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All IPCC definitions taken from Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Annex I, Glossary, pp. 941-954. Cambridge University Press.

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2015 SkS Weekly Digest #1

Posted on 4 January 2015 by John Hartz

SkS Highlights

Things I thought were obvious!, a repost article by the blogger known as And Then There's Physics or ATTP, drew the highest numbert of comments of the articles posted on SkS during the past week. ATTP's original post on his own blog has also attracted a high number of commenters including some members of the all-volunteer SkS author team. 

Note: Be sure to check out our new featureMedia Matters Posts about Environment & Science

El Niño Watch

The El Niño weather phenomenon is developing in Colombia, where it is causing a drought, Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies Institute, or IDEAM, weather forecasting and alerts director Cristian Euscategui said.

El Niño weather phenomenon affecting Colombia, officials say, EFE/Fox News Latino, Jan 2, 2015

Toon of the Week

2015 Toon 1 

h/t to I Heart Climate Scientists

Quote of the Week

However Sir David (Attenborough) is concerned that, despite the increasingly obvious scale of the threat climate change poses, leaders are not taking the matter as seriously as they should.

“Never in the history of humanity in the last 10 million years have all human beings got together to face one danger that threatens us – never.

“It’s a big ask, but the penalty of not taking any notice is huge,” he said.

Sir David’s comments come two days after a separate warning – on the dangers posed by the booming human population.

“It’s desperately difficult, the dangers are apparent to anybody,” he told The Independent.

David Attenborough: Leaders are in denial about climate change by Tom Bawden, The Independent, Jan 1, 2015

97 Hours of Consensus: Scientist of the Week

97 Hours of Consensus: Jennifer Francis

Jennifer Francis' bio page

Coming Soon on SkS

  • Not pHraud but pHoolishness (Richard Telford guest post)
  • Economics supports immediate action on global warming (Dana)
  • 2015 SkS Weekly News Roundup #2A (John Hartz)
  • Five bits of research that shaped climate science in 2014 (Roz Pidcock)
  • Corrosive Seawater, Not Low pH, Implicated As Cause of Oyster Deaths (Rob Painting)
  • 2015 SkS Weekly News Roundup #2B (John Hartz)
  • 2015 SkS Weekly Digest #2 (john Hartz)

Poster of the Week

2015 Poster 1

h/t to I Heart Climate Scientists

SkS Week in Review

Media Matters Posts about Environment & Science

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Comments 1 to 4:

  1. The 3.4 area of the equatorial Pacific has been at or above the + 0.5 C anomaly threshold for 12 weeks now, so we should be seeing an official declaration of El Nino state any time now from NOAA. The Japanese has arleady called it, and as you point out here, there are already El Nino-like effects being felt in various locations.

    Thanks for your ongoing coverage of this event. Any predictions on where things will go from here wrt El Nino??

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  2. Ingvar.

    Deleted for accusations of fraud, repeating your previously debunked claims, sloganeering and off topic. You seem to either unable or unwilling to understand responses to you in the past.

    Please note that posting comments here at SkS is a privilege, not a right. This privilege can and will be rescinded if the posting individual continues to treat adherence to the Comments Policy as optional, rather than the mandatory condition of participating in this online forum.

    Moderating this site is a tiresome chore, particularly when commentators repeatedly submit offensive, off-topic posts or intentionally misleading comments and graphics or simply make things up. We really appreciate people's cooperation in abiding by the Comments Policy, which is largely responsible for the quality of this site.

    Finally, please understand that moderation policies are not open for discussion. If you find yourself incapable of abiding by these common set of rules that everyone else observes, then a change of venues is in the offing.

    Please take the time to review the policy and ensure future comments are in full compliance with it. Thanks for your understanding and compliance in this matter, as no further warnings shall be given.

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  3. wili,

    Like you I am more curious about, and learning more about ENSO.

    The latest update on the Australian Bureau of Meteorology website indicates the current strength of the SOI and Nino 3.4 are not maintaining El Nino levels, but they are close. From the tabs on the webpage you can view a variety of information including the latest Nino region sea surface averages.

    Though the SOI and the Nino 3.4 are a little below the El Nino threshhold, both the SOI and Nino 3.4 are higher than they were during the months near the end of 2013. So there may be some new monthly record global averages in the early part of 2015.

    Also, the ENSO evaluation indicates that the various models they review indicate that there is potential for El Nino conditions to develop, but it is not likely that a strong El Nino event will develop.

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  4. Oil slump stalls sector projects

    Not a word about Keystone (or other unconventional oil projects) but I think Obama will face easier decision to ban it in such environment. Eventually, there will be no economic incentive to dig Canadian tar sands (American fracking has essencialy beaten it) which is (unfortunately for human intelligence) stronger than any env incentives discussed on this and not only site.

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