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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #6 2024

Posted on 8 February 2024 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack

Open access notables

300 years of sclerosponge thermometry shows global warming has exceeded 1.5 °C, McCulloch et al., Nature Climate Change: 

Using 300 years of ocean mixed-layer temperature records preserved in sclerosponge carbonate skeletons, we demonstrate that industrial-era warming began in the mid-1860s, more than 80 years earlier than instrumental sea surface temperature records. The Sr/Ca palaeothermometer was calibrated against ‘modern’ (post-1963) highly correlated (R2 = 0.91) instrumental records of global sea surface temperatures, with the pre-industrial defined by nearly constant (<±0.1 °C) temperatures from 1700 to the early 1860s. Increasing ocean and land-air temperatures overlap until the late twentieth century, when the land began warming at nearly twice the rate of the surface oceans. Hotter land temperatures, together with the earlier onset of industrial-era warming, indicate that global warming was already 1.7 ± 0.1 °C above pre-industrial levels by 2020. Our result is 0.5 °C higher than IPCC estimates, with 2 °C global warming projected by the late 2020s, nearly two decades earlier than expected.

Record High 2022 September-Mean Temperature in Western North America, Xie et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:

Human-induced warming is estimated to have increased occurrence probability (magnitude) of the record-breaking September 2022 heat event in western North America by 6–67 times (0.6–1 K) by E3SMv2 and even higher by coupled regional refined model (RRM) simulations.

Spectrally refined unbiased Monte Carlo estimate of the Earth’s global radiative cooling, Nyffenegger-Péré et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences:

The Earth’s radiative cooling is a key driver of climate. Determining how it is affected by greenhouse gas concentration is a core question in climate-change sciences. Due to the complexity of radiative transfer processes, current practices to estimate this cooling require the development and use of a suite of radiative transfer models whose accuracy diminishes as we move from local, instantaneous estimates to global estimates over the whole globe and over long periods of time (decades). Here, we show that recent advances in nonlinear Monte Carlo methods allow a paradigm shift: a completely unbiased estimate of the Earth’s infrared cooling to space can be produced using a single model, integrating the most refined spectroscopic models of molecular gas energy transitions over a global scale and over years, all at a very low computational cost (a few seconds).

Which energy labels should we use to expedite the transition to electric vehicles?, Scarlat et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science:

Efforts to promote electric vehicle adoption through policy measures fall short due to underestimated cognitive biases and consumer behavior impacts. We contribute to the literature by bridging the gap between human behavioral studies and environmental policy. We incorporate choice architecture into energy labels to determine which information architecture regarding energy costs is an effective nudge in increasing electric vehicle purchase intentions. Our experiment finds that labels framing energy costs as ‘expenditure,’ rather than ‘savings,’ are more effective in increasing the intent to purchase an electric vehicle. Additionally, we find that a graphical display of expenditure was not effective in influencing purchase intentions. Policymakers can use similar choice architecture tools to encourage electric vehicle adoption, expediting the transition to electric vehicles and achieving national environmental goals.

Absurd geographies of resilience and justice, Grove et al., Climate and Development:

Critical and applied scholarship tends to dismiss resilience as a neoliberal barrier to justice, or assume it necessarily advances justice outcomes. Instead, drawing on collaborative fieldwork with Miami-based social and climate justice organizers, we explore how resilience is mobilized in contextually-specific struggles against racialized vulnerability and insecurity. Reading across literatures in political geography, cultural geography, and Black geographies, we highlight absurd and inconsistent expressions of resilience in our collaborators’ justice advocacy work. A focus on the absurd directs attention to the way diverse practices of resilience emerge from ‘spaces out of joint,’ where modernity’s universalizing promises of betterment run aground against long histories of racial violence that secure White futurity. Our community collaborators ironically mobilize and reject resilience in strategic ways that reflect their struggles to create and defend place against the racialized extraction of value, disinvestment, and displacement.

A Realist Approach to HydrogenRobin Gaster, e Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (via this week's government/NGO section):

Clean hydrogen is expensive to produce, difficult to transport, and a second- or third-best clean energy solution in almost all proposed markets. To help drive the global green transition, a realist approach to hydrogen policy must address all these practical challenges. Blue hydrogen investments should be minimized. Blue hydrogen is not a global solution for greenhouse gas emissions even in targeted industries, as it will never reach price/performance parity (P3) with gray hydrogen, and may not effectively address greenhouse gases either. Green hydrogen is different. It could reach P3, for some applications, in some regions. But that depends almost entirely on lower costs for the renewable energy it requires, the key input. Economies of scale, e.g., for electrolyzes, will not transform the economics of green hydrogen. Most proposed markets for hydrogen reflect magical thinking. They are nowhere near competitive with fossil fuels and often are not competitive with electrification using renewable energy. Accelerating research, design and development around green hydrogen is critical, emphasizing the competitive pathway to scaleup for a few key potential markets, such as long-duration energy storage. Policymakers should favor projects that co-locate green hydrogen production, energy sources, and end users, avoiding projects that require electricity from the grid or extensive transportation infrastructure. 

246 articles in 79 journals by 1791 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

Arctic Sea Ice Loss, Long-Term Trends in Extratropical Wave Forcing, and the Observed Strengthening of the QBO-MJO Connection, Hood & Hoopes, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2023jd039501

Comparison of the opposite behaviours of Korean heatwaves with extreme hot sea surface temperatures in August 2016 and 2022, Choi & Lee, International Journal of Climatology Open Access 10.1002/joc.8247

Examining cloud vertical structure and radiative effects from satellite retrievals and evaluation of CMIP6 scenarios, Luo et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-8169-2023

High-Resolution Lead–Lag Relations Between Barents Sea Temperatures, the AMOC and the AMO During 1971–2018, Seip & Wang, Atmosphere Open Access 10.1080/07055900.2023.2251426

Process-evaluation of forest aerosol-cloud-climate feedback shows clear evidence from observations and large uncertainty in models, Blichner et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45001-y

Processes Contributing to Bering Sea Temperature Variability in the Late Twentieth and Early Twenty-First Century, Hayden & O’Neill, Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0331.1

Spectrally refined unbiased Monte Carlo estimate of the Earth’s global radiative cooling, Nyffenegger-Péré et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access pdf 10.1073/pnas.2315492121

Spontaneous Activation of the Pacific Meridional Overturning Circulation (PMOC) in Long-Term Ocean Response to Greenhouse Forcing, Curtis & Fedorov, Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0393.1

The Influence of Increased CO2 Concentrations on AMOC Interdecadal Variability Under the LGM Background, Gao et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2023jd039976

