Skeptical Science New Research for Week #23, 2020
Posted on 10 June 2020 by Doug Bostrom
71 Articles
Observations & observational methods of global warming & effects
The case of a southern European glacier disappearing under recent warming that survived Roman and Medieval warm periods (open access)
A historical perspective on Australian temperature extremes
Unparalleled coupled ocean-atmosphere summer heatwaves in the New Zealand region: drivers, mechanisms and impacts
Human influence on frequency of temperature extremes (open access)
Implications of climate variability and changing seasonal hydrology for subarctic riverbank erosion
Long?term changes of carbonate chemistry variables along the North American east coast
Strong Summer Atmospheric Rivers Trigger Greenland Ice Sheet Melt through Spatially Varying Surface Energy Balance and Cloud Regimes
Trends in Winter Warm Spells in the Central England Temperature Record (open access)
Phenology of heat waves over India
Attribution of 2012 extreme climate events: does air-sea interaction matter? (open access)
Time?dependent warming amplification over the Tibetan Plateau during the past few decades (open access)
Modeling & simulation of global warming & global warming effects
Assessing storm surge impacts on coastal inundation due to climate change: case studies of Baltimore and Dorchester County in Maryland
An Estimate of the Relative Contributions of Sea Surface Temperature Variations in Various Regions to Stratospheric Change
Interannual-to-Multidecadal Responses of Antarctic Ice Shelf–Ocean Interaction and Coastal Water Masses during the Twentieth Century and the Early Twenty-First Century to Dynamic and Thermodynamic Forcing (open access)
Global heat uptake by inland waters
Relative impact of sea ice and temperature changes on Arctic marine production
Projected Changes in the Southern Indian Ocean Cyclone Activity Assessed from High-Resolution Experiments and CMIP5 Models
Daily gridded temperature and precipitation datasets over the Black Sea catchment: 1961–1990 and climate change scenarios for 2071–2100
Projected changes in the terrestrial and oceanic regulators of climate variability across sub-Saharan Africa
Difference of total precipitation and snowfall in the Upper Yangtze River basin under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming scenarios
Robust late twenty-first century shift in the regional monsoons in RegCM-CORDEX simulations (open access)
Projection of future precipitation change over South Korea by regional climate models and bias correction methods
Projected future changes in rainfall in Southeast Asia based on CORDEX–SEA multi-model simulations (open access)
Assessment Of Impacts Of Potential Climate Change On Meteorological Drought Characteristics At Regional Scales
Climate analog and future appearance of novel climate in Southeast Asia
Changes and uncertainties of surface mean temperature over China under global warming of 1.5°C and 2°C
Climate model advancement
An evaluation of the large scale atmospheric circulation and its variability in the Community Earth System Model 2 (CESM2) and other CMIP models
The Ongoing Need for High-Resolution Regional Climate Models: Process Understanding and Stakeholder Information (open access)
Glider Sampling Simulations in High-Resolution Ocean Models
WRF?based Dynamical Downscaling of ERA5 Reanalysis Data for High Mountain Asia: Towards a New Version of the High Asia Refined Analysis
Role of the mean state for the Southern Hemispheric jet stream response to CO 2 forcing in CMIP6 models (open access)
Biology & global warming
Ocean-related global change alters lipid biomarker production in common marine phytoplankton (open access)
Are young trees suitable for climate-growth analysis? A trial with Pinus nigra in the central Apennines treeline
Novel feeding interactions amplify the impact of species redistribution on an Arctic food web
Concurrent shifts in wintering distribution and phenology in migratory swans: Individual and generational effects
Root oxygen mitigates methane fluxes in tropical peatlands (open access)
GHG sources & sinks, flux
Fires prime terrestrial organic carbon for riverine export to the global oceans (open access)
Climate data induced uncertainties in simulated carbon fluxes under corn and soybean systems (open access)
Memory effects on greenhouse gas emissions (CO2, N2O and CH4) following grassland restoration? (open access)
The Climate Benefit of Carbon Sequestration (open access)
Potential Predictability of Net Primary Production in the Ocean
Rapid vegetation succession and coupled permafrost dynamics in Arctic thaw ponds in the Siberian lowland tundra
Concerns and uncertainties relating to methane emissions synthesis for vegetated coastal ecosystems
Using a natural experiment to foresee the fate of boreal carbon stores
Climate and anthropogenic controls on blue carbon sequestration in Hudson River tidal marsh, Piermont, New York (open access)
CO2 removal, mitigation science & engineering
Equity in allocating carbon dioxide removal quotas
Large climate mitigation potential from adding trees to agricultural lands
Climate change communications & cognition
