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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #24 2022

Posted on 16 June 2022 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack

Mercenary army of bogus skeptics on parade

Because they're both squarely centered in the Skeptical Science wheelhouse, this week we're highlighting two articles from our government and NGO section, where we collect high-quality articles not originating in academic research but featuring many of the important attributes of journal publications. Our mission after all is to clear away the dense fog of motivated reasoning and self-interest misidentified as "climate science skepticism," and both of these publications hit the bulls-eye in that regard. 

Each report is accompanied by a precis it would be pointless to paraphrase.

Deny, Deceive, Delay: Documenting and Responding to Climate Disinformation at Cop26 and Beyond by King et al., Institute for Strategic Dialogue

Drawing on research compiled over the past 18 months, and especially in the margins and aftermath of COP26, the authors have clear evidence of the challenge at hand: the failure to stem mis- and disinformation online has allowed junk science, climate delayism and attacks on climate figures to become mainstreamed. The analysis shows how a small but dedicated community of actors boast disproportionate reach and engagement across social media, reaching millions of people worldwide and bolstered by legacy print, broadcast and radio outlets. Far from helping to mitigate this issue, tech platform systems appear to be amplifying or exacerbating the spread of such content. Moreover, the taxonomy of harm relating to climate mis- and disinformation has been poorly defined to date, providing an inadequate basis for response. The report is a collective effort to quantify the problem and establish concrete responses for the months and years ahead. It is a data-driven examination of the landscape, actors, systems and approaches that are combining to prevent action on climate. [full PDF here

Southern Company Knew. How a “clean coal” utility was warned about climate change risks years before it funded climate disinformation 1964-2022 by Anderson, Kasper & Tait, Energy and Policy Institute

A growing body of academic research and investigative reporting has documented how major fossil fuel producers, utilities, and automakers knew more than fifty years ago that carbon dioxide emissions could cause harmful climate change in the future. Despite these early warnings, many of these powerful companies later backed disinformation campaigns against climate science and policies. The report documents for the first time the nearly 60-year history of one of those vested interests, Southern Company, on climate change from the mid-1960s through present day. One of the nation’s largest electric and gas utilities, Southern Company’s origins date back nearly a century. Part one of the report documents how as far back as 1964, Southern Company was privy to early warnings about the climate risks of burning fossil fuels. Part two details how Southern Company has played a leading role in the spread of climate disinformation since the late 1980s. [full PDF here]

Other notables

Exceptional warming over the Barents area. "We identify a statistically significant record-high annual warming of up to 2.7 °C per decade, with a maximum in autumn of up to 4.0 °C per decade." Enough said. 

Impact of Rocket Launch and Space Debris Air Pollutant Emissions on Stratospheric Ozone and Global Climate. For decades we've been launching rockets and creating a gentle sifting of dust from decaying spacecraft at a rate that isn't a serious threat. With burgeoning of LEO communications constellations and myriad short-lived microsatellites being lofted— many involving solid fuel boosters— our period of relative calm is coming to an end. What goes up must come down, and while it does some of it causes trouble. Ryan et al. do the numbers and suggest that regulatory interventions may be necessary. 

The impact of renewables on the incidents of negative prices in the energy spot markets. Energy that costs less than nothing? Sounds great! But, "if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is" and in reality we can't support energy generation systems with "anti-money." The success of renewable energy deployment in conjunction with other factors exposing and creating outcomes that were not  unexpected but are arriving more swiftly and strongly than anticipated. Oleksandr Prokhorov & Dina Dreisbach investigate.

Why scientists succeed yet their organizations splinter: Historical and social network analyses of policy advocacy in conservation. Some criticize scientists from the odd perspective that if one sees a fire but is not part of the fire department, one should not attack the problem and definitely not dislose the location of a firehose. This warped view has nothing real to worry about, given empirical data. How does it happen that a group of people seeing and agreeing on a problem can fail to convey their helpful message? Researcher Zoe Nyssa takes a look.  

171 articles in 54 journals by 851 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

Relating Patterns of Added and Redistributed Ocean Warming
Newsom et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0827.1

Separating the shortwave and longwave components of greenhouse gas radiative forcing
Shine et al., Atmospheric Science Letters, 10.1002/asl.1116

The Time-Dependent Response of a Two-Basin Ocean to a Sudden Surface Temperature Change
Chang & Jansen, Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0821.1

Observations of climate change, effects

Exceptional warming over the Barents area
Isaksen et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-13568-5

Effects of Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Variability on Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Genesis
Li et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0084.1

Weather whiplash: Trends in rapid temperature changes in a warming climate
Lee, International Journal of Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.7458

The effects of the climatic change on daily maximum and minimum temperatures along 102 years (1917–2018) recorded at the Fabra Observatory, Barcelona
Lana et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00704-022-04096-3

Causes of extreme 2020 Meiyu-Baiu rainfall: a study of combined effect of Indian Ocean and Arctic
Chen et al., Climate Dynamics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-022-06279-0

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, contributors, effects

Dynamic surface water maps of Canada from 1984 to 2019 Landsat satellite imagery
Olthof & Rainville, Remote Sensing of Environment, Open Access 10.1016/j.rse.2022.113121

