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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #49, 2020

Posted on 9 December 2020 by Doug Bostrom

No bloviation? 

Because we've had an unusually large number of articles come in, this week's New Research has bumped up against a length limit. Hence readers will be either deeply saddened or entirely delighted to miss the usual article highlight and "editorial remarks."

153 Articles 

[We regret to say that after last week's mangling problem with URLs, the AMS is AWOL entirely for this week, with the AMS RSS feed not showing recent entries. Meanwhile, AGU is back.]

Physical science of climate change, effects

Clouds, radiation, and atmospheric circulation in the present?day climate and under climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/wcc.694

Observations of climate change, effects

Using Bayesian Statistics to Detect Trends in Alaskan Precipitation
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6946

Reviews and syntheses: Present, past, and future of the oxygen minimum zone in the northern Indian Ocean
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-6051-2020

Past ‘peak water’ in the North Caucasus: deglaciation drives a reduction in glacial runoff impacting summer river runoff and peak discharges
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02931-y

The warming Tibetan Plateau improves winter air quality in the Sichuan Basin, China
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-14873-2020

Widespread Persistent Extreme Cold Events over South?East China:Mechanisms, trends and attribution.
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033447

Significant shallow–depth soil warming over Russia during the past 40?years
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103394

An updated long?term homogenized daily temperature data set for Australia
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.95

CLASSnmat: A global night marine air temperature data set, 1880–2019
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.100

ACSIS Atlantic Ocean medium resolution SST dataset: Reconstructed 5?day, ½?degree, Atlantic Ocean SST (1950?2014)
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.94

Reconstruction of a long?term historical daily maximum and minimum air temperature network dataset for Ireland (1831?1968)
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.92 (preprint)

High?resolution gridded climate data for Europe based on bias?corrected EURO?CORDEX: The ECLIPS dataset
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.110

Historical trends of seasonal Greenland blocking under different blocking metrics
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6923

The spatiotemporal variations of winter severity over North America
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6934

Delayed retreat of the summer monsoon over the Indochina Peninsula linked to surface warming trends
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6938

Trend analysis of cold extremes in South Africa: 1960?2016
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6947

Tropospheric thermal field variability over Poland in the context of climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6933

Multi?year hydroclimatic droughts and pluvials across the conterminous United States
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6925

An endless summer: 2018 heat episodes in Europe in the context of secular temperature variability and change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6582

Process?based attribution of long?term surface warming over the Tibetan Plateau
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6589

Spatiotemporal variations in monthly relative humidity in China based on observations and CMIP5 models
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6587

Enhanced winter and summer trend difference of Madden–Julian Oscillation intensity since 1871

Precipitation trends in the island of Ireland using a dense, homogenized, observational dataset
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6592

Rainfall and streamflow extreme events in the São Francisco hydrographic region
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6807

Long?term trends in snowfall characteristics and extremes in Japan from 1961 to 2012
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6960

Unnatural Trend of Global Land Long?term Surface Air Temperature Change
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6961

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

The Antarctic sea ice cover from ICESat-2 and CryoSat-2: freeboard, snow depth, and ice thickness
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-4453-2020

Constraining the Twomey effect from satellite observations: issues and perspectives
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-15079-2020

Controls on the 14C?content of dissolved and particulate organic carbon mobilized across the Mackenzie River basin, Canada

Satellite monitoring of global surface soil organic carbon dynamics using the SMAP Level 4 Carbon product
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg006100

Using Bayesian Statistics to Detect Trends in Alaskan Precipitation
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6946

Amplification of Winter Sea Surface Temperature Response over East China Seas to Global Warming Acceleration and Slowdown
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6948

Temperature changes and elevation?warming relationships in the Carpathian Mountains
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6952

Analyzing the impact of automatization using parallel daily mean temperature series including breakpoint detection and homogenization
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6597

Validation of ECMWF climatic data, 1979–2017, and implications for modelling water balance for tropical climates
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6604

Towards a comprehensive understanding of global vegetation CO2 assimilation from space

Assimilation of OCO-2 retrievals with WRF-Chem/DART: A case study for the Midwestern United States
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.118106

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects MSWE

Projected changes in days with zero?crossings for Norway
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6913

Non?additive response of the high?latitude Southern Hemisphere climate to aerosol forcing in a climate model with interactive chemistry
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/asl.1004

Extreme hot days over three global mega?regions: Historical fidelity and future projection
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/asl.1003

The Response of the Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks and Jet Streams to Climate Change in the CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Climate Models
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032701