The Southern Ocean Freshwater Input from Antarctica (SOFIA) Initiative: scientific objectives and experimental design, Swart et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-16-7289-2023

Unique ocean circulation pathways reshape the Indian Ocean oxygen minimum zone with warming, Ditkovsky et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-4711-2023

Warming Climate-Induced Changes in Cloud Vertical Distribution Possibly Exacerbate Intra-Atmospheric Heating Over the Tibetan Plateau, Zhao et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl107713

Observations of climate change, effects

300 years of sclerosponge thermometry shows global warming has exceeded 1.5 °C, McCulloch et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01919-7

Contribution of Anthropogenic Activities to the Intensification of Heat Index-Based Spatiotemporally Contiguous Heatwave Events in China, Kong et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2023jd040004

Detection and attribution of changes in streamflow and snowpack in Arctic river basins, Nasonova et al., Climatic Change 10.1007/s10584-023-03626-w

Evaluation of snow cover properties in ERA5 and ERA5-Land with several satellite-based datasets in the Northern Hemisphere in spring 1982–2018, Kouki et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-5007-2023

Global trends of fronts and chlorophyll in a warming ocean, Yang et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-023-01160-2

Long-term monthly 0.05° terrestrial evapotranspiration dataset (1982–2018) for the Tibetan Plateau, Yuan et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access pdf 10.5194/essd-16-775-2024

Marine heatwave events strengthen the intensity of tropical cyclones, Choi et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01239-4

Quantifying the association between Arctic Sea ice extent and Indian precipitation, Kulkarni & Agarwal, International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8337

Record High 2022 September-Mean Temperature in Western North America, Xie et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-23-0148.1

Start&2023&4, Ivanov et al., Open Access pdf 10.3897/bdj.11.e100521.figure4

Summer Russian Heat Waves Linked to Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies in 2010 and 2016, Zhang et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0087.1

Trends in Atmospheric Heat Transport Since 1980, Cox et al., Journal of Climate Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0385.1

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

A Global Forest Burn Severity Dataset from Landsat Imagery (2003–2016), He et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2023-446

An analysis of winter rain-on-snow climatology in Svalbard, Vickers et al., Frontiers in Earth Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/feart.2024.1342731

Changes in United States Summer Temperatures Revealed by Explainable Neural Networks, Labe et al., Earth's Future Open Access 10.1029/2023ef003981

ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world, Hawkins et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2023-665

Parameterization of downward long-wave radiation based on long-term baseline surface radiation measurements in China, Yang et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-4419-2023

Radiative sensitivity quantified by a new set of radiation flux kernels based on the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5), Huang & Huang, Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-15-3001-2023

Results of a long-term international comparison of greenhouse gas and isotope measurements at the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) Observatory in Alert, Nunavut, Canada, Worthy et al., Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Open Access 10.5194/amt-16-5909-2023

The prototype NOAA Aerosol Reanalysis version 1.0: description of the modeling system and its evaluation, Wei et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-795-2024

The suitability of atmospheric oxygen measurements to constrain western European fossil-fuel CO2 emissions and their trends, Rödenbeck et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-15767-2023

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

A Global Assessment of Heatwaves Since 1850 in Different Observational and Model Data Sets, Lipfert et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl106212

Atmosphere and ocean energy transport in extreme warming scenarios, Poletti et al., PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000343

Buoyancy forcing: a key driver of northern North Atlantic sea surface temperature variability across multiple timescales, Risebrobakken et al., Climate of the Past Open Access 10.5194/cp-19-1101-2023

Cloud properties and their projected changes in CMIP models with low to high climate sensitivity, Bock & Lauer, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-24-1587-2024

Constraining Projected Changes in Rare Intense Precipitation Events Across Global Land Regions, Li et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl105605

Convection-permitting regional climate simulation on soil moisture-heatwaves relationship over eastern China, Xu et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107285

Drivers of Caribbean precipitation change due to global warming: analyses and emergent constraint of CMIP6 simulations, Brotons et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-023-07072-3

Effect of droughts and climate change on future soil weathering rates in Sweden, Kronnäs et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-1879-2023

Effects of CO $$&2$$ vegetation forcing on precipitation and heat extremes in China, Chen et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-023-07046-5

Future Changes in Global Atmospheric Rivers Projected by CMIP6 Models, Zhang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023jd039359

Global and Regional Climate Feedbacks in Response to Uniform Warming and Cooling, Ringer et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2023jd038861

Impact of ITCZ width on global climate: ITCZ-MIP, Pendergrass et al., Open Access 10.5194/gmd-2024-17

Influence of Weather and Climate on Multidecadal Trends in Atlantic Hurricane Genesis and Tracks, Kortum et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0088.1

The influence of future changes in springtime Arctic ozone on stratospheric and surface climate, Chiodo et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-10451-2023

The Projected Poleward Shift of Tropical Cyclogenesis at a Global Scale Under Climate Change in MRI-AGCM3.2H, Cao et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl107189

Understanding aerosol–climate–ecosystem interactions and the implications for terrestrial carbon sink using the Community Earth System Model, Zhang et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109625

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

Better-constrained climate sensitivity when accounting for dataset dependency on pattern effect estimates, Modak & Mauritsen, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-7535-2023

Climate-invariant machine learning, Beucler et al., Science Advances Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.adj7250

Dansgaard–Oeschger events in climate models: review and baseline Marine Isotope Stage 3 (MIS3) protocol, Malmierca-Vallet et al., Climate of the Past Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-19-915-2023

Historical meteorological droughts over the CORDEX-CAM (Central America, Caribbean and Mexico) domain: Evaluating the simulation of dry hot spots with RegCM4, Andrade?Gómez & Cavazos, International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8374

Long-Term Experimental Evaluation of a High-Resolution Atmospheric General Circulation Model From a Hydrological Perspective, Miura & Nakaegawa, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023jd038786

Mechanisms of Added Value of a Coupled Global Ocean-Regional Atmosphere Climate Model Over Central Equatorial Africa, Tamoffo et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023jd039385

Optimal parameters for the ocean's nutrient, carbon, and oxygen cycles compensate for circulation biases but replumb the biological pump, Pasquier et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-2985-2023

Reduced Deep Convection and Bottom Water Formation Due To Antarctic Meltwater in a Multi-Model Ensemble, Chen et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl106492

Reliability ensemble averaging reduces surface wind speed projection uncertainties in the 21st Century over China, Zheng-Tai & Chang-Ai, Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.01.011