A global long-term ocean surface daily/0.05° net radiation product from 1983–2020
Liang et al., Scientific Data, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41597-022-01419-x

Comparison of Surface Energy Fluxes from Global to Local Scale
Mayer et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0598.1

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

Simulation and projection of climate extremes in China by multiple CMIP6 models
Wei et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7751

Evaluation and projection of the AMO and PDO variabilities in the CMIP5 models under different warming scenarios part2: Projection
Liu et al., Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2022.101312

The emergence of prolonged deadly humid heatwaves
Wang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7750

Simulation and projection of climate extremes in China by multiple CMIP6 models
Wei et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7751

Evaluation and projection of the AMO and PDO variabilities in the CMIP5 models under different warming scenarios part2: Projection
Liu et al., Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2022.101312

Climate change impact on sea surface winds in Southeast Asia
Herrmann et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7433

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

On the Representation of Mediterranean Overflow Waters in Global Climate Models
Behr et al., Journal of Physical Oceanography, 10.1175/jpo-d-21-0082.1

Effects of Sea Spray on Large-Scale Climatic Features over the Southern Ocean
Song et al., Journal of Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0608.1

Application of Copula-Based Approach as a New Data Driven Model for Downscaling the Mean Daily Temperature
Nazeri Tahroudi et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7752

A systematic analysis of climate model precipitation in southern Brazil
Pereima et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7460

Biases in sea surface temperature and the annual cycle of Greater Horn of Africa rainfall in CMIP6
Lyon, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7456

Inter-model spreading of changes in East Asian winter monsoon circulation under 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming targets
Xu & Fan, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7471

Mean State of the Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Polar Vortex in Three Generations of CMIP Models
Rao et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0694.1

Information entropy-based projection of temperature variability under the warming trend in China
Sun et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7749

The linear behavior of the joint initial-boundary-value predictability of the climate system
Yong et al., , Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1249037/v1

Boreal winter stratospheric climatology in EC-EARTH: CMIP6 version
Palmeiro et al., Climate Dynamics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-022-06368-0

Evaluation of CMIP6 models toward dynamical downscaling over 14 CORDEX domains
Zhang et al., Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06355-5

Uncertainty in projected changes in precipitation minus evaporation: Dominant role of dynamic circulation changes and weak role for thermodynamic changes
Elbaum et al., , Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10510138.1

Seasonal extrema of sea surface temperature in CMIP6 models
Wang et al., , Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10505918.1

Cryosphere & climate change

The predictability of snow depth at the North Hemisphere originated from persistence and oceanic forcing
Zhu et al., Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06356-4

Impact of runoff temporal distribution on ice dynamics
de Fleurian et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2265-2022

Exploring the effect of Arctic perennial sea ice on modulation of local air temperature
Ye et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2022.05.004

Supraglacial streamflow and meteorological drivers from southwest Greenland
Muthyala et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2245-2022

Sea level & climate change

Resolving glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) in response to modern and future ice loss at marine grounding lines in West Antarctica
Wan et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-16-2203-2022

Paleoclimate

Tree Rings Reveal Unmatched 2nd Century Drought in the Colorado River Basin
Gangopadhyay et al., Geophysical Research Letters, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022gl098781

Reevaluating Links Between Meteorite Impacts and Early Cenozoic Global Warming
Zorzi et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099313

Resilient biotic response to long-term climate change in the Adriatic Sea
Scarponi et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16168

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

Reduction of microbial diversity in grassland soil is driven by long-term climate warming
Wu et al., Nature Microbiology, 10.1038/s41564-022-01147-3

Volatility in coral cover erodes niche structure, but not diversity, in reef fish assemblages
Tsai et al., , Open Access pdf 10.1101/2021.11.03.467170

The role of continental shelf bathymetry in shaping marine range shifts in the face of climate change
Kitchel et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16276

Meteorological and climatological triggers of past and present bark beetle outbreaks in the Czech Republic
Brázdil et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-2022-50

Hemiboreal forests’ CO2 fluxes response to the European 2018 heatwave
Krasnova et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109042

Voltage-gated proton channels explain coccolithophore sensitivity to ocean acidification
von Dassow, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2206426119

Opposing global change drivers counterbalance trends in breeding North American monarch butterflies
Crossley et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16282

Global assessment of coralline algae mineralogy points to high vulnerability of Southwestern Atlantic reefs and rhodolith beds to ocean acidification
de Carvalho et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-13731-y

Climate and hydraulic traits interact to set thresholds for liana viability
Willson et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-30993-2

Warming enhances dominance of vascular plants over cryptogams across northern wetlands
Bao et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16182

Resilient biotic response to long-term climate change in the Adriatic Sea
Scarponi et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16168

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

Cross-biome synthesis of source versus sink limits to tree growth
Cabon et al., Science, 10.1126/science.abm4875

Projections of future forest degradation and CO2 emissions for the Brazilian Amazon
Assis et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.abj3309

