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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #25 2023

Posted on 22 June 2023 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack

168 articles in 60 journals by 1,055 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

Atmospheric heat transport is governed by meridional gradients in surface evaporation in modern-day earth-like climates, Fajber et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2217202120

Jet stream dynamics from a PV gradient perspective: The method and its application to a km-scale simulation, Bukenberger et al., Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 10.1002/qj.4513

Observations of climate change, effects

Anthropogenic Contribution to the Rapid Warming over the Tibetan Plateau, Wang et al., Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-022-06576-8

Characterization, variability and long-term trends on local climate in a Mexican tropical dry forest, Takano?Rojas et al., International Journal of Climatology Open Access 10.1002/joc.8133

Deciphering the Trend and Interannual Variability of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes over Greenland during 1958–2019, Wei et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0488.1

Impacts of frozen ground degradation and vegetation greening on upper Brahmaputra runoff during 1981–2019, Wang et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8057

Increasing trend of extreme winter warm spells in China and the intra-seasonal differences, Ding et al., Atmospheric Science Letters Open Access 10.1002/asl.1179

Long-term changes in observed soil temperature over Poyang Lake Basin, China, during 1960–2016, Lou et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology Open Access 10.1007/s00704-023-04522-0

Possible linkage between winter extreme low temperature over central-western China and autumn sea ice loss, Ding et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2023jd038547

Trends in Northern Hemispheric Snow Presence, Jia et al., Journal of Hydrometeorology Open Access pdf 10.1175/jhm-d-22-0182.1

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

Heat stored in the Earth system 1960–2020: where does the energy go?, von Schuckmann et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-15-1675-2023

Timing and spatial selection bias in rapid extreme event attribution, Miralles & Davison, Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100584

Towards monitoring stem growth phenology from space with high resolution satellite data, Eitel et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109549

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

Anthropogenic climate change impacts exacerbate summer forest fires in California, Turco et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2213815120

Bayesian assessment of CMIP6 surface net radiation predictions for Köppen–Geiger climate zones, Liu, International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8152

Change from aerosol-driven to cloud-feedback-driven trend in short-wave radiative flux over the North Atlantic, Grosvenor & Carslaw, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-6743-2023

Changes in atmospheric moisture transport over tropical South America: an analysis under a climate change scenario, Arias et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access 10.1007/s00382-023-06833-4

Changes in Extreme Temperature and Precipitation over the Southern Extratropical Continents in Response to Antarctic Sea Ice Loss, Zhu et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0577.1

Changing Nature of High-Impact Snowfall Events in Eastern North America, McCray et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2023jd038804

Climate data for Odesa, Ukraine in 2021–2050 based on EURO-CORDEX simulations, Borovska & Khokhlov, Geoscience Data Journal Open Access 10.1002/gdj3.197

Contributions of Climate Change and ENSO Variability to Future Precipitation Extremes Over California, Huang & Stevenson, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl103322

ENSO–Rainfall Teleconnection over the Maritime Continent Enhances and Shifts Eastward under Warming, Chen et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0036.1

Extreme temperature indices over the Volta Basin: CMIP6 model evaluation, Agyekum et al., Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-022-06503-x

Future changes of dry-wet climate regions and its contributing climatic factors in China based on CMIP6 models, Kou et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8046

Future winter precipitation decreases associated with the North Atlantic warming hole and reduced convection, Iversen et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022jd038374

High resolution projections for extreme temperatures and precipitation over Greece, Politi et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-022-06590-w

Historical simulation of photovoltaic potential over China within the CORDEX-EA-II framework, Li et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology Open Access 10.1007/s00704-023-04527-9

Impact of Global Warming on U.S. Summertime Mesoscale Convective Systems: A Simple Lagrangian Parcel Model Perspective, Yang et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0291.1

Precipitable water vapor in regional climate models over Ethiopia: model evaluation and climate projections, Kawo et al., Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-023-06855-y

Projected change of East-Asian winter precipitation related to strong El Niño under the future emission scenarios, Huang et al., Climatic Change 10.1007/s10584-023-03551-y