The abrupt rise of midsummer high-temperature days and surface air temperature in Southern China around the early 2000s and it’s influences on climate forecasts, Jia et al., Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-023-07087-w

Towards an ensemble-based evaluation of land surface models in light of uncertain forcings and observations, Arora et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-1313-2023

Understanding the Diversity of CMIP6 Models in the Projection of Precipitation Over Tibetan Plateau, Qiu et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl106553

Validation of key Arctic energy and water budget components in CMIP6, Winkelbauer et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-024-07105-5

What Aspect of Model Performance is the Most Relevant to Skillful Future Projection on a Regional Scale?, Li et al., Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512734.1

Cryosphere & climate change

Arctic Sea Ice Loss Modulates the Surface Impact of Autumn Stratospheric Polar Vortex Stretching Events, Zou & Zhang, Geophysical Research Letters 10.1029/2023gl107221

Atmospheric drivers of melt-related ice speed-up events on the Russell Glacier in Southwest Greenland, Schmid et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-3933-2023

AutoTerm: an automated pipeline for glacier terminus extraction using machine learning and a “big data” repository of Greenland glacier termini, Zhang et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-3485-2023

Bedfast and floating-ice dynamics of thermokarst lakes using a temporal deep-learning mapping approach: case study of the Old Crow Flats, Yukon, Canada, Shaposhnikova et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-1697-2023

Brief communication: The Glacier Loss Day as an indicator of a record-breaking negative glacier mass balance in 2022, Voordendag et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-3661-2023

Cast shadows reveal changes in glacier surface elevation, Pfau et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-3535-2023

Climatic Drivers of Ice Slabs and Firn Aquifers in Greenland, Brils et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl106613

Combined GNSS reflectometry–refractometry for automated and continuous in situ surface mass balance estimation on an Antarctic ice shelf, Steiner et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-4903-2023

Firn on ice sheets, Shang et al., Remote Sensing Open Access pdf 10.3390/rs14092134

Late Holocene glacier and climate fluctuations in the Mackenzie and Selwyn mountain ranges, northwestern Canada, Hawkins et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-4381-2023

Mass changes of the northern Antarctic Peninsula Ice Sheet derived from repeat bi-static synthetic aperture radar acquisitions for the period 2013–2017, Seehaus et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-4629-2023

Modeling seasonal-to-decadal ocean–cryosphere interactions along the Sabrina Coast, East Antarctica, Kusahara et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-18-43-2024

On the drivers of regime shifts in the Antarctic marginal seas, exemplified by the Weddell Sea, Haid et al., Ocean Science Open Access 10.5194/os-19-1529-2023

Statistically parameterizing and evaluating a positive degree-day model to estimate surface melt in Antarctica from 1979 to 2022, Zheng et al., The Cryosphere Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-17-3667-2023

Sea level & climate change

Higher quantiles of sea levels rise faster in Baltic Sea Climate projections, Dieterich & Radtke Radtke, Climate Dynamics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-023-07094-x

Missing sea level rise in southeastern Greenland during and since the Little Ice Age, Woodroffe et al., Climate of the Past Open Access 10.5194/cp-19-1585-2023

Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry

Climate Variability Leads to Multiple Oxygenation Episodes Across the Great Oxidation Event, Ruiz et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl106694

Deglacial and Holocene sea-ice and climate dynamics in the Bransfield Strait, northern Antarctic Peninsula, Vorrath et al., Climate of the Past Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-19-1061-2023

East Antarctic warming forced by ice loss during the Last Interglacial, Hutchinson et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45501-x

Quantifying effects of Earth orbital parameters and greenhouse gases on mid-Holocene climate, Kang & Yang Yang, Climate of the Past Open Access 10.5194/cp-19-2013-2023

Uncertainties originating from GCM downscaling and bias correction with application to the MIS-11c Greenland Ice Sheet, Crow et al., Climate of the Past Open Access 10.5194/cp-20-281-2024

Widespread cooling over West Antarctica and adjacent seas over the past millennium, Lyu et al., Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2023.104237

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

A global assessment of environmental and climate influences on wetland macroinvertebrate community structure and function, Epele et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17173

A model of the within-population variability of budburst in forest trees, Lin et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1075

A standard approach for including climate change responses in IUCN Red List assessments, Mancini et al., Conservation Biology Open Access 10.1111/cobi.14227

Adaptation of sea turtles to climate warming: Will phenological responses be sufficient to counteract changes in reproductive output?, Fuentes et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16991

Calcification response of planktic foraminifera to environmental change in the western Mediterranean Sea during the industrial era, Béjard et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-1505-2023

China's subtropical deciduous plants are more sensitive to climate change than evergreen plants by flowering phenology, Li et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17168

Climate change and the biodiversity of alpine ponds: Challenges and perspectives, Lamouille?Hébert et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10883

Dakota skipper distribution model for North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota aids conservation planning under changing climate scenarios, Barnes et al., Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.3389/fevo.2024.1304748

Drainage divide migration and implications for climate and biodiversity, He et al., Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 10.1038/s43017-023-00511-z

Effects of dispersal and temperature variability on phytoplankton realized temperature niches, Smith & Barton, Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10882

Endocrine flexibility can facilitate or constrain the ability to cope with global change, Taff et al., Open Access pdf 10.32942/x2dc7s

Environmental generalism, holobiont interactions, and Pocilloporid corals in the warming oceans of the eastern coast of Australia, Bergman et al., Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.3389/fevo.2023.1190455

High resolution simulations reveal a large loss of Fennoscandian tundra due to climate change, Lagergren et al., Open Access 10.5194/bg-2023-148

Impact of deoxygenation and warming on global marine species in the 21st century, Morée et al., Biogeosciences Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-20-2425-2023

Impacts and uncertainties of climate-induced changes in watershed inputs on estuarine hypoxia, Hinson et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-1937-2023

Integrating learning into animal range dynamics under rapid human-induced environmental change, Aben et al., Ecology Letters 10.1111/ele.14367

Marine heatwaves modulate the genotypic and physiological responses of reef-building corals to subsequent heat stress, Brown et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.10798

Mean reef fish body size decreases towards warmer waters, Coghlan et al., Ecology Letters Open Access pdf 10.1111/ele.14375

Microbiome ecological memory and responses to repeated marine heatwaves clarify variation in coral bleaching and mortality, Vompe et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17088

Ocean climate and hydrodynamics drive decadal shifts in Northeast Atlantic dinoflagellates, Kléparski et al., Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.17163

Physiological and microbiome adaptation of coral Turbinaria peltata in response to marine heatwaves, Zhai et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10869