Political governance, socioeconomics, and weather influence provincial GHG emissions in Canada
Boyce & He, Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113019

Massive warming-induced carbon loss from subalpine grassland soils in an altitudinal transplantation experiment
Volk et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-2921-2022

Factors that influence the temporal variability of atmospheric methane emission from Upper Silesia coal mines: A case study from CoMet mission
Swolkie? et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2022-243

A procedure to estimate variances and covariances on GHG emissions and inventories
Marujo et al., Carbon Management, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17583004.2022.2086486

Abruptly attenuated carbon sequestration with Weddell Sea dense waters by 2100
Nissen et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-30671-3

CO2 emissions from peat-draining rivers regulated by water pH
Klemme et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-2855-2022

Climate-driven shifts in kelp forest composition reduce carbon sequestration potential
Wright et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16299

Global increase in methane production under future warming of lake bottom waters
Jansen et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16298

Impact of Rocket Launch and Space Debris Air Pollutant Emissions on Stratospheric Ozone and Global Climate
Ryan et al., , Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10510460.1

A model of the spatiotemporal dynamics of soil carbon following coastal wetland loss applied to a Louisiana salt marsh in the Mississippi River Deltaic Plain
Schoolmaster et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg006807

Reduction of greenhouse gases emission through the use of tiletamine and zolazepam
Lachowska et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-13520-7

Differential responses of soil extracellular enzyme activities to salinization: Implications for soil carbon cycling in tidal wetlands
Yang et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2021gb007285

Deforestation-induced climate change reduces carbon storage in remaining tropical forests
Li et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-29601-0

Differential responses of soil extracellular enzyme activities to salinization: Implications for soil carbon cycling in tidal wetlands
Yang et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2021gb007285

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

Impact of Urbanization and Expansion of Forest Investment to Mitigate CO2 Emissions in China
Mighri et al., Weather, Climate, and Society, 10.1175/wcas-d-21-0101.1

CO2 biofixation at microalgae photobioreactors: hydrodynamics and mass transfer study
Sanaye Mozaffari Sabet & Golzary, International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-022-04286-6

The Potential of Peatlands as Nature-Based Climate Solutions
Strack et al., Current Climate Change Reports, 10.1007/s40641-022-00183-9

‘Carbon’ in forest carbon projects: Evidence from India
Aggarwal, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1956873

Decarbonization

An electrochemically stable homogeneous glassy electrolyte formed at room temperature for all- solid-state sodium batteries
Chi et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-30517-y

The Potential Impact of a Clean Energy Society On Air Quality
Sanyal & Wuebbles, Earth's Future, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021ef002558

High-income Households—Damned to consume or free to engage in high-impact energy-saving behaviours?
Matthies & Merten , Journal of Environmental Psychology, Open Access 10.1016/j.jenvp.2022.101829

Renewable energy certificates threaten the integrity of corporate science-based targets
Bjørn et al., Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01379-5

Resilience of urban public electric vehicle charging infrastructure to flooding
Raman et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-30848-w

A decision analytic tool for corporate strategic sustainable energy purchases
Jenkins & Keisler , Environment Systems and Decisions, Open Access 10.1007/s10669-022-09866-y

Limitations of reanalysis data for wind power applications
Davidson & Millstein Dev Millstein Dev Millstein, Wind Energy, Open Access 10.1002/we.2759

Limitations of reanalysis data for wind power applications
Davidson & Millstein Dev Millstein Dev Millstein, Wind Energy, Open Access 10.1002/we.2759

Geoengineering climate

Impact of stratospheric aerosol intervention geoengineering on surface air temperature in China: a surface energy budget perspective
Liu et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-503

Future scenarios of Future scenarios of China’s electric vehicle ownership: A modeling study based on system dynamic approach electric vehicle ownership: A modeling study based on system dynamic approach
Pu et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02474-5

The impact of stratospheric aerosol intervention on the North Atlantic and Quasi-Biennial Oscillations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) G6sulfur experiment
Jones et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-898

Black carbon

The chemical composition and mixing state of BC-containing particles and the implications on light absorption enhancement
Sun et al., , Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-2021-904

Aerosols

Impact of Rocket Launch and Space Debris Air Pollutant Emissions on Stratospheric Ozone and Global Climate
Ryan et al., , Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10510460.1

A large reduction of direct aerosol cooling over Poland in the last decades
Markowicz et al., International Journal of Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.7488

Climate change communications & cognition

The rise of ecofascism: climate change and the far right
Lubarda, Environmental Politics, Open Access pdf 10.1080/09644016.2022.2087333

Attitudes towards climate change and scientific stories
Bailey et al., Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 10.1007/s13412-022-00770-0

Rethinking climate change through a gender and adolescent lens in Ethiopia
Devonald et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2022.2032568

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

Adapting agriculture to climate change via sustainable irrigation: biophysical potentials and feedbacks
Rosa, Environmental Research Letters, Open Access 10.1088/1748-9326/ac7408

Causes of the extensive hypoxia in the Gulf of Riga in 2018
Stoicescu et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-2903-2022

