1
Pacific decadal oscillation causes fewer near-equatorial cyclones in the North Indian Ocean, Roose et al., Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-566899/v1
Permafrost degradation at two monitored palsa mires in north-west Finland, Verdonen et al., Open Access 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1173
Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau, Wang et al., Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022ef003463
Robust Human Influence across the Troposphere, Surface, and Ocean: A Multivariate Analysis, Blackport et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0068.1
Start&2023&4, Ivanov et al., Open Access pdf 10.3897/bdj.11.e100521.figure4
Strengthened Connections Between Arctic Sea Ice and Thermal Conditions Over the Tibetan Plateau in May After the 2000s, Hu et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2023jd039122
The Atmosphere Has Become Increasingly Unstable During 1979–2020 Over the Northern Hemisphere, Chen & Dai, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl106125
The extremely hot and dry 2018 summer in central and northern Europe from a multi-faceted weather and climate perspective, Rousi et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-813
The global costs of extreme weather that are attributable to climate change, Newman & Noy Noy Noy, Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2112393/v1
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects
CEDAR-GPP: spatiotemporally upscaled estimates of gross primary productivity incorporating CO2 fertilization, Kang et al., Open Access pdf 10.31223/x5r957
CLARA-A3: The third edition of the AVHRR-based CM SAF climate data record on clouds, radiation and surface albedo covering the period 1979 to 2023, Karlsson et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2023-133
Evaluation of simulated CO2 power plant plumes from six high-resolution atmospheric transport models, Brunnner et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-645
Improving the thermocline calculation over the global ocean, Romero et al., Open Access 10.5194/egusphere-2022-788
The effect of homogenization when constructing long-term gridded monthly precipitation and temperature data, Tveito, International Journal of Climatology Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.8283
Towards two decades of Atlantic Ocean mass and heat transports at 26.5° N, Johns et al., Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rsta.2022.0188
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects
Climate projections for Himalaya–Tibetan Highland, Bhuyan et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04677-w
Compound wind and precipitation extremes at a global scale based on CMIP6 models: Evaluation, projection and uncertainty, Zhu et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8281
Dense water formation in the eastern Mediterranean under a global warming scenario, Parras-Berrocal et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2023-159
Dependence of Northern Hemisphere Tropospheric Transport on the Midlatitude Jet under Abrupt CO2 Increase, Zhang et al., Open Access pdf 10.22541/essoar.168614359.90262787/v1
Evolution of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation since the last glaciation: model simulations and relevance to present and future, Liu, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 10.1098/rsta.2022.0190
Global Warming Reshapes European Pyroregions, Galizia et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512410.1
Heat waves in Florida and their future from high-resolution regional climate model integrations, Beasley et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8278
Pacific Decadal Oscillation Influences Tropical Oxygen Minimum Zone Extent and Obscures Anthropogenic Changes, Poupon et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512869.1
Seasonal Changes in Atmospheric Heat Transport to the Arctic Under Increased CO2, Hahn et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl105156
Stratospherically induced circulation changes under the extreme conditions of the no-Montreal-Protocol scenario, Zilker et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-13387-2023
Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century, Naughten et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01818-x
Weakening of springtime Arctic ozone depletion with climate change, Friedel et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-10235-2023
Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
Association of the cloud radiative effect with the changes in the northern edge of Hadley circulation between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 models in boreal summer, Gui et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04679-8
Can we trust projections of AMOC weakening based on climate models that cannot reproduce the past?, McCarthy & Caesar, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rsta.2022.0193
Challenges simulating the AMOC in climate models, Jackson et al., Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 10.1098/rsta.2022.0187
Contrasting internally and externally generated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the role for AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations, Robson et al., Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rsta.2022.0194
Contrasting Responses of Surface Heat Fluxes to Tropical Deforestation, Chen & Lo Lo, Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512785.1
Global 1km Land Surface Parameters for Kilometer-Scale Earth System Modeling, Li et al., Open Access pdf 10.31223/x5xh4g
Uncertainty in projections of future lake thermal dynamics is differentially driven by lake and global climate models, Woelmer et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512951.1
Cryosphere & climate change
A long-term proxy for sea ice thickness in the Canadian Arctic: 1996–2020, Glissenaar et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2023-269