Plant diversity and functional identity drive grassland rhizobacterial community responses after 15 years of CO2 and nitrogen enrichment, Revillini et al., Journal of Ecology Open Access pdf 10.1111/1365-2745.14271

Potential impact of climatic factors on the distribution of Graphium sarpedon in China, Liao et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10858

Primary succession and its driving variables – a sphere-spanning approach applied in proglacial areas in the upper Martell Valley (Eastern Italian Alps), Ramskogler et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-2919-2023

Projected climate oligotrophication of the Adriatic marine ecosystems, Mentaschi et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access pdf 10.3389/fclim.2024.1338374

Revisiting and attributing the global controls over terrestrial ecosystem functions of climate and plant traits at FLUXNET sites via causal graphical models, Shi et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-2727-2023

Shifts in the trends of vegetation greenness and photosynthesis in different parts of Tibetan Plateau over the past two decades, Anniwaer et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109851

Sublethal heat reduces overall reproductive investment and male allocation in a simultaneously hermaphroditic snail species, van Dijk et al., Open Access pdf 10.1101/2023.03.15.532738

Thermophilisation of Afromontane forest stands demonstrated in an elevation gradient experiment, Ntirugulirwa et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-5125-2023

Trophic niches of macrobenthos: Latitudinal variation indicates climate change impact on ecosystem functioning, Silberberger et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17100

Wing lengths of three Arctic butterfly species decrease as summers warm in Alaska, Daly et al., Ecography Open Access pdf 10.1111/ecog.07075

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

A new global oceanic multi-model net primary productivity data product, Ryan-Keogh et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-15-4829-2023

AgriCarbon-EO v1.0.1: large-scale and high-resolution simulation of carbon fluxes by assimilation of Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8 reflectances using a Bayesian approach, Wijmer et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-997-2024

Anthropogenic CO2 emission estimates in the Tokyo metropolitan area from ground-based CO2 column observations, Ohyama et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-15097-2023

Carbon mapping in pine-oak stands under timber management in southern Mexico, Ambrosio-Lazo et al., PeerJ Open Access 10.7717/peerj.16431

Central Arctic Ocean surface–atmosphere exchange of CO2 and CH4 constrained by direct measurements, Prytherch et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-671-2024

Changing sources and burial of organic carbon in the Chukchi Sea sediments with retreating sea ice over recent centuries, Su et al., Climate of the Past Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-19-1305-2023

Decreasing seasonal cycle amplitude of methane in the northern high latitudes being driven by lower-latitude changes in emissions and transport, Dowd et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-7363-2023

Direct biological fixation provides a freshwater sink for N2O, Si et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-42481-2

Environmental controls of winter soil carbon dioxide fluxes in boreal and tundra environments, Mavrovic et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-5087-2023

Ground solar absorption observations of total column CO, CO2, CH4, and aerosol optical depth from California's Sequoia Lightning Complex Fire: emission factors and modified combustion efficiency at regional scales, Frausto-Vicencio et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-4521-2023

How well does ramped thermal oxidation quantify the age distribution of soil carbon? Assessing thermal stability of physically and chemically fractionated soil organic matter, Stoner et al., Biogeosciences Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-20-3151-2023

How well does ramped thermal oxidation quantify the age distribution of soil carbon? Assessing thermal stability of physically and chemically fractionated soil organic matter, Stoner et al., Biogeosciences Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-20-3151-2023

Hydrology Controls Dissolved Organic Carbon and Nitrogen Export and Post-Storm Recovery in Two Arctic Headwaters, Shogren et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023jg007583

Identifying landscape hot and cold spots of soil greenhouse gas fluxes by combining field measurements and remote sensing data, Gachibu Wangari et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-5029-2023

Partitioning of carbon export in the euphotic zone of the oligotrophic South China Sea, Ma et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-2013-2023

Quantifying greenhouse gas emissions from wood fuel use by households, Flammini et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-15-2179-2023

Reviews and syntheses: Recent advances in microwave remote sensing in support of terrestrial carbon cycle science in Arctic–boreal regions, Mavrovic et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-2941-2023

Shallow and deep groundwater moderate methane dynamics in a high Arctic glacial catchment, Kleber et al., Frontiers in Earth Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/feart.2024.1340399

Source apportionment of methane emissions from the Upper Silesian Coal Basin using isotopic signatures, Fiehn et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-15749-2023

Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001

Spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the increase in ocean acidity extremes in the northeastern Pacific, Desmet et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-5151-2023

Temporally dynamic carbon dioxide and methane emission factors for rewetted peatlands, Kalhori et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01226-9

The Problem of Tree Senescence in the Role of Elevated CO2 and the Carbon Cycle, McMahon, AGU Advances Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023av001103

Two years of satellite-based carbon dioxide emission quantification at the world's largest coal-fired power plants, Cusworth et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-14577-2023

Upscaling Soil Organic Carbon Measurements at the Continental Scale Using Multivariate Clustering Analysis and Machine Learning, Wang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Open Access 10.1029/2023jg007702

Using machine learning to construct TOMCAT model and occultation measurement-based stratospheric methane (TCOM-CH4) and nitrous oxide (TCOM-N2O) profile data sets, Dhomse & Chipperfield Chipperfield Chipperfield, Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-15-5105-2023

Warming accelerates belowground litter turnover in salt marshes – insights from a Tea Bag Index study, Tang et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-1925-2023

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

A comparison of the climate and carbon cycle effects of carbon removal by Afforestation and an equivalent reduction in Fossil fuel emissions, Jayakrishnan & Bala Bala Bala, Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-1863-2023

Biochar ageing effects on soil respiration, biochar wettability and gaseous CO2 adsorption, Ojeda et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 10.1007/s11027-024-10107-7

Considerations for hypothetical carbon dioxide removal via alkalinity addition in the Amazon River watershed, Mu et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-1963-2023

Enhancement effects of mangrove restoration on blue carbon storage in Qinzhou Bay, Song et al., Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access pdf 10.3389/ffgc.2024.1328783

Long-term CO2 sequestration mechanisms and influence of injection mode in Zhujiang Formation of Pearl River Mouth Basin, Xuan et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology 10.1002/ghg.2261

Quantifying land carbon cycle feedbacks under negative CO2 emissions, Chimuka et al., Open Access 10.5194/bg-2022-168

Site-specific additionality in aboveground carbon sequestration in set-aside forests in Flanders (northern Belgium), Vanhellemont et al., Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access pdf 10.3389/ffgc.2024.1236203

Sustainability limits needed for CO2 removal, Deprez et al., Science Open Access 10.1126/science.adj6171