Understanding the influence of Iranian farmers’ climate change beliefs on their adaptation strategies and mitigation intentions
Yazdanpanah et al., Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2022.2086524

Projected climate in coffee-based farming systems: implications for crop suitability in Uganda
Mulinde et al., Regional Environmental Change, 10.1007/s10113-022-01930-2

Smallholder Knowledge of Local Climate Conditions Predicts Positive On-Farm Outcomes
Salerno et al., Weather, Climate, and Society, 10.1175/wcas-d-21-0131.1

The geography of megatrends affecting European agriculture
Debonne et al., Global Environmental Change, Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102551

Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change
Qiao et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01376-8

Adjusting agricultural emissions for trade matters for climate change mitigation
Foong et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-30607-x

Climate resilience programmes and technical efficiency: evidence from the smallholder dairy farmers in the Brazilian semi-arid region
Gori Maia et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.1904812

Non-formal education promotes innovation and climate change preparedness among isolated Nepalese farmers
Coppock et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1921685

Perceived impacts of climate change on rural poultry production: a case study in Limpopo Province, South Africa
Nyoni et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1929803

The complementarity and determinants of adoption of climate change adaptation strategies: evidence from smallholder farmers in Northwest Ethiopia
Adego & Woldie, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1943296

How do farmer’s disaster experiences influence their climate change perception and adaptation?
Li et al., Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2021.1949572

The perception of climate change and the demand for weather-index microinsurance: evidence from a contingent valuation survey in Nepal
Rayamajhee et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1949574

Non-climatic stressors constraining adaptation to drought in rice-farming communities in the Philippines
Manalo IV et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1949571

Do women farmers cope or adapt to strategies in response to climate extreme events? Evidence from rural Ghana
Yenglier Yiridomoh & Owusu Tilakasiri Tilakasiri Tilakasiri Abdullahi Ikenganyia Adesiji, Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2021.1971943

Improving the design of climate insurance: combining empirical approaches and modelling
Will et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.2007837

Integrating climate-smart agri-innovative technology adoption and agribusiness management skills to improve the livelihoods of smallholder female cocoa farmers in Ghana
Yamoah & Kaba, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.2024125

Impact of smallholder farmers’ climate-smart adaptation practices on wheat yield in southern Ethiopia
Sedebo et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.2014777

Institutional analysis for scaling alternate wetting and drying for low-emissions rice production: evidence from Bangladesh
Hong Trang et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2036088

The impact of climate change on coffee production of small farmers and their adaptation strategies: a review
Jawo et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2057906

Climate change risk perception and adaptive behavior of coffee farmers: the mediating role of climate-related attitudinal factors and moderating role of self-efficacy
Tran & Chen, Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 10.1007/s13412-021-00732-y

“Climate change might have caused our small harvest”: indigenous vulnerability, livelihoods, and environmental changes in lowland and high jungle indigenous communities in Peru
Lastra Landa & Bueno, Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13412-021-00722-0

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

Diverse Physical Processes Drive Upper-Tail Flood Quantiles in the US Mountain West
Yu et al., Geophysical Research Letters, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022gl098855

Assessment of dry and heavy rainfall days and their projected changes over Northeast Brazil in CMIP6 models
de Medeiros & Prestrelo de Oliveira, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7759

Enhancement of the relationship between spring extreme precipitation over Southwest China and preceding winter SST anomalies over the South Indian Ocean after the late 1980s
Nan et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7746

Understanding the uncertainty of the long-term precipitation trend under global warming through the water cycle
Tu & Lu, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7463

Spatio-temporal analysis of copula-based probabilistic multivariate drought index using CMIP6 model
Dixit & Jayakumar, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7469

Analysis of soil moisture trends in Europe using rank-based and empirical decomposition approaches
Almendra-Martín et al., Global and Planetary Change, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2022.103868

Future Changes in the Transitions of Monthly-to-Seasonal Precipitation Extremes over the Midwest in CMIP6 Models
Chen & Ford, , Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1527171/v1

Contribution of Thunderstorms to Changes in Hourly Extreme Precipitation over China from 1980 to 2011
Ng et al., Journal of Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0701.1

Sustainability of Costa Rica’s water supply under climate change scenarios
Stan et al., Environmental Science & Policy, 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.05.021

Climate vulnerability of irrigation systems in the Upper Indus Basin: insights from three Karakoram villages in northern Pakistan
Khan et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1944839

Climate change economics

The impact of climate change on budget balances and debt in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region
Giovanis & Ozdamar, Climatic Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-022-03388-x

The Environmental Tax: Effects on Inequality and Growth
Spinesi, Environmental and Resource Economics, 10.1007/s10640-022-00662-5

International Environmental Agreements and Black Technology
Kollenbach, Environmental and Resource Economics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10640-022-00668-z

Overcoming misleading carbon footprints in the financial sector
Janssen et al., Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2022.2083548

Weaponizing economics: Big Oil, economic consultants, and climate policy delay
Franta, Environmental Politics, Open Access pdf 10.1080/09644016.2021.1947636

Sustainable, green, and climate-resilient cities: an analysis of multilateral development banks
Bazbauers, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1974331