A model of the weathering crust and microbial activity on an ice-sheet surface, Woods & Hewitt Hewitt Hewitt, Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1086
Change in Antarctic ice shelf area from 2009 to 2019, Andreasen et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1087
Changes in March mean snow water equivalent since the mid-twentieth century and the contributing factors in reanalyses and CMIP6 climate models, Räisänen, Open Access 10.5194/tc-2022-248
Climate Variability and Glacier Evolution at Selected Sites Across the World: Past Trends and Future Projections, Al?Yaari et al., Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023ef003618
CRYO, , Current Opinion in Structural Biology Open Access 10.1016/j.sbi.2018.11.010
A long-term proxy for sea ice thickness in the Canadian Arctic: 1996–2020, Glissenaar et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2023-269
A model of the weathering crust and microbial activity on an ice-sheet surface, Woods & Hewitt Hewitt Hewitt, Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1086
Change in Antarctic ice shelf area from 2009 to 2019, Andreasen et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1087
Changes in March mean snow water equivalent since the mid-twentieth century and the contributing factors in reanalyses and CMIP6 climate models, Räisänen, Open Access 10.5194/tc-2022-248
Climate Variability and Glacier Evolution at Selected Sites Across the World: Past Trends and Future Projections, Al?Yaari et al., Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023ef003618
Direct measurement of warm Atlantic Intermediate Water close to the grounding line of Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden (79N) Glacier, North-east Greenland, Bentley et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-2022-206
Greenland Ice Sheet Ice Slab Expansion and Thickening, Jullien et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512372.1
Identifying mountain permafrost degradation by repeating historical ERT-measurements, Buckel et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-2022-207
Insight into historical and future spring snow cover from satellite observation and model simulations over the Northern Hemisphere, Guo et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512398.1
Investigating the thermal state of permafrost with Bayesian inverse modeling of heat transfer, Groenke et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-630
Mapping 24 woody plant species phenology and ground forests phenology over China from 1951–2020, Zhu et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2023-159
Rapid sea ice changes in the future Barents Sea, Rieke et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-324
Relevance of warm air intrusions for Arctic satellite sea ice climatologies, Rostosky & Spreen, Open Access 10.5194/tc-2023-69
Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century, Naughten et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01818-x
Unlocking archival maps of the Hornsund fjord area for monitoring glaciers of the Sørkapp Land peninsula, Svalbard, Dudek & P?tlicki P?tlicki, Earth System Science Data Open Access pdf 10.5194/essd-15-3869-2023
Unveiling spatial variability within the Dotson Melt Channel through high-resolution basal melt rates from the Reference Elevation Model of Antarctica, Zinck et al., The Cryosphere Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-17-3785-2023
Widespread slowdown in thinning rates of West Antarctic ice shelves, Paolo et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1128
Sea level & climate change
Improving statistical projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change using pattern recognition techniques, Malagón-Santos et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-1293
Reconsidering the Relationship Between Gulf Stream Transport and Dynamic Sea Level at U.S. East Coast, Chi et al., Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10508225.1
Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry
Bayesian weighting of climate models based on climate sensitivity, Massoud et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-023-01009-8
Natural ocean iron fertilization and climate variability over geological periods, Jiang et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.16990
Poleward shift in the Southern Hemisphere westerly winds synchronous with the deglacial rise in CO2, Gray et al., Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-404786/v1
The impact of climate change on Quaternary glaciers of Gharaghom Basin in Iran, Azirani & Ghorbani Ghorbani, Theoretical and Applied Climatology Open Access 10.1007/s00704-023-04701-z
Biology & climate change, related geochemistry
Above-treeline ecosystems facing drought: lessons from the 2022 European summer heat wave, Choler, Biogeosciences Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-20-4259-2023
Biomes of the world under climate change scenarios: increasing aridity and higher temperatures lead to significant shifts in natural vegetation, Bonannella et al., Open Access 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2471847/v1
Climate change should drive mammal defaunation in tropical dry forests, Moura et al., Open Access pdf 10.1101/2023.08.17.553094
Climate dependence of the macrofaunal effect on litter decomposition—A global meta-regression analysis, Sagi & Hawlena, Ecology Letters Open Access pdf 10.1111/ele.14333
Diverse strategies for tracking seasonal environmental niches at hemispheric scale, Cohen & Jetz Jetz, Open Access pdf 10.1101/2022.07.15.500241
Forest composition change and biophysical climate feedbacks across boreal North America, Massey et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01851-w
Growth responses to climate warming and their physiological mechanisms differ between mature and young larch trees in a boreal permafrost region, Qi et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109765