Toward quantification of the feasible potential of land-based carbon dioxide removal, Perkins et al., One Earth Open Access 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.011

Decarbonization

A climatology of weather-driven anomalies in European photovoltaic and wind power production, Ho-Tran & Fiedler, Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01224-x

Advancing biomass pyrolysis: a bibliometric analysis of global research trends (2002–2022), Amusa et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-023-04292-9

Computational sizing of solar powered peanut oil extraction in Senegal using a synthetic load profile, Bonzi et al., Energy for Sustainable Development Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101391

Development of a portable off-grid solar water heater for apartment residents toward a decarbonized society, Terashima, Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101407

Geographic source of bats killed at wind-energy facilities in the eastern United States, Wieringa et al., PeerJ Open Access 10.7717/peerj.16796

Governing experimentation to decarbonise the electricity sector, Owens, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114011

How to recycle an EV battery, Xie et al., Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Advances in Mechanical Engineering and Industrial Informatics (AMEII 2016) Open Access pdf 10.2991/ameii-16.2016.291

Recent Advances and Challenges of Hydrogen Production Technologies via Renewable Energy Sources, Worku et al., Advanced Energy and Sustainability Research Open Access pdf 10.1002/aesr.202300273

Sensitivities of atmospheric composition and climate to altitude and latitude of hypersonic aircraft emissions, Pletzer & Grewe Grewe, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-24-1743-2024

The effects of hydrogen research and innovation on international hydrogen trade, Asna Ashari & Blind, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113974

The Impact of Semi-Transparent Solar Panels on Tomato and Broccoli Growth, Lopez?Zaplana et al., Advanced Energy and Sustainability Research Open Access pdf 10.1002/aesr.202300175

Black carbon

Black carbon concentrations and modeled smoke deposition fluxes to the bare-ice dark zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet, Khan et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-2909-2023

Black carbon scavenging by low-level Arctic clouds, Zieger et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-41221-w

Aerosols

Contribution of anthropogenic aerosols to persistent La Niña-like conditions in the early 21st century, Hwang et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access pdf 10.1073/pnas.2315124121

The prototype NOAA Aerosol Reanalysis version 1.0: description of the modeling system and its evaluation, Wei et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-795-2024

Climate change communications & cognition

A representative survey experiment of motivated climate change denial, Stoetzer & Zimmermann, Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01910-2

Addressing climate change with behavioral science: A global intervention tournament in 63 countries, Vlasceanu et al., Science Advances Open Access 10.1126/sciadv.adj5778

Climate action in the United States, McCormick et al., PLOS Climate Open Access 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000175

Climate change awareness and themes of support to decarbonize the economy among students in Iran, Khorasgani & Tavakoli, Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences 10.1007/s13412-024-00892-7

Do fossil fuel firms reframe online climate and sustainability communication? A data-driven analysis, Debnath et al., npj Climate Action Open Access 10.1038/s44168-023-00086-x

Mental health in polar scientists: Navigating the emotional landscape of climate change, Lewis & Broadwell, PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000359

Social Constructions of Climate Futures: Reframing Science’s Harmful Impact Frame Across News Media, Social Movements, and Local Communities, Guenther et al., Environmental Communication Open Access pdf 10.1080/17524032.2024.2305827

Systematic mapping of climate and environmental framing experiments and re-analysis with computational methods points to omitted interaction bias, Fesenfeld et al., PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000297

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

A stakeholder-guided marine heatwave hazard index for fisheries and aquaculture, Kajtar et al., Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-024-03684-8

Analysis of spatially distributed enteric methane emissions from cattle across the geo-climatic regions of Mexico and uncertainty assessment, Angeles-Hernández et al., Atmospheric Environment 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120389

Balancing Non-CO2 GHG Emissions and Soil Carbon Change in U.S. Rice Paddies: A Retrospective Meta-Analysis and Agricultural Modeling Study, Zhang et al., AGU Advances 10.1029/2023av001052

Biochar-plant interactions enhance nonbiochar carbon sequestration in a rice paddy soil, Liu et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-023-01155-z

Compound Dry and Wet Extremes Lead to an Increased Risk of Rice Yield Loss, Chen & Wang, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl105817

Editorial: Agricultural production in a warmer world: challenges and sustainable development strategies, Xiao et al., Frontiers in Earth Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/feart.2024.1368149

Medium-term projections of vehicle ownership, energy demand and vehicular emissions from private road transport in India, Krishna, Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04473-0

Navigating food security in India: unravelling the interplay of climatic and non-climatic factors, Mahali et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04486-9

Production vulnerability to wheat blast disease under climate change, Pequeno et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01902-2

Seed quality under elevated CO2 differs in soybean cultivars with contrasting yield responses, Digrado et al., Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.17170

Spawner weight and ocean temperature drive Allee effect dynamics in Atlantic cod, Gadus morhua: inherent and emergent density regulation, Winter et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-3683-2023

The statistical emulators of GGCMI phase 2: responses of year-to-year variation of crop yield to CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen perturbations, Liu et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-16-7203-2023

Unequal impact of climate warming on meat yields of global cattle farming, Liu et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01232-x

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

Amplification effect of intra-seasonal variability of soil moisture on heat extremes over Eurasia, Wang et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.01.008

Divergent path: isolating land use and climate change impact on river runoff, Mahmood et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1338512

Drainage divide migration and implications for climate and biodiversity, He et al., Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 10.1038/s43017-023-00511-z

Drivers of Caribbean precipitation change due to global warming: analyses and emergent constraint of CMIP6 simulations, Brotons et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-023-07072-3

Emergent climate change patterns originating from deep ocean warming in climate mitigation scenarios, Oh et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-01928-0

Evaluation of climate change impact on plants and hydrology, Shah et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1328808

Intensification in the Wettest Days to 50 Percent of Annual Precipitation (WD50) Across Europe, Goffin et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl107403

MOPREDAS&century database and precipitation trends in mainland Spain, 1916–2020, Gonzalez?Hidalgo et al., International Journal of Climatology Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.8060

Severe droughts in North Africa: A review of drivers, impacts and management, Tanarhte et al., Earth 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.104701

Spatiotemporal variability and trend detection of hydrological and climatic variables of Modjo catchment, central Ethiopia, Besha et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04769-7

Streamflow abrupt change and the driving factors in glacierized basins of Tarim Basin, Northwest China, Yang et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.01.009

Terrestrial Evapotranspiration Over China From 1982 to 2020: Consistency of Multiple Data Sets and Impact of Input Data, Mao et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2023jd039387

The enhanced future Flows and Groundwater dataset: development and evaluation of nationally consistent hydrological projections based on UKCP18, Hannaford et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-15-2391-2023