A model for the Artic mixed layer circulation under a melted lead: Implications on the near-surface temperature maximum formation
Open Access DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-322 (preprint)

Inter?model spread of the changes in the East Asian summer monsoon system in CMIP5/6 models
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033016

Contrasting aerosol effects on longwave cloud forcing in South East Asia and Amazon simulated with Community Atmosphere Model version 5.3
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032380

Future changes of cluster high temperature events over China from RegCM4 ensemble under RCP4.5 scenario
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.007

Evaluation of precipitation in CMIP6 over the Yangtze River Basin
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105406

Impact of ocean-atmosphere coupling on future projection of medicanes in the Mediterranean Sea

Future changes in precipitation for identified sub?regions in East Asia using bias?corrected multi?RCMs
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6936

The impact of Indian Ocean dipole on tropical Indian Ocean surface wave heights in ERA5 and CMIP5 models
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6900

Biogeophysical impacts of land use/land cover change on 20th century anthropogenic climate compared to the impacts of greenhouse gas change

Spatiotemporal variations in monthly relative humidity in China based on observations and CMIP5 models
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6587

Present and future changes in precipitation characteristics during Indian Summer Monsoon in CORDEX?CORE simulations
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6951

Advances in climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

Performance of the IPCC AR6 models in simulating the relation of the western North Pacific subtropical high to the spring northern tropical Atlantic SST
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6953

Performance Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models on Heatwaves in Korea and Associated Teleconnection Patterns
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032583

Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10501216.1

Constraining the Twomey effect from satellite observations: issues and perspectives
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-15079-2020

Spatially resolved evaluation of Earth system models with satellite column-averaged CO2

Designing and evaluating regional climate simulations for high latitude land use land cover change studies
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2020.1853437

Benchmark calculations of radiative forcing by greenhouse gases
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10501550.1

GISS Model E2.2: A Climate Model Optimized for the Middle Atmosphere. Part 2: Validation of Large?Scale Transport and Evaluation of Climate Response
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033151

Clouds and radiation processes in regional climate models evaluated using observations over the ice?free Arctic Ocean
Open Access DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033904

Comparison of spatial and temporal performance of two Regional Climate Models in the Amazon and La Plata river basins
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105413

Evaluation of climate model simulations in representing the precipitation non?stationarity by considering observational uncertainties
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6940

Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 simulations of precipitation in China and the East Asian summer monsoon
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6590

Cryosphere & climate change

Simulating the internal structure of the Antarctic Ice Sheet – towards a spatio-temporal calibration for ice-sheet modelling
Open Access DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-349 (preprint)

The Antarctic sea ice cover from ICESat-2 and CryoSat-2: freeboard, snow depth, and ice thickness
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-4453-2020

A model for the Artic mixed layer circulation under a melted lead: Implications on the near-surface temperature maximum formation
Open Access DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-322 (preprint)

Glacier geoengineering to address sea-level rise: A geotechnical approach
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.008

Role of Ural blocking in Arctic sea ice loss and its connection with Arctic warming in winter
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05545-3

200 years of equilibrium-line altitude variability across the European Alps (1901−2100)
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05525-7

Wind amplifies the polar sea ice retreat
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc379

Paleoclimate

Response of summer extreme precipitation over East Asia during the mid-Holocene versus future global warming
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103398

Climate and society in European history
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/wcc.691

Biology & climate change

Climate change and freshwater ecology: Hydrological and ecological methods of comparable complexity are needed to predict risk
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.692

Extreme event waves in marine ecosystems: an application to Mediterranean Sea surface chlorophyll
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-5967-2020

Reviews and syntheses: Present, past, and future of the oxygen minimum zone in the northern Indian Ocean
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-6051-2020

Ocean acidification and short?term organic matter enrichment alter coral reef sediment metabolism through different pathways
DOI: 10.1029/2019jg005453

Identifying contributions of climatic and atmospheric changes to autumn phenology over mid-high latitudes of Northern Hemisphere
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103396

New evidence for the periodic bleaching and recovery of Porites corals during the mid-late Holocene in the northern south China Sea
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103397

Divergent shrub?cover responses driven by climate, wildfire, and permafrost interactions in Arctic tundra ecosystems
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15451

Climate change facilitates a parasite’s host exploitation via temperature?mediated immunometabolic processes
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15402

Thermal mismatches in biological rates determine trophic control and biomass distribution under warming
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15395

A decision framework for evidence?based climate adaptation interventions
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15429

Opposing pressures of climate and land use change on a native bee
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15468