INTRAGRO: A machine learning approach to predict future growth of trees under climate change, Aryal et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10626
Juvenile waiting stage crown-of-thorns sea stars are resilient in heatwave conditions that bleach and kill corals, Byrne et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16946
Majority of Southern Ocean Seasonal Sea Ice Zone Bloom Net Community Production Precedes Total Ice Retreat, McClish & Bushinsky, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl103459
Mapping 24 woody plant species phenology and ground forests phenology over China from 1951–2020, Zhu et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2023-159
No evidence for direct thermal carryover effects on starvation tolerance in the obligate blood-feeder, Glossina morsitans morsitans, Weaving et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10652
Patterns of change in coral reef communities of a remote Maldivian atoll revisited after eleven years, Zampa et al., PeerJ Open Access 10.7717/peerj.16071
Performance of Orbicella faveolata larval cohorts does not align with previously observed thermal tolerance of adult source populations, Zhang et al., Open Access pdf 10.1101/2023.06.28.546780
Pervasive impacts of climate change on the woodiness and ecological generalism of dry forest plant assemblages, Moura et al., Open Access pdf 10.1101/2022.03.04.482968
Prioritizing conservation efforts based on future habitat availability and accessibility under climate change, Liang et al., Conservation Biology 10.1111/cobi.14204
Sapling recruitment does not compensate for increased tree mortality under climate change, Zhu et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109763
Seaweed and climate change: A mapping review, Segaran et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.106216
The critical role of coastal protected areas in buffering impacts of extreme climatic conditions on bird diversity and their ecosystem services' provisioning in the Eastern Cape Province, South Africa, Mokotjomela et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10452
Topography modulates climate sensitivity of multidecadal trends of holm oak decline, López-Ballesteros et al., Open Access pdf 10.1101/2023.03.09.531879
Transformation of coral communities subjected to an unprecedented heatwave is modulated by local disturbance, Baum et al., Open Access pdf 10.1101/2022.05.10.491220
Tree Growth Enhancement Drives a Persistent Biomass Gain in Unmanaged Temperate Forests, Marqués et al., AGU Advances Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022av000859
Tree species diversity increases soil microbial carbon use efficiency in a subtropical forest, Duan et al., Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16971
TreeGOER: A database with globally observed environmental ranges for 48,129 tree species, Kindt, Open Access pdf 10.1101/2023.05.15.540790
Warmer temperatures favor slower-growing bacteria in natural marine communities, Abreu et al., Open Access pdf 10.1101/2022.07.13.499956
Wetland productivity determines trade-off between biodiversity support and greenhouse gas production, Åhlén et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10619
GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry
A global synthesis and conceptualization of the magnitude and duration of soil carbon losses in response to forest disturbances, Mayer et al., Global Ecology and Biogeography Open Access pdf 10.1111/geb.13779
Anthropogenic Perturbations Change the Quality and Quantity of Terrestrial Carbon Flux to the Coastal Ocean, Wei et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1029/2023jg007482
Bacterioplankton dark CO2 fixation in oligotrophic waters, Alothman et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-2023-65
Central Arctic Ocean surface-atmosphere exchange of CO2 and CH4 constrained by direct measurements, Prytherch et al., Open Access 10.5194/bg-2023-82
Ecosystem responses dominate the trends of annual gross primary productivity over terrestrial ecosystems of China during 2000–2020, Zhu et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109758
Fingerprint of climate change on Southern Ocean carbon storage, Wright et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512597.1
Global Carbon Budget 2023, Friedlingstein et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2023-409
High interannual surface pCO2 variability in the southern Canadian Arctic Archipelago's Kitikmeot Sea, Sims et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-710
Large contributions of petrogenic and aged soil-derived organic carbon to Arctic fjord sediments in Svalbard, Kim et al., Scientific Reports Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-023-45141-z
Lipids of different phytoplankton groups differ in sensitivity to degradation: Implications for carbon export, Godrijan et al., Open Access pdf 10.1101/2023.05.10.539996
Monitoring and quantifying CO2 emissions of isolated power plants from space, Lin et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-7665
Ocean acidification enhances primary productivity and nocturnal carbonate dissolution in intertidal rock pools, Dorey et al., Open Access 10.5194/bg-2023-79
Optical insight into riverine influences on dissolved and particulate organic carbon in a coastal Arctic lagoon system, Catipovic et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512826.1
Quantification of methane emissions in Hamburg using a network of FTIR spectrometers and an inverse modeling approach, Forstmaier et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-710
Quantification of Oil and Gas Methane Emissions in the Delaware and Marcellus Basins Using a Network of Continuous Tower-Based Measurements, Barkley et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-709
Radiocarbon Measurements Reveal Underestimated Fossil CH4 and CO2 Emissions in London, Zazzeri et al., Open Access pdf 10.22541/essoar.168167395.57906893/v1