Winter snow deficit was a harbinger of summer 2022 socio-hydrologic drought in the Po Basin, Italy, Avanzi et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01222-z

Climate change economics

A global analysis of bioeconomy visions in governmental bioeconomy strategies, Proestou et al., Ambio Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-023-01958-6

Assessment of climate damage in China based on integrated assessment framework, Liu et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.01.012

Breaking the unsustainable paradigm: exploring the relationship between energy consumption, economic development and carbon dioxide emissions in Ecuador, Borja-Patiño et al., Sustainability Science Open Access 10.1007/s11625-023-01425-x

Economic modelling fit for the demands of energy decision makers, Barbrook-Johnson et al., Nature Energy Open Access 10.1038/s41560-024-01452-7

Escaping Damocles’ Sword: Endogenous Climate Shocks in a Growing Economy, Brausmann & Bretschger Vinogradova, Environmental and Resource Economics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10640-023-00835-w

Four-quadrant modelling of carbon inequality in international trade and accounting for carbon compensation, Chen et al., Carbon Management Open Access pdf 10.1080/17583004.2024.2311655

Navigating sustainable development: exploring the environmental Kuznets curve in the SAARC region with global stochastic trends, Awan et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04505-9

The climate-sovereign debt doom loop: what does the literature suggest?, Zenios, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability Open Access 10.1016/j.cosust.2024.101414

The semi-periphery and ecologically unequal exchange: carbon emissions and recursive exploitation, El Tinay, Environmental Sociology 10.1080/23251042.2024.2309407

Walking a thin line: a reputational account of green central banking, Van Doorslaer et al., Environmental Politics 10.1080/09644016.2024.2305106

Climate change mitigation public policy research

A hybrid approach to a more complete emissions inventory: a case study of Aarhus University, Stridsland et al., Carbon Management Open Access 10.1080/17583004.2023.2275579

Approaching national climate targets in China considering the challenge of regional inequality, Yu et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-44122-0

Assessing regional progress toward the sustainable development goals (SDGs): Whither the Caribbean?, Russell et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04492-x

Avoiding ecosystem and social impacts of hydropower, wind, and solar in Southern Africa’s low-carbon electricity system, Wu et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45313-z

Can official development assistance promote renewable energy in sub-Saharan Africa countries? A matter of institutional transparency of recipient countries, Guo et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.113999

Convergence of clubs between per capita carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and cement production, Rodríguez-Benavides et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114007

Determinants of successful mitigation in coupled social-climate dynamics, Shu & Fu Feng Fu, Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rspa.2023.0679

Development of AIM (Asia–Pacific Integrated Model) and its contribution to policy-making for the realization of decarbonized societies in Asia, Hibino & Masui, Sustainability Science 10.1007/s11625-023-01393-2

Efficient data-driven prediction of household carbon footprint in China with limited features, An et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113926

Facilitating entry to land sector carbon abatement projects: the LOOC-C tool, Stitzlein et al., Carbon Management Open Access 10.1080/17583004.2023.2265156

Governing experimentation to decarbonise the electricity sector, Owens, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114011

How connected is withholding capacity to electricity, fossil fuel and carbon markets? Perspectives from a high renewable energy consumption economy, Liu et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113937

Impact of household population ageing on carbon emissions: micro-scale evidence from China, Chai et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1324771

Impact on green finance and environmental regulation on carbon emissions: evidence from China, Guo et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1307313

Revisiting the role of disasters in climate policy-making, Nohrstedt & Parker, Climate Policy Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2024.2301781

Role of negative emission technologies in South Africa's pathway to net zero emissions by 2050, Afrane et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101401

Satellite observations reveal a decreasing albedo trend of global cities over the past 35 years, Wu et al., Remote Sensing of Environment 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114003

Sustainable energy adoption in poor rural areas: A comparative case perspective from the Philippines, Quirapas Franco & Taeihagh, Energy for Sustainable Development Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101389

Sustainable lifestyle: Quantification and determining factors analysis of household carbon footprints in Japan, Huang et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114016

The impact of environmental policies on renewable energy investment decisions in the power supply chain, Ji et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.113987

The impact of industry-favoring land allocation strategy on urban carbon emissions: a city-level empirical study in China, Qi et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04550-4

What future for marine renewable energy in Portugal and Spain up to 2030? Forecasting plausible scenarios using general morphological analysis and clustering techniques, Vieira et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113859

Which energy labels should we use to expedite the transition to electric vehicles?, Scarlat et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1354677

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

A system for the management of sandy shorelines under climate change: United States Virgin Islands (USVI), Chalazas et al., Ambio Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-023-01946-w

Absurd geographies of resilience and justice, Grove et al., Climate and Development Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2023.2255566

Centring localised indigenous concepts of wellbeing in urban nature-based solutions for climate change adaptation: case-studies from Aotearoa New Zealand and the Cook Islands, Mihaere et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1278235

Harnessing economic tools for Indigenous climate resilience: Insights from Arctic marine resources, Kourantidou, PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000342

Humanitarian aid and the everyday invisibility of climate-related migration from Central America, Doering-White et al., Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2024.2312829

Increasing multi-hazard climate risk and financial and health impacts on northern homeowners, Schwoerer et al., Ambio Open Access pdf 10.1007/s13280-023-01951-z

Multi-criteria decision approach for climate adaptation of cultural resources along the Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States: Application of AHP method, SMG Kibria et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100587

Nature-based solutions on the coast in face of climate change: The case of Benidorm (Spain), Toledo et al., Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101816

Participating under constraints: roles and limitations of rural women’s involvement in climate change adaptation planning and implementation in Ghana, Koomson, Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2023.2236587

Role of adaptation measures in addressing heatwave exposure in China, Han et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.02.001

Staying put in an era of climate change: The geographies, legalities, and public health implications of immobility, Robins et al., WIREs Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1002/wcc.879

Toward a transformative climate change adaptation from local to global perspective—A transdisciplinary challenge by Kyoto Climate Change Adaptation Center, Ichihara et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access pdf 10.3389/fclim.2023.1304989

Climate change impacts on human health

Bias-adjusted and downscaled humidex projections for heat preparedness and adaptation in Canada, Chow et al., Geoscience Data Journal Open Access pdf 10.1002/gdj3.241

Climate projections of human thermal comfort for indoor workplaces, Sulzer & Christen, Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-024-03685-7

Exceptional heat island intensities also occur in medium-sized cities, Amorim et al., Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101821

