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Climate Myth |
vs |
What the Science Says |
| 2 |
"It's the sun" |
In the last 35 years of global warming, sun and climate have been going in opposite directions |
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| 4 |
"There is no consensus" |
97% of climate experts agree humans are causing global warming. |
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| 6 |
"Models are unreliable" |
Models successfully reproduce temperatures since 1900 globally, by land, in the air and the ocean. |
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| 8 |
"Animals and plants can adapt" |
Global warming will cause mass extinctions of species that cannot adapt on short time scales. |
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| 10 |
"Antarctica is gaining ice" |
Satellites measure Antarctica losing land ice at an accelerating rate. |
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| 12 |
"CO2 lags temperature" |
CO2 didn't initiate warming from past ice ages but it did amplify the warming. |
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| 14 |
"We're heading into an ice age" |
Worry about global warming impacts in the next 100 years, not an ice age in over 10,000 years. |
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| 16 |
"Hockey stick is broken" |
Recent studies agree that recent global temperatures are unprecedented in the last 1000 years. |
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| 18 |
"Hurricanes aren't linked to global warming" |
There is increasing evidence that hurricanes are getting stronger due to global warming. |
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| 20 |
"Glaciers are growing" |
Most glaciers are retreating, posing a serious problem for millions who rely on glaciers for water. |
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| 22 |
"1934 - hottest year on record" |
1934 was one of the hottest years in the US, not globally. |
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| 24 |
"Extreme weather isn't caused by global warming" |
Extreme weather events are being made more frequent and worse by global warming. |
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| 26 |
"It's Urban Heat Island effect" |
Urban and rural regions show the same warming trend. |
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| 28 |
"Mars is warming" |
Mars is not warming globally. |
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| 30 |
"Increasing CO2 has little to no effect" |
The strong CO2 effect has been observed by many different measurements. |
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| 32 |
"It's a 1500 year cycle" |
Ancient natural cycles are irrelevant for attributing recent global warming to humans. |
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| 34 |
"IPCC is alarmist" |
Numerous papers have documented how IPCC predictions are more likely to underestimate the climate response. |
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| 36 |
"Polar bear numbers are increasing" |
Polar bears are in danger of extinction as well as many other species. |
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| 38 |
"It's not happening" |
There are many lines of evidence indicating global warming is unequivocal. |
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| 40 |
"Greenland is gaining ice" |
Greenland on the whole is losing ice, as confirmed by satellite measurement. |
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| 42 |
"There's no empirical evidence" |
There are multiple lines of direct observations that humans are causing global warming. |
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| 44 |
"Other planets are warming" |
Mars and Jupiter are not warming, and anyway the sun has recently been cooling slightly. |
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| 46 |
"There's no correlation between CO2 and temperature" |
There is long-term correlation between CO2 and global temperature; other effects are short-term. |
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| 48 |
"It cooled mid-century" |
Mid-century cooling involved aerosols and is irrelevant for recent global warming. |
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| 50 |
"CO2 was higher in the past" |
When CO2 was higher in the past, the sun was cooler. |
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| 52 |
"Satellites show no warming in the troposphere" |
The most recent satellite data show that the earth as a whole is warming. |
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| 54 |
"2009-2010 winter saw record cold spells" |
A cold day in Chicago in winter has nothing to do with the trend of global warming. |
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| 56 |
"Mt. Kilimanjaro's ice loss is due to land use" |
Most glaciers are in rapid retreat worldwide, notwithstanding a few complicated cases. |
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| 58 |
"It's a natural cycle" |
No known natural forcing fits the fingerprints of observed warming except anthropogenic greenhouse gases. |
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| 60 |
"It's Pacific Decadal Oscillation" |
The PDO shows no trend, and therefore the PDO is not responsible for the trend of global warming. |
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| 62 |
"IPCC were wrong about Himalayan glaciers" |
Glaciers are in rapid retreat worldwide, despite 1 error in 1 paragraph in a 1000 page IPCC report. |
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| 64 |
"Greenhouse effect has been falsified" |
The greenhouse effect is standard physics and confirmed by observations. |
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| 66 |
"Clouds provide negative feedback" |
Evidence is building that net cloud feedback is likely positive and unlikely to be strongly negative. |
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| 68 |
"Sea level rise predictions are exaggerated" |
Sea level rise is now increasing faster than predicted due to unexpectedly rapid ice melting. |
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| 70 |
"IPCC were wrong about Amazon rainforests" |
The IPCC statement on Amazon rainforests was correct, and was incorrectly reported in some media. |
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| 72 |
"CO2 effect is saturated" |