Climate change mitigation public policy research

Vicarious scale and instrumental imaginaries in community sustainable transitions
Aiken et al., Global Environmental Change, Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102543

Future scenarios of China’s electric vehicle ownership: A modeling study based on system dynamic approach
Pu et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02474-5

The Potential of Peatlands as Nature-Based Climate Solutions
Strack et al., Current Climate Change Reports, 10.1007/s40641-022-00183-9

City-level impacts of building tune-ups: Findings from Seattle's building tune-ups program
Walter & Mathew, Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113096

The impact of renewables on the incidents of negative prices in the energy spot markets
Prokhorov & Dreisbach, Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113073

Estimating quantity and equity of carbon emission from roads based on an improved LCA approach: the case of China
Liu et al., The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 10.1007/s11367-022-02066-5

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

Prioritization of Resilience Initiatives for Climate-Related Disasters in the Metropolitan City of Venice
Bonato et al., Risk Analysis, Open Access 10.1111/risa.13823

Coastal hazard mitigation considerations: perspectives from northern Gulf of Mexico coastal professionals and decision-makers
DeLorme et al., Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 10.1007/s13412-022-00771-z

The treatment of climate change impacts and adaptation in the environmental impact assessment of the standard Gauge railway project in Tanzania
Rweyendela & Mwegoha, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1911774

Climate mainstreaming via national climate funds: the experiences of Bangladesh and Ethiopia
Bhandary, Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2021.1921686

Education and adaptive capacity: the influence of formal education on climate change adaptation of pastoral women
Walker et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1930508

Role clarification for local institutions: a missing link in multi-level adaptation planning? Insights from a multiple case study in Botswana
Sethamo et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.1924109

Local knowledge in climate change adaptation in the Cook Islands
de Scally & Doberstein, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1927658

Super-bureaucracy in climate adaptation governance in Bangladesh
Rahman et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1937029

Traditional communities, territories and climate change in the literature – case studies and the role of law
Iocca & Fidélis , Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2021.1949573

Interrogating ‘effectiveness’ in climate change adaptation: 11 guiding principles for adaptation research and practice
Singh et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.1964937

Adaptation to climate change induced water stress in major glacierized mountain regions
Aggarwal et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1971059

Tackling knowledge and power: an environmental justice perspective on climate change adaptation in Kiribati
Klepp & Fünfgeld, Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.1984866

How is science making its way into national climate change adaptation policy? Insights from Burkina Faso
Theokritoff & Lise D’haen, Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.2018985

Best intentions and local realities: unseating assumptions about implementing planned community-based adaptation in Bangladesh
Masud-All-Kamal & Nursey-Bray, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.2003177

Community perceptions of climate change and ecosystem-based adaptation in the mangrove ecosystem of the Rufiji Delta, Tanzania
Nyangoko et al., Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2021.2022449

Breaking vicious cycles? A systems perspective on Southern leadership in climate and development research programmes
Harvey et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.2020614

Disentangling the concepts of global climate change, adaptation, and human mobility: a political-ecological exploration in Vietnam’s Mekong Delta
Bayrak et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2028596

Diverse pathways to climate change adaptation through a postdevelopment lens: the case of Tambaliza Island, Philippines
See et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2029340

Win-win: designing dual-use in climate projects for effective anti-corruption in Bangladesh
Khan et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2022.2027741

Evaluating the impact of adaptation interventions on vulnerability and livelihood resilience
Gaworek-Michalczenia et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.2018987

Coastal communities’ responses to climate change and variability impacts: a threat to coastal and marine resources?
Rubekie et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.2018984

Who defines community in community-based adaptation: different perceptions of community between government and citizens in Ethiopia
Chung, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2061894

Spatial overview of climate change impacts in Bangladesh: a systematic review
Ahmed & Khan, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2022.2062284

Climate change impacts on human health

Extreme events and gender-based violence: a mixed-methods systematic review
van Daalen et al., The Lancet Planetary Health, 10.1016/s2542-5196(22)00088-2

Assessing the effect of extreme heat on workforce health in the southwestern USA
Bandala et al., International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-022-04180-1

Vulnerability of tropical Indian cities to augmenting heat stress during summer and monsoon season months (1969–2015)
Dhorde et al., Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 10.1007/s00703-022-00897-3

The emergence of prolonged deadly humid heatwaves
Wang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7750

Exploring the Health Impacts of Climate Change in Subsistence Fishing Communities throughout Micronesia: A Narrative Review
Hodgson et al., Weather, Climate, and Society, 10.1175/wcas-d-21-0169.1

Temporal changes of heat-attributable mortality in Prague, Czech Republic, over 1982–2019
Urban et al., Urban Climate, Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101197

Climate change and water-related diseases in developing countries of Western Asia: a systematic literature review
Teymouri & Dehghanzadeh, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1911773

Puppeteering as a metaphor for unpacking power in participatory action research on climate change and health
Meriläinen et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.1930509

Extreme heat vulnerability assessment in tropical region: a case study in Malaysia
Kamal et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1937030