Individual heat adaptation: Analyzing risk communication, warnings, heat risk perception, and protective behavior in three German cities, Heidenreich & Thieken, Risk Analysis Open Access pdf 10.1111/risa.14278

Staying put in an era of climate change: The geographies, legalities, and public health implications of immobility, Robins et al., WIREs Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1002/wcc.879

Other

Future tropospheric ozone budget and distribution over east Asia under a net-zero scenario, Hou et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-15395-2023

The Iceland–Faroe warm-water flow towards the Arctic estimated from satellite altimetry and in situ observations, Hansen et al., Ocean Science Open Access 10.5194/os-19-1225-2023

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

Adapting to climate change: promises and pitfalls in the diffusion of solutions, Schulze et al., Regional Environmental Change Open Access 10.1007/s10113-023-02165-5

Blue carbon, red states, and Paris Agreement Article 6, Orford, Frontiers in Climate Open Access pdf 10.3389/fclim.2024.1355224

Editorial: Achieving sustainable development goal 13: resilience and adaptive capacity of temperate and boreal forests under climate change, Zhang et al., Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access pdf 10.3389/ffgc.2024.1356686

Editorial: Geophysical, climatological and anthropogenic hazards and disaster: vulnerability, risk assessment, and sustainability, Chatterjee et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1370984

Governing experimentation to decarbonise the electricity sector, Owens, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114011

Ideas and perspectives: Alleviation of functional limitations by soil organisms is key to climate feedbacks from arctic soils, Blume-Werry et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-20-1979-2023

Open science and the climate crisis, Fell et al., PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000336

Stepping-up climate action and climate justice: Chile's path towards a new model of climate governance, Rojas & Billi, Environmental Research Letters Open Access 10.1088/1748-9326/ace4de

The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth-regulating systems in the Anthropocene, Rockström et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access pdf 10.1073/pnas.2301531121

 


Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

U.S. Health Care Workers Want Their Employers to Address Climate Change, Arnav Shah and Lovisa Gustafsson, The Commonwealth Fund

The authors present the findings from a national survey of 1,001 U.S. clinicians about their views of what health systems can do to address climate change. All those surveyed worked at a hospital or at a health system comprising more than one hospital; some had leadership responsibilities within their organization. About four in five clinicians surveyed believe that it is important for their hospital to address climate change and that doing so is aligned with their organization’s mission. Three in four surveyed clinicians feel it is important that they themselves work to reduce their environmental impact, both at work and at home. Respondents working in leadership positions reported that most hospitals are increasingly undertaking climate mitigation initiatives, such as reducing energy consumption (69%) and waste (76%) or setting emissions targets (35%). About six in 10 clinicians indicated a prospective employer’s policies and actions on climate change would impact their decision to apply for a job.

The 50 States of Solar Decommissioning: 2023 Snapshot,, North Carolina Clean Energy Technology Center North Carolina Clean Energy Industries Association (SEIA)

The authors provide readers with information on the types of policy models states are using to guide solar decommissioning; provides updates on legislation that has passed or is still being considered as of the end of 2023 related to solar decommissioning; gives a brief analysis of current state by state policy – specifically those offering state-based rules and statutes; and ends with a summary of notable trends and concluding thoughts.

Palestinian Women Facing Climate Change in Marginalized Areas: A Spatial Analysis of Environmental Awareness, Khalil Abu Allan, Wilson Center

The marginalized Palestinian areas in the West Bank are considered among the global places that are most affected by climate change. The impacts in this region vary across regions, generations, age, classes, income groups, and gender. Palestinian women often find themselves at the center of the fallout from these climate crises. They play a central role in awareness of the problem, rationalization of consumption, environmental protection, and resource management within their society—and they are expected to change the behavior of their families in order to preserve natural resources in the face of climate impacts. Yet, environmental awareness among women in the West Bank is dangerously low as a result of social factors such as early marriage, weak political and security stability in the region, as well as economic factors such as unemployment. Within this context, it is crucial to determine pathways to achieving fairness and equity in access to resources and enhancing the role of women in climate action.

The Cradle of Civilization in Peril: A Closer Look at the Impact of Climate Change in Iraq, Abdullah J. Alfayadh, Wilson Center

The severity of climate impacts in Iraq—the cradle of civilization, the land between the two rivers—is not a crisis of the future. It is a crisis of today. The UN has named Iraq as the fifth most vulnerable country to climate change by the United Nations, and this nation’s climate challenge is a key part of the larger problems faced by the wider MENA region. Through an assessment of published literature and traditional and social media in Iraq—as well as dialogue with local and international experts—this paper reveals the interaction of climate vulnerability and communal cohesion, especially in communities coping with ruptured social ties due to cycles of conflict past and present. Looking at how these challenges play out in the Diyala governorate reveals how issues of competition over natural resources, migration, strained public services, and intra-state water allocation drive climate vulnerability and instability in Iraq. Indeed, there is an increasing consensus that climate change acts as a “threat multiplier” to exacerbate conflict and fragility— both in Diyala and elsewhere in Iraq.

Localizing Climate Action: The Best Path Forward for Low and Middle- Income Countries in the MENA Region, Josiane Atallah, Wilson Center

Recent destructive floods, earthquakes, forest fires and disease outbreaks demonstrate that disasters have become increasingly complex phenomena. Effective response, reconstruction, and recovery require resource mobilization and sustained collaboration from stakeholders. Low- and Middle-Income (LMI) countries in MENA in particular often lack the financial and technical resources to do so without extensive external support. This leaves crisis- and disaster-affected communities vulnerable to adverse external factors that may delay, limit, or prohibit such support. Given these challenges, the need for localization of climate action in LMI in MENA—i.e. building capacity and allocating resources at the local level—is increasingly clear.

Enabling Sustainable Energy Security in Syria, Nour Barakeh, Wilson Center

The conflict in Syria has imposed severe challenges on the country’s energy sector, impacting daily life, livelihoods, the economy, and humanitarian aid operations. The scarcity of oil and natural gas has made it harder to meet electricity demand, and while solar panels have emerged as an alternative, their high costs render them inaccessible to those with limited income amid economic challenges. Imbalanced power dynamics in trade are further exacerbating the situation. Against this backdrop, one avenue for much-needed renewable energy development is to mobilize the humanitarian sector in the short run to support the manufacture of solar panels in Syria. Such an intervention would provide immediate relief for individual households and create job opportunities while addressing long-term socio-economic and migratory challenges in the region.