Perceptions of social consensus at the regional level relate to prioritization and support of climate policy in Maryland, USA
Focus groups and serious gaming in climate change communication research—A methodological review
Agronomy & climate change
Impact of high atmospheric CO 2 concentrations on the seasonality of water-related processes, gas exchange, and carbohydrate metabolism in coffee trees under field conditions
Climate data induced uncertainties in simulated carbon fluxes under corn and soybean systems (open access)
Determinants of smallholder farmers’ adaptation options to climate change in a coffee-based farming system of Southwest Ethiopia (open access)
Vulnerability of Rangeland Beef Cattle Production to Climate?Induced NPP Fluctuations in the U.S. Great Plains
GARCH model to estimate the impact of agricultural greenhouse gas emissions per sociodemographic factors and CAP in Spain
Humans dealing with our global warming
The science and politics of climate risk assessment in Australia’s Murray Darling Basin
Taking science by surprise: The knowledge politics of the IPCC Special Report on 1.5 degrees
Deliberative framing: opening up discussions for local-level public engagement on climate change
Exploring Climate Change Threats to Beach Tourism Destinations: Application of the Hazard-Activity Pairs Methodology to South Africa
Warm Spells and Climate Risk to Human Health in the Mexico City Metropolitan Area
The policy-driven peak and reduction of China’s carbon emissions
The effects of climate change variability on rural livelihoods in Madre de Dios, Peru
Climate-related risks in the construction of Xiongan New Area, China (open access)
Socioeconomic Risk of Droughts under a 2.0°C Warmer Climate: Assessment of Population and GDP Exposures to Droughts in China
Weather Contracts: Capturing a sense of weather for place-based adaptation to climate change
Which forests could be protected by corporate zero deforestation commitments? A spatial assessment (open access)
Perceptions and sustainable actions under land degradation and climate change: the case of a remnant wetland in Mexico City
Reducing inequality resulting from UK low-carbon policy (open access)
Coal phase-outs and carbon prices: Interactions between EU emission trading and national carbon mitigation policies
Assessing the costs of contributing to climate change targets in sub-Saharan Africa: The case of the Ghanaian electricity system
Other
Should We Expect Each Year in the Next Decade (2019–28) to Be Ranked among the Top 10 Warmest Years Globally? (open access)
The added value of high resolution in estimating the surface mass balance in southern Greenland (open access)
The change of cloud top height over East Asia during 2000−2018
Two Leading Modes of Wintertime Atmospheric Circulation Drive the Recent Warm Arctic–Cold Eurasia Temperature Pattern (open access)
Riverbank erosion in cold environments: Review and outlook
Conference report: Facilitating International Collaboration on Climate Change Research
Conference report: User Needs for Weather and Climate Information: 2019 NCEI Users’ Conference (open access)
Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers (open access)
A climatology of convective and non?convective high?wind events across the eastern United States during 1973–2015
Informed opinion & nudges
Underwaterwriting: from theory to empiricism in regional mortgage markets in the U.S .
Beyond Climate Impacts: Knowledge Gaps and Process-Based Reflection on Preparing a Regional Chapter for the Fourth National Climate Assessment
Fighting big data and ensemble fatigue in climate change impact studies: can we turn the ensemble cascade upside down?
Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse (open access)
Suggestions
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Journals covered
A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.
Previous edition
The previous edition of Skeptical Science New Research may be found here.
Arguments
Thanks as always — happy to see the new Agronomy category.
The Guardian reported that new research dramatically increasing the assessment of how much economic damage extreme weather causes.
The original scientific article estimates the cost of Hurricane Harvey due to climate change was about $67 billion, about 3/4 of the total damage.
Thank you for all the hard work organizing this section Doug.
The Guardian newspaper has had a lot of articles about climate change lately.
This article talks about the new model runs for the IPCC AR6 due next year. About 25% of the models have climate sensitivity of 5C compared to teh range of 2-4.5C (3C is commonly used) that has been found for about 40 years. 5C would be much worse change than 3C.
There were not a lot of references to original articles but I found the article to be a reasonable summary for laymen on this topic. (I do not read a lot about climate sensitivity but I have heard about these new models with higher sensitivity.) Apparently changes in cloud modeling (long known to be a weak area) have lead to this increase.
This RealClimate article from November 2019 discusses this issue with more technical detail.
Gavin at Realclimate posted on higher ECS today
The ECS matter is becoming very concerning.