Climate change-mediated heat stress vulnerability and adaptation strategies among outdoor workers
Odonkor & Adams, Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1954867

Climate change impacts on human culture

Reshaping ties to land: a systematic review of the psychosocial and cultural impacts of Pacific climate-related mobility
Yates et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1911775

Climate change and hunter-gatherers in montane eastern DR Congo
Batumike et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.1930987

Climate change risks to human development in sub-Saharan Africa: a review of the literature
Dickerson et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1951644

Other

Objective classification of weather types for the Eastern Siberia over the 1970–2020 period using the Jenkinson and Collison method
Osipova & Osipov, Atmospheric Research, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106291

Can International Climate Cooperation Induce Knowledge Spillover to Developing Countries? Evidence from CDM
Cui et al., Environmental and Resource Economics, 10.1007/s10640-022-00697-8

The greening of the European petroleum industry
Midttun et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112964

The signal-to-noise Paradox in ENSO prediction: Role of ENSO growth rate and period
Jin, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl097965

Funding flows for climate change research on Africa: where do they come from and where do they go?
Overland et al., Climate and Development, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17565529.2021.1976609

Gender issues within climate change research: a bibliometric analysis
Kovaleva et al., Climate and Development, 10.1080/17565529.2021.1980365

Are fossil fuel CEOs responsible for climate change? Social structure and criminal law approaches to climate litigation
Gunderson & Fyock, Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 10.1007/s13412-021-00735-9

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

Climate Change, Fossil-Fuel Pollution, and Children’s Health
Perera et al., Environmental Research, 10.1016/j.envres.2018.12.016

Why scientists succeed yet their organizations splinter: Historical and social network analyses of policy advocacy in conservation
Nyssa, Environmental Science & Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2019.05.007

Carbon storage shifts around Antarctica
Meredith, Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-31152-3

Aligning artificial intelligence with climate change mitigation
Kaack et al., Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01377-7

Book reviews

Climate: change, crisis, and contention
Perkins, Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Open Access 10.1007/s13412-021-00724-y

The rise of ecofascism: climate change and the far right
Lubarda, Environmental Politics, Open Access pdf 10.1080/09644016.2022.2087333

Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

Building Energy Security Through Accelerated Energy Transition, Energy Transitions Commission

The Energy Transitions Commission (ETC) is a global coalition of leaders from across the energy landscape committed to achieving net-zero emissions by mid-century, in line with the Paris climate objective of limiting global warming to well below 2°C and ideally to 1.5°C. The ETC’s primary focus is on the medium-term strategies required to build zero carbon economies across the world, limiting climate change as close as possible to 1.5°C. But the immediate crisis makes it imperative to improve European energy security and to manage the impact of high gas, electricity, and fuel prices on consumers and businesses in Europe and across the world.

Decarb America: Employment Impacts in a Decarbonized Economy, Chan et al., Third Way, Bipartisan Policy Center, and Clean Air Task Force

Decarbonizing the U.S. economy will create a net increase of over 2 million jobs by mid-century. The energy efficiency sector is a key employment driver in the first decade, but as we move toward 2050, other sectors will spur the most job growth in areas such as transmission and distribution and CO2 pipelines, depending on various conditions like deployability, constraints, and existing technologies. Electric vehicles are projected to create hundreds of thousands of jobs–with further potential if domestic supply chain management and manufacturing increases. As technologies like carbon capture and storage, direct air capture, and advanced nuclear energy near commercialization, the US will build out entire industries for these technologies, creating hundreds of thousands of direct and indirect jobs. Biomass-based fuels will be a major source of jobs from 2030 onward. Use of biomass feedstocks, biofuels and Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage hydrogen to reach net-zero goals is projected to support hundreds of thousands of new jobs in 2050.


Southern Company Knew. How a “clean coal” utility was warned about climate change risks years before it funded climate disinformation 1964-2022, David Anderson, The Energy and Policy Institute

A growing body of academic research and investigative reporting has documented how major fossil fuel producers, utilities, and automakers knew more than fifty years ago that carbon dioxide emissions could cause harmful climate change in the future. Despite these early warnings, many of these powerful companies later backed disinformation campaigns against climate science and policies. The report documents for the first time the nearly 60-year history of one of those vested interests, Southern Company, on climate change from the mid-1960s through present day. One of the nation’s largest electric and gas utilities, Southern Company’s origins date back nearly a century. Part one of the report documents how as far back as 1964, Southern Company was privy to early warnings about the climate risks of burning fossil fuels. Part two details how Southern Company has played a leading role in the spread of climate disinformation since the late 1980s.

Deny, Deceive, Delay: Documenting and Responding to Climate Disinformation at Cop26 and Beyond, King et al., Institute for Strategic Dialogue, CASM Technology and Climate Action Against Disinformation Alliance

Drawing on research compiled over the past 18 months, and especially in the margins and aftermath of COP26, the authors have clear evidence of the challenge at hand: the failure to stem mis- and disinformation online has allowed junk science, climate delayism and attacks on climate figures to become mainstreamed. The analysis shows how a small but dedicated community of actors boast disproportionate reach and engagement across social media, reaching millions of people worldwide and bolstered by legacy print, broadcast and radio outlets. Far from helping to mitigate this issue, tech platform systems appear to be amplifying or exacerbating the spread of such content. Moreover, the taxonomy of harm relating to climate mis- and disinformation has been poorly defined to date, providing an inadequate basis for response. The report is a collective effort to quantify the problem and establish concrete responses for the months and years ahead. It is a data-driven examination of the landscape, actors, systems and approaches that are combining to prevent action on climate.