Climate Finance and Gender Inequality in Egypt, Eslam Hassanein, Wilson Center

Climate change has become a cross-cutting concern, affecting millions worldwide; however, these ramifications differ profoundly by gender. Women’s socioeconomic status and unequal access to resources and decision-making processes, as well as gender-blind adaptation and mitigation actions, means they are hit especially hard. Although incorporating gender considerations into climate finance schemes is gaining momentum as a way to tackle inequalities and climate action simultaneously, gender and environmental issues are still often addressed separately. Egypt—which is among the countries most vulnerable to climate hazards—has developed a climate-coherent policy agenda that surpasses most of its MENA peers, but it still lacks a comprehensive framework to analyze the gender differential impacts of climate change and integrate women into climate finance. Facilitating women’s integration into Egyptian climate financing is essential not only to addressing gendered climate impacts but also addressing gender inequality more broadly.

Managing Scarcity in the Euphrates-Tigris River Basin in the Age of Climate Change, Gokce Sencan, Wilson Center

As the Eastern Mediterranean emerges as a climate change hotspot, the Euphrates-Tigris Basin is being fundamentally altered. Basin countries urgently need to prepare for and adapt to these changes, but the region has long been consumed by disputes between Iraq, Syria, and Turkey on how to share its water resources. The status quo favors Turkey as the upstream hegemon, yet a lack of rules around river flows will have ramifications for all countries—amplifying the risk of diplomatic conflict, instability, and humanitarian crises. To avoid the worst impacts of climate change, the countries of the region should establish a trilateral institution and a basin-wide management framework.

Green Entrepreneurship: A Pathway to Sustainable Development and Peace in MENA, Hamza Saidi, Wilson Center

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is grappling with the confluence of environmental vulnerabilities and geopolitical complexities as rising temperatures and conflicts intensify. Amidst these challenges, green entrepreneurship has the potential to provide a dual solution—addressing climate issues and fostering sustainable development and peace. Green entrepreneurship recognizes the region’s vulnerability to climate change, and offers a multifaceted response that can provide economic opportunities and bridge political divides. The transformative power of aligning environmental goals with economic benefits is demonstrated by projects like the Israel-Jordan-UAE energy and water cooperation. The time is now to propose comprehensive strategies, emphasize policy frameworks and incentives, and empower green entrepreneurs to drive positive change in the MENA region.

Public Perceptions on Climate Change in Qatar, Neeshad Shafi, Wilson Center

Climate change is a complex, multifaceted problem involving various interacting systems and actors. It can only be tackled with public support for sustainable policies. Thus, public attitudes towards climate change matter. Over decades of climate change opinion research by various researchers and institutions have provided us with a wealth of information for policymakers. This public survey synthesizes the findings and highlights the different geographies with their perspective and understandings that emerge within this study. Given the increased importance of social media, news networks of climate change skepticism are increasingly being identified. This survey covered a wide range of topics, from climate change to government policies to sources of information. However, this paper will only examine two aspects of the survey result. The survey study provides surprising findings on several issues that will help develop policy interventions that could accelerate the transition to a climate-conscious community and society in Qatar.

Climate change, not El Niño, main driver of exceptional drought in highly vulnerable Amazon River Basin, Clarke et al., World Weather Attribution

Scientists from Brazil, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and the United States assessed whether and to what extent the Amazon river basin drought has been influenced by climate change as well as the occurrence of El Niño, which is known to be associated with drought in the Amazon. While the drought started earlier in the west of the basin, the whole basin has been in severe or exceptional drought for the second half of 2023. The 2023 Amazon drought is frequently cited as the most extreme on the historical record. It occurs at a time when communities across the region face distinct and intersecting challenges related to historical drought, recent climate and extreme weather events intensified by the La Niña climate patterns, governance and development challenges, as well as fragility, conflict and violence. The vulnerability and exposure context of the drought highlights the ways in which climate change can exacerbate underlying local, national, and regional challenges resulting in similar vulnerability and exposure outcomes even across seemingly dissimilar contexts.

A Realist Approach to Hydrogen, Robin Gaster, e Information Technology and Innovation Foundation

Clean hydrogen is expensive to produce, difficult to transport, and a second- or third-best clean energy solution in almost all proposed markets. To help drive the global green transition, a realist approach to hydrogen policy must address all these practical challenges. Blue hydrogen investments should be minimized. Blue hydrogen is not a global solution for greenhouse gas emissions even in targeted industries, as it will never reach price/performance parity (P3) with gray hydrogen, and may not effectively address greenhouse gases either. Green hydrogen is different. It could reach P3, for some applications, in some regions. But that depends almost entirely on lower costs for the renewable energy it requires, the key input. Economies of scale, e.g., for electrolyzes, will not transform the economics of green hydrogen. Most proposed markets for hydrogen reflect magical thinking. They are nowhere near competitive with fossil fuels and often are not competitive with electrification using renewable energy. Accelerating research, design and development around green hydrogen is critical, emphasizing the competitive pathway to scaleup for a few key potential markets, such as long-duration energy storage. Policymakers should favor projects that co-locate green hydrogen production, energy sources, and end users, avoiding projects that require electricity from the grid or extensive transportation infrastructure.

Mission Analysis for Marine Renewable Energy To Provide Power for Marine Carbon Dioxide Removal, Niffenegger et al., National Renewable Energy Laboratory

The authors provide a preliminary feasibility assessment of powering different marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR), marine carbon capture (mCC), and marine carbon sequestration (mCS) strategies with marine energy. In this report, carbon capture (CC) refers to methods that can separate or capture carbon dioxide (CO2) from the air or ocean; carbon sequestration (CS) refers to methods that store CO2 obtained by capture methods out of the atmosphere for long periods; and carbon dioxide removal (CDR) refers to methods that do both. The authors found that mCDR powered by marine energy and offshore wind energy available in the United States could meet global CDR scales needed by 2040 and 2050 to limit warming to 1.5°C by 2100. Note that this preliminary estimate assumes that it is possible to harvest all the marine and offshore wind resources available in the United States with existing tec needs are not yet well defined and require further research. Additionally, these CDR scales will still require emissions reductions.

Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions

We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as "On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article's relevance and importance. 

  • Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate
  • The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you're interested in an article title and it is not listed here as "open access," be sure to check the link anyway. 

How is New Research assembled?

Most articles appearing here are found via  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance. 

Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database. 

The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:

  • Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a "yes" to this automatically. 
  • Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week's 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.

A few journals offer public access to "preprint" versions of articles for which the review process is not yet complete. For some key journals this all the mention we'll see in RSS feeds, so we include such items in New Research. These are flagged as "preprint."

The section "Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives" includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of "perspectives," observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.

Suggestions

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Journals covered

A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.

Previous edition

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