Seasonal and interannual variability of the pelagic ecosystem and of the organic carbon budget in the Rhodes Gyre (eastern Mediterranean): influence of winter mixing, Habib et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-2022-216
Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001
Submersed Macrophyte Density Regulates Aquatic Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Theus et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1029/2023jg007758
The ongoing lateral expansion of peatlands in Finland, Juselius?Rajamäki et al., Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16988
The positive effect of plant diversity on soil carbon depends on climate, Spohn et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-42340-0
Tree Growth Enhancement Drives a Persistent Biomass Gain in Unmanaged Temperate Forests, Marqués et al., AGU Advances Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022av000859
CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering
Assessing the carbon offsetting potential of China’s forest sector: reflection and outlook, Yuan et al., Carbon Management Open Access pdf 10.1080/17583004.2023.2266671
Increase in convective extreme El Niño events in a CO2 removal scenario, Pathirana et al., Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1938270/v1
Realistic potential increases in carbon storage via timber rotation extensions: an analysis of the Pacific Northwest, Randazzo & Gordon, Carbon Management Open Access pdf 10.1080/17583004.2023.2265154
Decarbonization
A multi-model framework to assess the role of R&D towards a decarbonized energy system, Nogueira et al., Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1451109/v1
Emerging materials and technologies for electrocatalytic seawater splitting, Jin et al., Science Advances Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.adi7755
Impacts of climate change, population growth, and power sector decarbonization on urban building energy use, Wang et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-41458-5
Inverted perovskite solar cells with over 2,000 h operational stability at 85 °C using fixed charge passivation, Yang et al., Nature Energy 10.1038/s41560-023-01377-7
Land resource mismatch and energy efficiency: Evidence from 243 cities in China, Zhou et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113800
Power generation enhancement analysis of a 400 kWp grid-connected rooftop photovoltaic power plant in a hilly terrain of India, Tajjour et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2023.101333
Shedding light on the environmental impact of the decomposition of perovskite solar cell, Sabahi & Shahroosvand Sabahi, Scientific Reports Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-023-44781-5
Underground hydrogen storage in caverns: Challenges of impure salt structures, Minougou et al., Earth 10.1016/j.earscirev.2023.104599
Geoengineering climate
Alkalinity biases in CMIP6 Earth System Models and implications for simulated CO2 drawdown via artificial alkalinity enhancement, Hinrichs et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-2023-26
Using Explainable Artificial Intelligence to Quantify “Climate Distinguishability” After Stratospheric Aerosol Injection, Mamalakis et al., Open Access pdf 10.22541/essoar.168565419.96137434/v1
Aerosols
Anthropogenic Aerosols Weaken Land–Atmosphere Coupling Over North China, Wei et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl105685
Climate change communications & cognition
Climate change and depressive disorder in middle-aged and older people in China: A quasi-experimental study, Li et al., Journal of Environmental Psychology 10.1016/j.jenvp.2023.102162
Misinformation and the epistemic integrity of democracy, Lewandowsky et al., Current Opinion in Psychology Open Access 10.1016/j.copsyc.2023.101711
What psychology can tell us about the cultural effects of climate change, Wormley, Journal of Environmental Psychology 10.1016/j.jenvp.2023.102175
Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change
Ecosystem-based adaptation practices to stem climate change impacts: smallholder farmers’ perspectives, Dong-Uuro & Peprah, Climate Policy 10.1080/14693062.2023.2269121
Increase of Simultaneous Soybean Failures Due To Climate Change, Moreno Dumont Goulart et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512181.1
Prediction of the potentially suitable areas of Leonurus japonicus in China based on future climate change using the optimized MaxEnt model, Wang et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10597
Semantics about soil organic carbon storage: DATA4C+, a comprehensive thesaurus and classification of management practices in agriculture and forestry, Fujisaki et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-115
Tracking climate change adaptation in Eastern Africa: integrating governmental and livestock keeper perspectives, Njuguna et al., Climate Policy Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2023.2268593
Viticulture extension in response to global climate change drivers – lessons from the past and future projections, Guiot et al., Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1763994/v1
Wilderness areas under threat from global redistribution of agriculture, Gardner et al., Current Biology Open Access pdf 10.1016/j.cub.2023.09.013
Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change
Continental and glacial runoff fingerprints in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, the Inuit Nunangat ocean, Rogalla et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10511815.2
Projected changes in rainfall amount and distribution in the Democratic Republic of Congo – Evidence from an ensemble of high-resolution climate simulations, Bangelesa et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100620
Substantial increase in future fluvial flood risk projected in China’s major urban agglomerations, Jiang et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-023-01049-0
