Hausfather et al. (2020)
Also: Hausfather et al. 2020
Evaluating the Performance of Past Climate Model Projections
Hausfather, Z., Drake, H.F., Abbott, T. & Schmidt, G.A. (2020). Evaluating the Performance of Past Climate Model Projections. Geophysical Research Letters. 47(1). PDF
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl085378
References
All IPCC definitions taken from Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Annex I, Glossary, pp. 941-954. Cambridge University Press.