Plants with less Chlorophyll: a global change perspective
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15470

Relative effects of anthropogenic pressures, climate, and sampling design on the structure of pollination networks at the global scale
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15474

Quantifying thermal exposure for migratory riverine species: Phenology of Chinook salmon populations predicts thermal stress
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15450

Climate change effects on Marine Protected Areas: projected decline of benthic species in the North Sea
DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2020.105230

Contrasting responsiveness of four ecologically and economically important bivalves to simulated heat waves
DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2020.105229

Influence of ocean acidification on thermal reaction norms of carbon metabolism in the marine diatom Phaeodactylum tricornutum

Shifts in regional production as a driver of future global ocean production stoichiometry
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc4b0

Extreme and gradual rainfall effects on winter and summer estuarine phytoplankton communities from Patagonia (Argentina)
DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2020.105235

Non-analog increases to air, surface, and belowground temperature extreme events due to climate change

Inter? and intraspecific selection in alien plants: How population growth, functional traits and climate responses change with residence time
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/geb.13228

Early snowmelt and warmer, drier summers shrink postflowering transition times in subalpine wildflowers

Previous exposure mediates the response of eelgrass to future warming via clonal transgenerational plasticity
DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3169

Resource?enhancing global changes drive a whole?ecosystem shift to faster cycling but decrease diversity
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3178

GHG sources & sinks, flux

Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00944-0

Multi-year CO2 budgets in South African semi-arid Karoo ecosystems under different grazing intensities (preprint)

Carbonate loss and resulting CO2 emission from croplands: From incorrect calculations to overestimated predictions

A physiology?based Earth observation model indicates stagnation in the global gross primary production during recent decades
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15424

Air–sea carbon flux from high-temporal-resolution data of in situ CO2 measurements in the southern North Sea (preprint)

Total aquatic carbon emissions across the boreal biome of Quebec driven by watershed slope

Lateral carbon exports from drained peatlands: an understudied carbon pathway in the Sacramento?San Joaquin Delta, California
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005883

Emission of greenhouse gases from water tracks draining Arctic hillslopes
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005889

Effects of plant functional group removal on CO2 fluxes and belowground C stocks across contrasting ecosystems
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3170

Mangroves as a Source of Greenhouse Gases to the Atmosphere and Alkalinity and Dissolved Carbon to the Coastal Ocean: A Case Study from the Everglades National Park, Florida
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005812

Measured and simulated carbon dynamics in Midwestern US corn?soybean rotations
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006685

Carbon Dioxide Partial Pressure and Emission Throughout the Scandinavian Stream Network
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006703

Fires Represent an Important Source of Carbon Emissions in Mexico
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006815

Seasonal variations in dissolved carbon inventory and fluxes in a mangrove?dominated estuary
DOI: 10.1029/2019gb006515

Climate?driven variability and trends in plant productivity over recent decades based on three global products
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006613

Evaluating the Potential of Legumes to Mitigate N2O Emissions From Permanent Grassland Using Process?Based Models

Global N2O Emissions From Cropland Driven by Nitrogen Addition and Environmental Factors: Comparison and Uncertainty Analysis

Southern Ocean Calcification Controls the Global Distribution of Alkalinity
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10503734.1

Collar properties and measurement time confer minimal bias overall on annual soil respiration estimates in a global database
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg006066

Carbon Dioxide Production in Bedrock beneath Soils Substantially Contributes to Forest Carbon Cycling
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005795

Satellite monitoring of global surface soil organic carbon dynamics using the SMAP Level 4 Carbon product
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg006100

Comparison of satellite-based models for estimating gross primary productivity in agroecosystems
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108253

Leaching of dissolved organic carbon from mineral soils plays a significant role in the terrestrial carbon balance
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15460

Direct response of tree growth to soil water and its implications for terrestrial carbon cycle modelling
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15397

Recognizing the complexity of soil organic carbon dynamics in vegetated coastal habitats
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15426

Thermal mismatches in biological rates determine trophic control and biomass distribution under warming
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15395

Towards a comprehensive understanding of global vegetation CO2 assimilation from space

An LSTM-STRIPAT model analysis of China’s 2030 CO2 emissions peak

Reduced magnitude and shifted seasonality of CO2 sink by experimental warming in a coastal wetland

CO2 removal, negative emissions & mitigation science and engineering

Hysteresis of the Earth system under positive and negative CO 2 emissions

Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00957-9

Promoting CO2 methanation via ligand-stabilized metal oxide clusters as hydrogen-donating motifs
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20004-7