Direct measurements find that rising CO2 is trapping more heat. |
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| 74 |
"Greenland ice sheet won't collapse" |
When Greenland was 3 to 5 degrees C warmer than today, a large portion of the Ice Sheet melted. |
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| 76 |
"CO2 is just a trace gas" |
Many substances are dangerous even in trace amounts; what really matters is the total amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. |
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| 78 |
"CO2 has a short residence time" |
Excess CO2 from human emissions has a long residence time of over 100 years |
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| 80 |
"Humidity is falling" |
Multiple lines of independent evidence indicate humidity is rising and provides positive feedback. |
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| 82 |
"Springs aren't advancing" |
Hundreds of flowers across the UK are flowering earlier now than any time in 250 years. |
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| 84 |
"It's land use" |
Land use plays a minor role in climate change, although carbon sequestration may help to mitigate. |
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| 86 |
"CO2 is not increasing" |
CO2 is increasing rapidly, and is reaching levels not seen on the earth for millions of years. |
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| 88 |
"They changed the name from 'global warming' to 'climate change'" |
'Global warming' and 'climate change' mean different things and have both been used for decades. |
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| 90 |
"CO2 is coming from the ocean" |
The ocean is absorbing massive amounts of CO2, and is becoming more acidic as a result. |
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| 92 |
"Pluto is warming" |
And the sun has been recently cooling. |
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| 94 |
"Peer review process was corrupted" |
An Independent Review concluded that CRU's actions were normal and didn't threaten the integrity of peer review. |
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| 96 |
"Renewable energy is too expensive" |
When you account for all of the costs associated with burning coal and other fossil fuels, like air pollution and health effects, in reality they are significantly more expensive than most renewable energy sources. |
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| 98 |
"Sea level rise is decelerating" |
Global sea level data shows that sea level rise has been increasing since 1880 while future sea level rise predictions are based on physics, not statistics. |
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| 100 |
"It's microsite influences" |
Microsite influences on temperature changes are minimal; good and bad sites show the same trend. |
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| 102 |
"Phil Jones says no global warming since 1995" |
Phil Jones was misquoted. |
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| 104 |
"Infrared Iris will reduce global warming" |
The iris hypothesis has not withstood the test of time - subsequent research has found that if it exists, the effect is much smaller than originally hypothesized, and may even slightly amplify rather than reducing global warming. |
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| 106 |
"It's too hard" |
Scientific studies have determined that current technology is sufficient to reduce greenhouse gas emissions enough to avoid dangerous climate change. |
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| 108 |
"It's albedo" |
Albedo change in the Arctic, due to receding ice, is increasing global warming. |
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| 110 |
"It's soot" |
Soot stays in the atmosphere for days to weeks; carbon dioxide causes warming for centuries. |
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| 112 |
"Hansen's 1988 prediction was wrong" |
Jim Hansen had several possible scenarios; his mid-level scenario B was right. |
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| 114 |
"Earth hasn't warmed as much as expected" |
This argument ignores the cooling effect of aerosols and the planet's thermal inertia. |
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| 116 |
"It's a climate regime shift" |
There is no evidence that climate has chaotic “regimes” on a long-term basis. |
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| 118 |
"Less than half of published scientists endorse global warming" |
Around 97% of climate experts agree that humans are causing global warming. |
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| 120 |
"Over 31,000 scientists signed the OISM Petition Project" |
The 'OISM petition' was signed by only a few climatologists. |
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| 122 |
"A drop in volcanic activity caused warming" |
Volcanoes have had no warming effect in recent global warming - if anything, a cooling effect. |
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| 124 |
"Sea level is not rising" |
The claim sea level isn’t rising is based on blatantly doctored graphs contradicted by observations. |
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| 126 |
"Climate is chaotic and cannot be predicted" |
Weather is chaotic but climate is driven by Earth's energy imbalance, which is more predictable. |
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| 128 |
"Climate 'Skeptics' are like Galileo" |
Modern scientists, not anti-science skeptics, follow in Galileo’s footsteps. |
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| 130 |
"Tuvalu sea level isn't rising" |
Tuvalu sea level is rising 3 times larger than the global average. |
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| 132 |
"Renewables can't provide baseload power" |
A number of renewable sources already do provide baseload power, and we don't need renewables to provide a large percentage of baseload power immediately. |
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| 134 |
"Ice Sheet losses are overestimated" |
A number of independent measurements find extensive ice loss from Antarctica and Greenland. |
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| 136 |
"Melting ice isn't warming the Arctic" |
Melting ice leads to more sunlight being absorbed by water, thus heating the Arctic. |