Climate change economics
Asymmetric business cycle changes in US carbon emissions and oil market shocks, Jiang & Stern, Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-023-03620-2
Carbon footprints of the equity portfolios of Chinese fund firms, Jinglei et al., Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2450576/v1
The global costs of extreme weather that are attributable to climate change, Newman & Noy Noy Noy, Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2112393/v1
Climate change and the circular economy Climate change mitigation public policy research
A calculator for local peatland volume and carbon stock to support area planners and decision makers, Kyrkjeeide et al., Carbon Management Open Access pdf 10.1080/17583004.2023.2267018
Analysis of the key hydrogen fuel vehicles adoption barriers to reduce carbon emissions under net zero target in emerging market, Rawat et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113847
Circular wood use can accelerate global decarbonisation but requires cross-sectoral coordination, Forster et al., Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2745784/v1
Co-Producing Qualitative Storylines for Resilient Renewable Energy Scenarios Amid Climate Uncertainty, Baulenas & Bojovic, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-23-0211.1
Increasing temporal resolution in greenhouse gas accounting of electricity consumption divided into Scopes 2 and 3: case study of Germany, Blizniukova et al., The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11367-023-02240-3
The increasing climate inequalities of urban carbon emissions: The distributional effect of low-carbon city pilot policy, Dong et al., Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101718
US climate policy yields water quality cobenefits in the Mississippi Basin and Gulf of Mexico, Zuidema et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2302087120
Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research
Does targeted poverty alleviation improve households’ adaptation to hot weathers: Evidence from electricity consumption of poor households, Deng et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113850
Global climate adaptation assessed by structured expert judgement for coastal areas, , Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01844-9
Status of global coastal adaptation, Magnan et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01834-x
Understanding the climate change adaptation policy landscape in South Africa, Khavhagali et al., Climate Policy Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2023.2268576
Climate change impacts on human health
Climate variability and water-related infectious diseases in Pacific Island Countries and Territories, a systematic review, Hosking et al., PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000296
Climate change & geopolitics
Cross-border impacts of climate change affect the energy transition: Insights from the Finnish energy sector, Groundstroem, Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-023-03619-9
US Higher education and fossil fuels: the limits of liberalism in university climate action, Al-Saleh & Vora, Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2023.2247378
Other
Labrador sea water spreading and the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Le Bras, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rsta.2022.0189
Observed mechanisms activating the recent subpolar North Atlantic Warming since 2016, Chafik et al., Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rsta.2022.0183
Ocean alkalinity enhancement through restoration of blue carbon ecosystems, Fakhraee et al., Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1982110/v1
Overturning in the subpolar North Atlantic: a review, Lozier, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rsta.2022.0191
Strong Warming over the Antarctic Peninsula during Combined Atmospheric River and Foehn Events: Contribution of Shortwave Radiation and Turbulence, Zou et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512808.1
The effect of anthropogenic emission, meteorological factors, and carbon dioxide on the surface ozone increase in China from 2008 to 2018 during the East Asia summer monsoon season, Ma et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-850
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
Atlantic overturning: new observations and challenges, Srokosz et al., Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 10.1098/rsta.2022.0196
Should AMOC observations continue: how and why?, Frajka-Williams et al., Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rsta.2022.0195
The 2023 state of the climate report: Entering uncharted territory, Ripple et al., BioScience Open Access pdf 10.1093/biosci/biad080
The Environmental Footprint of Bitcoin Mining Across the Globe: Call for Urgent Action, Chamanara et al., Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023ef003871
Wilderness areas under threat from global redistribution of agriculture, Gardner et al., Current Biology Open Access pdf 10.1016/j.cub.2023.09.013
Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change
Accelerating Decarbonization in the United States: Technology, Policy, and Societal Dimensions (2023)*, Pacala et al., National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Through an assessment of current federal, state, and local climate and energy policies, the authors identify gaps and barriers to implementation that would prevent the nation from attaining its climate, economic, and societal goals. The authors organize their assessment around five major objectives of decarbonization policy—GHG emission reductions, equity and fairness, health, employment, and public engagement that cut across eight sectors: electricity, buildings, land use, transportation, industry, finance, fossil fuels, and nonfederal actors.