Global reaction to energy crisis risks zero carbon transition: Analysis of government responses to Russia’s invasion of UkraineNew Climate Institute and Climate Analytics

The world is going through a major energy crisis as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. At the same time, the next few years are critical for climate action—a last chance to keep the 1.5°C temperature limit within reach. So far, governments have largely failed to seize their chance to rearrange their energy supplies away from fossil fuels. Instead, we are witnessing a global “gold rush” for new fossil gas production, pipelines and liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities. This risks locking us into another high-carbon decade and keeping the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit out of reach. Fossil gas production and infrastructure expansion is planned around the globe with the argument to replace Russian gas.

Playing with Fire: The Climate Impact of the Rapid Growth of LNG, Shaykevich et al., Environmental Integrity Project

The United States went from exporting no liquefied natural gas (LNG) in 2015 to becoming one of the largest exporters in the world by 2021. Now, as some countries begin to avoid Russian energy imports because of its invasion of Ukraine, the unprecedented supply disruptions caused by the war have increased pressure on U.S. LNG exporters to fill the void. In March 2022, as European gas prices surged to record levels, America exported 7.6 million metric tons of LNG, quadruple the amount four years earlier. By the end of this year, the U.S. is expected to have more LNG export capacity than any other country in the world. But this rapid growth will have a significant environmental impact. Twenty-five LNG construction or expansion projects in the U.S., including four new LNG terminals currently being built in Texas and Louisiana, could emit more than 90 million tons of greenhouse gases per year. That’s almost as much climate warming pollution as 18 million passenger vehicles running for a year – more than from all the cars and trucks in Florida or New York State. The true carbon footprint of LNG will be several times higher, if all upstream and downstream impacts are included.

Building Alliances for Climate Action. Advancing Climate Action Through PartnershipsResilient Nation Partnership Network, Federal Emergency Management Administration and National Aeronautics and Space Administration

At a time when many are searching for direction on how to address the climate crisis, the co-created resource represents a unifying voice, providing partner perspectives, personal stories, insights and resources the whole community can use to address climate change. It is the work of many organizations and individuals, including federal representatives, faith leaders, community-based organizations, mayors and many more.

Footing the bill. Fair finance for loss and damage in an era of escalating climate impacts, Tracy Carty and Lyndsay Walsh, Oxfam

An important indicator of rising climate impacts and associated loss and damage is increasing humanitarian need. The author’s research reveals that funding requirements for UN humanitarian appeals linked to extreme weather are eight times higher today than they were 20 years ago. As climate change escalates, the humanitarian system is being put under increasing strain and is unable to adequately respond. The author’s research also estimates that over the past five years, UN humanitarian appeals linked to extreme weather were only 54% funded on average, resulting in an estimated funding shortfall of $28–$33bn. While alarming, these numbers do not even come close to reflecting the full scale of climate-induced loss and damage. Flooding in Europe in 2021 caused $45.6bn in losses, while in 2017 Hurricane Maria caused damage equivalent to 226% of Dominica’s GDP. The true scale of loss and damage goes beyond humanitarian appeals and is rising. Estimated costs of loss and damage by 2030 range from $290bn to $580bn. Non-economic loss and damage is also profound and far reaching, encompassing loss of life, cultural identity, Indigenous and local knowledge, human health, biodiversity and territory. The costs of climate impacts will continue to skyrocket with every fraction of a degree of warming. Emissions are rising and temperature increases are on track for 2.4?C, if not more. Even with ambitious action to cut emissions and adapt, further consequences of climate change are no longer avoidable – and failure to slash emissions means that far worse may be to come.

Do electric vehicles produce more tyre and brake pollution than petrol and diesel cars? Euan McTurk, Royal Automobile Club

Every so often, it is claimed that electric vehicles (EVs) are somehow dirtier than the petrol and diesel cars that they are replacing. One common angle of attack concerns particulate matter, which is the very fine particles produced by petrol and diesel exhausts, tyres and brakes. Particulate matter concentrates in the air close to ground level, at child height. The smallest nanoparticles waste no time in entering the bloodstream with numerous grave health consequences, including heart attacks and strokes. When slowing a car down, the brake pads are pressed against the brake discs, emitting a fine particulate matter dust in the process. While this happens with all vehicles, brake use, and therefore brake wear, on electric vehicles is substantially less than on petrol and diesel cars. This is because, in EVs, most of the braking can be done via regenerative braking. This is where the electric motor works in reverse, converting kinetic energy from the moving vehicle into electricity, which is used to charge the battery when slowing down. This not only reduces the use of the mechanical brake discs and pads, but adds more range to the vehicle, too.