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| 138 |
"Satellite error inflated Great Lakes temperatures" |
Temperature errors in the Great Lakes region are not used in any global temperature records. |
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| 140 |
"We're heading into cooling" |
There is no scientific basis for claims that the planet will begin to cool in the near future. |
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| 142 |
"The sun is getting hotter" |
The sun has just had the deepest solar minimum in 100 years. |
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| 144 |
"CO2 emissions do not correlate with CO2 concentration" |
That humans are causing the rise in atmospheric CO2 is confirmed by multiple isotopic analyses. |
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| 146 |
"Water vapor in the stratosphere stopped global warming" |
This possibility just means that future global warming could be even worse. |
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| 148 |
"An exponential increase in CO2 will result in a linear increase in temperature" |
CO2 levels are rising so fast that unless we decrease emissions, global warming will accelerate this century. |
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| 150 |
"Mauna Loa is a volcano" |
The global trend is calculated from hundreds of CO2 measuring stations and confirmed by satellites. |
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| 152 |
"97% consensus on human-caused global warming has been disproven" |
The 97% consensus has been independently confirmed by a number of different approaches and lines of evidence. |
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| 154 |
"Deniers are part of the 97%" |
If anyone claims to be part of the 97 percent, it means they disagree with the contrarian argument that humans are having a minimal impact on global warming. |
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| 156 |
"It's planetary movements" |
Blaming global warming on the movements of other planets is little more than 'climastrology' and curve fitting without a physical basis. |
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| 158 |
"Positive feedback means runaway warming" |
Positive feedback won't lead to runaway warming; diminishing returns on feedback cycles limit the amplification. |
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| 160 |
"CO2 was higher in the late Ordovician" |
The sun was much cooler during the Ordovician. |
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| 162 |
"It's internal variability" |
Internal variability can only account for small amounts of warming and cooling over periods of decades, and scientific studies have consistently shown that it cannot account for the global warming over the past century. |
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| 164 |
"No warming in 16 years" |
Global surface temperatures have continued to rise steadily beneath short-term natural cooling effects, and the rise in global heat content has not slowed at all. |
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| 166 |
"It's CFCs" |
CFCs contribute at a small level. |
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| 168 |
"Warming causes CO2 rise" |
Recent warming is due to rising CO2. |
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| 170 |
"Schmittner finds low climate sensitivity" |
The Schmittner et al. study finds low probability of both very low and very high climate sensitivities, and its lower estimate (as compared to the IPCC) is based on a new temperature reconstruction of the Last Glacial Maximum that may or may not withstand the test of time. |
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| 172 |
"Greenland has only lost a tiny fraction of its ice mass" |
Greenland's ice loss is accelerating & will add metres of sea level rise in upcoming centuries. |
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| 174 |
"Ben Santer and the 1995 IPCC report" |
The IPCC operates by consensus. Ben Santer could not have and did not single-handedly alter the 1995 IPCC report. Accusations to the contrary are simply an attempt to re-write history. |
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| 176 |
"It's a climate shift step function caused by natural cycles" |
Natural cycles superimposed on a linear warming trend can be mistaken for step changes, but the underlying warming is caused by the external radiative forcing. |
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| 178 |
"It's only a few degrees" |
A few degrees of global warming has a huge impact on ice sheets, sea levels and other aspects of climate. |
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| 180 |
"CO2 only causes 35% of global warming" |
CO2 and corresponding water vapor feedback are the biggest cause of global warming. |
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| 182 |
"Sea level fell in 2010" |
The temporary drop in sea level in 2010 was due to intense land flooding caused by a strong La Nina. |
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| 184 |
"UAH atmospheric temperatures prove climate models and/or surface temperature data sets are wrong" |
The most likely explanation for UAH data warming less than expected is that the UAH data set is biased low. |
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| 186 |
"Ljungqvist broke the hockey stick" |
Ljungqvist's temperature reconstruction is very similar to other reconstructions by Moberg and Mann. |
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| 188 |
"Removing all CO2 would make little difference" |
Removing CO2 would cause most water in the air to rain out and cancel most of the greenhouse effect. |
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| 190 |
"Loehle and Scafetta find a 60 year cycle causing global warming" |
Loehle and Scafetta's paper is nothing more than a curve fitting exercise with no physical basis using an overly simplistic model. |
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| 192 |
"Underground temperatures control climate" |
The amount of heat energy coming out of the Earth is too small to even be worth considering. |
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| 194 |
"Heatwaves have happened before" |
Global warming is increasing the frequency, duration and intensity of heatwaves. |
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