* This link leads to a preprint version of the report. Reading the published version unfortunately requires sharing contact information. If sharing contact information is not an issue, the completed report may be read here. Scroll down and choose "download as guest."
Climate Action at Work, Tides Center
Reducing carbon emissions by 50% by 2030 to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 will require sweeping changes at all levels of government – federal, state, and local. The corporate sector could help accelerate the passage of ambitious climate policy, but too many companies are narrowly focused on reducing emissions in their own operations or investing in innovation for the long term. These are vital - but bold policies are needed to scale solutions much more quickly. The challenge is that ambitious public policy is needed to solve the climate crisis at scale. Employees can exert an outsized impact when they raise their voices about the climate at work. However, employees do not often realize that this lever is available to them, and when they do, it can be daunting to act without a playbook and without fellow colleagues to work with. The authors present such a playbook.
Beyond Divestment, David Whyte, Corporate Watch and Centre for Climate Crime and Climate Justice
The top 20 shareholders in both BP and Shell have increased their total number of shares by three-quarters of a billion in BP, and half a billion in Shell since the Paris Agreement was signed in 2015. Although 47% of BP shareholders and 54% of Shell shareholders have reduced their stake in Shell and BP, net share ownership has risen by 10% in both BP and Shell. Any trend towards divestment amongst the 47% and 54% of BP and Shell shareholders is being canceled out by the largest shareholders, who happen to include the world’s largest and most powerful asset managers. Moreover, what might look like divestment cannot always be read as such; more than a quarter of the 20 investors who made the most significant reductions in shareholdings in either BP or Shell actually increased their shares in the other company. Only 60 institutional investors have sold all their shares in the two oil firms. This represents 3% of BP and 4% of Shell shareholders. The enormous increase in both market capitalization and share price for the two oil giants since the Paris Agreement reaffirms the conclusion that divestment campaigns are not having the necessary impact. If shareholder divestment is not working fast enough – as this report shows – then we need to pursue other forms of intervention that drastically scale back oil and gas production.
Integrating Climate Security into Policy Frameworks: Jordan, Spencer McMurray, adelphi and CGIAR
The climate crisis is increasing security risks in Jordan. Of the manifold risks Jordan must contend with, the most pressing are those with direct implications for water resources which are already under significant strain due to both climatic and human-induced factors. Higher temperatures are leading to more evapotranspiration and reduced rainfall is especially critical, straining the groundwater and aquifer reserves that are already over-exploited. Extreme weather events and their impacts, including droughts, flash floods, and landslides, further complicate matters. These risks translate into important implications for Jordanians across a variety of areas, including political, social, demographic, and economic realms, especially when combined with pre-existing grievances and especially poverty. Together, these create significant challenges for food, water, and livelihood security, affecting the overall health and well-being of Jordanians.
Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions
We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as "On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light" but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article's relevance and importance.
- Here's an excellent collection of tips and techniques for obtaining articles, legally.
- Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate
- The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you're interested in an article title and it is not listed here as "open access," be sure to check the link anyway.
How is New Research assembled?
Most articles appearing here are found via RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance.
Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database.
The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:
- Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a "yes" to this automatically.
- Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week's 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.
A few journals offer public access to "preprint" versions of articles for which the review process is not yet complete. For some key journals this all the mention we'll see in RSS feeds, so we include such items in New Research. These are flagged as "preprint."
The section "Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives" includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of "perspectives," observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.
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