Status Report on Disability Inclusion in National Climate Commitments and PoliciesDisability Inclusive Climate Action Research Program, McGill University and International Disability Alliance

The report provides a systematic analysis of the inclusion of persons with disabilities and their rights in the climate commitments and policies adopted by State Parties to the Paris Agreement, adopted under the auspices of United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). States are falling far short of their obligations in this regard. A minority of State Parties to the Paris Agreement include persons with disabilities in their Nationally Determined Contributions and climate adaptation policies. In cases where disability has been included, it is largely to indicate the vulnerability of persons with disabilities to climate change impacts or to signal the need for their inclusion, without providing concrete measures to enhance their resilience and adaptive capacity. Moreover, there are no references to disability in any State Party’s climate mitigation policy. The exclusion of people with disabilities from most domestic climate policies is especially troubling given the evidence that they are disproportionally affected by climate impacts and are often adversely affected by measures adopted to reduce carbon emissions.

How Regional Federal Reserve Banks Can Contend with Economic Risk from Climate Change, Dougherty et al.,Natural Resources Defense Council

Climate change poses a significant risk to our financial system and to individual banks. Therefore, as part of its duty to monitor and contain systemic financial risk, the Federal Reserve System (Fed) and the District Banks have a duty to address climate change–related financial risk. More specifically, fully incorporating climate risk into the Fed’s and the District Banks’ oversight of the financial system and individual banks would help prevent individual bank failures and protect the broader financial system and economy, key Fed mandates. By considering the risks— both to the economy generally and to individual financial institutions—posed by more extreme weather events and a transition to a low-carbon economy, the Fed can potentially avert or cushion shocks to impacted industries, geographical areas, and crosscutting supply chains and to affected lenders, investors, and consumers. The report focuses on the role that the 12 District Banks can play in elevating climate change considerations in the Fed’s oversight of the nation’s economy and financial system.

Closed-Loop Pumped Storage Hydropower Resource Assessment for the United States, Rosenlieb et al., National Renewable Energy Laboratory

A GIS-based analysis of potential new closed-loop pumped storage hydropower (PSH) systems in the contiguous United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico finds technical potential for 35 terawatt-hours (TWh) of energy storage across 14,846 sites, which represents 3.5 terawatts (TW) of capacity when assuming a 10-hour storage duration. Areas with the greatest density of technical potential and the lowest-cost sites are in regions with higher elevation differences, such the Rocky Mountains, the Cascade Range, and the Alaska Range, which leads to a significant concentration of technical potential in the western United States. Results presented by the authors can help identify areas that merit further evaluation for economic deployment potential, and future work can refine this analysis by examining a wider range of technical configurations of PSH systems and by using a cost model that better estimates cost of PSH development in the U.S.


Net Zero Stocktake 2022. Assessing the status and trends of net zero target setting across countries, sub-national governments and companies, Hans et al., NewClimate Institute, Oxford Net Zero, Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit and Data-Driven EnviroLab

As net zero targets have entered the mainstream, so too have efforts to track and govern them - in large part a response to concerns that many pledges have little substance behind them and so generate low confidence that they will be delivered. The authors present a comprehensive analysis of progress since the previous Taking Stock report was published 15 months ago, a period that included the 2021 UN climate summit in Glasgow where many political and business leaders made fresh carbon-cutting pledges. As then, and in line with the findings of other recently published literature on net zero, deeper analysis reveals a mixed and uncomfortable picture. Overall, the transparency and integrity of existing net zero pledges are far from sufficient to ensure a timely transition to global net zero greenhouse gas emissions by mid-century. Net zero target setting momentum continues, but more net zero targets alone cannot deliver the temperature goals of the Paris Agreement; the focus needs to be on better targets and identifying the ones that are not credible. While we observe some increase in the robustness of commitments, especially at the national level, an alarming lack of credibility still pervades the entire landscape. This is problematic because if some of the targets disguise inaction it can create a false sense of progress.

Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment. A Decadal Synopsis And Recommendations For Action,  Chown et al., Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research, Cambridge, United Kingdom

This report provides concise compiled synopses of current understanding, explicit recommendations for actions to address change, and recommendations for additional research. The primary aim of this report is to provide a readily accessible, cross-referenced synoptic overview of current knowledge of and projections for climate change and its impacts in the Antarctic and Southern Ocean regions, coupled with specific recommendations on policy actions to address change in the Antarctic.


Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions

We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as "On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article's relevance and importance. 

  • Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate
  • The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you're interested in an article title and it is not listed here as "open access," be sure to check the link anyway. 

How is New Research assembled?

Most articles appearing here are found via  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance. 

Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database. 

The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:

  • Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a "yes" to this automatically. 
  • Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week's 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.

A few journals offer public access to "preprint" versions of articles for which the review process is not yet complete. For some key journals this all the mention we'll see in RSS feeds, so we include such items in New Research. These are flagged as "preprint."

The section "Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives" includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of "perspectives," observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.

Suggestions

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Journals covered

A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.

Previous edition

The previous edition of Skeptical Science New Research may be found here.

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