Risbey et al. (2015)
Also: Risbey et al. 2015
Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming
Risbey, J. S., Lewandowsky, S., Hunter, J. R., & Monselesan, D. P. (2015). Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 373(2055), 20140463. Link to PDF
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0463
References
All IPCC definitions taken from Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Annex I, Glossary, pp. 941-954. Cambridge University Press.