An overview of the Energy Modeling Forum 33rd study: assessing large-scale global bioenergy deployment for managing climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02945-6

Cost-benefit comparison of carbon capture, utilization, and storage retrofitted to different thermal power plants in China based on real options approach
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.006

Delayed impact of natural climate solutions
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15413

Can embedded knowledge in pollution prevention techniques reduce greenhouse gas emissions? A case of the power generating industry in the United States
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc589

The role of negative carbon emissions in reaching the Paris climate targets: The impact of target formulation in integrated assessment models
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc3f0

Comparison of different MOF fillers on CO2 removal performance of supported PEBA mixed matrix membranes

Accounting for the role of transport and storage infrastructure costs in carbon negative bioenergy deployment
DOI: 10.1002/ghg.2041

Fluid-heat dynamics and techno-economic analysis in a deep saline aquifer

Geoengineering climate

Tampering with Nature: A Systematic Review
DOI: 10.1111/risa.13619

Brief Communication: Reduction of the future Greenland ice sheet surface melt with the help of solar geoengineering
Open Access DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-347 (preprint)

Glacier geoengineering to address sea-level rise: A geotechnical approach
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.008

Is solar geoengineering ungovernable? A critical assessment of governance challenges identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/wcc.690

Aerosols

Contrasting aerosol effects on longwave cloud forcing in South East Asia and Amazon simulated with Community Atmosphere Model version 5.3
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032380

Climate change communications & cognition

Who are American evangelical Protestants and why do they matter for US climate policy?
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.693

Agronomy & climate change

Measured and simulated carbon dynamics in Midwestern US corn?soybean rotations
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006685

Facts to acidification–induced carbonate losses from Chinese croplands
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15478

Carbonate loss and resulting CO2 emission from croplands: From incorrect calculations to overestimated predictions

Climate Change Adaptation by Smallholder Tea Farmers: a Case Study of Nepal
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.10.012

Economics & finance of climate change & mitigation

Cost-benefit comparison of carbon capture, utilization, and storage retrofitted to different thermal power plants in China based on real options approach
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.006

Assessment of the macro-economic impacts of low-carbon road transportation policies in Chongqing, China
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.011

Climate change mitigation & adaptation public policy research

A decision framework for evidence?based climate adaptation interventions
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15429

Strengthening the knowledge base to face the impacts of climate change on water resources in Africa: A social innovation perspective
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.09.026

Climate change and income inequality: An I-O analysis of the structure and intensity of the GHG emissions in Mexican households
DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2020.11.002

Climate change impacts on human health

The health and well-being effects of drought: assessing multi-stakeholder perspectives through narratives from the UK
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02916-x

Urban climate maps as a public health tool for urban planning: The case of dengue fever in Rio De Janeiro/Brazil
DOI: 10.1016/j.uclim.2020.100749

The future urban heat-wave challenge in Africa: Exploratory analysis
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102190

Climate change adaptation

Who is vulnerable and who is resilient to coastal flooding? Lessons from Hurricane Sandy in New York City
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02896-y

The role of social institutions in indigenous Andean Pastoralists’ adaptation to climate-related water hazards
DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2020.1850409

Adapting to climate change in small-scale fisheries: Insights from indigenous communities in the global north and south
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.11.009

Climate change impacts on human culture

Projected changes to risk of wind-driven rain on buildings in Canada under +0.5°C to +3.5°C global warming above the recent period

Impacts and implications of climate change on wastewater systems: A New Zealand perspective
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100262

Other

Climate change impacts on peak river flows: combining national-scale hydrological modelling and probabilistic projections
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100263

Risk Management Solutions for Climate Change–Induced Disasters
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/risa.13616

Global CO2 emissions and global temperatures: Are they related
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6601

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

Risking the Earth Part 1: reassessing dangerous anthropogenic interference and climate risk in IPCC processes
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257

Post-2020 biodiversity targets need to embrace climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2009584117

How evaluation of hydrological models influences results of climate impact assessment—an editorial
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02927-8

Ocean and coastal indicators: understanding and coping with climate change at the land-sea interface
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02940-x

Is solar geoengineering ungovernable? A critical assessment of governance challenges identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/wcc.690

Climate change and freshwater ecology: Hydrological and ecological methods of comparable complexity are needed to predict risk
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.692

Delayed impact of natural climate solutions
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15413

The Australian wildfires from a systems dependency perspective
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc0bc

 


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Journals covered

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  1. Two journals to add:

    Nature (a weekly)

    Nature Geoscience (a monthly)

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