Projected changes in extreme climate events over Africa under 1.5 , 2.0 and 3.0 global warming levels based on CMIP6 projections, Ayugi et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106872

Selection and downscaling of CMIP6 climate models in Northern Nigeria, Wada et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology Open Access 10.1007/s00704-023-04534-w

Statistical downscaling and projection of climatic extremes using machine learning algorithms, Maqsood et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04532-y

Temperature characteristics over the Carpathian Basin-projected changes of climate indices at regional and local scale based on bias-adjusted CORDEX simulations, Simon et al., International Journal of Climatology Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.8045

The role of climate change and urban development on compound dry-hot extremes across US cities, Ghanbari et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-39205-x

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

An Origin of North American Monsoon Retreat Biases in Climate Models, Ye & Wang, Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0592.1

Changes of mean and extreme precipitation and their relationship in Northern Hemisphere land monsoon domain under global warming, Jiang et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8159

Climate Projections Very Likely Underestimate Future Volcanic Forcing and Its Climatic Effects, Chim et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl103743

Evaluating the Simulation of CONUS Precipitation by Storm Type in E3SM, Reed et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2022gl102409

Evaluation of multi-RCM ensembles for simulating spatiotemporal variability of Asian summer monsoon precipitation in the CORDEX-East Asia Phase 2 domain, Seo et al., International Journal of Climatology Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.8054

Performance evaluation of CMIP6 HighResMIP models in simulating precipitation over Madagascar, Randriatsara et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8153

Quantifying the contribution of forcing and three prominent modes of variability to historical climate, Schurer et al., Climate of the Past Open Access 10.5194/cp-19-943-2023

The effectiveness of machine learning-based multi-model ensemble predictions of CMIP6 in Western Ghats of India, Shetty et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8131

The improvements of sea surface temperature simulation over China Offshore Sea in present climate from CMIP5 to CMIP6 models, Deng et al., Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-023-06843-2

The performance of CMIP6 models in simulating surface energy fluxes over global continents, Liu et al., Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-022-06595-5

Cryosphere & climate change

Continentality determines warming or cooling impact of heavy rainfall events on permafrost, Hamm et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-39325-4

CRYO, Smith et al., Australian Journal of General Practice Open Access pdf 10.31128/ajgp-10-20-5673

Continentality determines warming or cooling impact of heavy rainfall events on permafrost, Hamm et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-39325-4

Hydromechanical coupling mechanism and an early warning method for paraglacial debris flows triggered by infiltration: Insights from field monitoring in Tianmo gully, Tibetan Plateau, Yang et al., Natural Hazards 10.1007/s11069-023-05987-y

Rock glaciers in the Central Eastern Alps – How permafrost degradation can cause acid rock drainage, mobilization of toxic elements and formation of basaluminite, Wanner et al., Global and Planetary Change Open Access 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2023.104180

Subglacial Freshwater Drainage Increases Simulated Basal Melt of the Totten Ice Shelf, Gwyther et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl103765

Summertime surface mass balance and energy balance of Urumqi Glacier No. 1, Chinese Tien Shan, modeled by linking COSIMA and in-situ measured meteorological records, Li et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access 10.1007/s00382-022-06571-z

Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry

Effects of ozone levels on climate through Earth history, Deitrick & Goldblatt Goldblatt, Climate of the Past Open Access 10.5194/cp-19-1201-2023

Museum specimens uncover the past, present and future, Gómez-Bahamón, Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01694-5

North American hydroclimate during past warms states: A proxy compilation-model comparison for the Last Interglacial and the mid-Holocene, de Wet et al., Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology 10.1029/2022pa004528

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

Broadleaf tree phenology and springtime wildfire occurrence in boreal Canada, Parisien et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.16820

Characterizing biological responses to climate variability and extremes to improve biodiversity projections, Buckley et al., PLOS Climate Open Access 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000226

Copula-based joint modelling of extreme river temperature and low flow characteristics in the risk assessment of aquatic life, Latif et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100586

Ecological restoration in the age of apocalypse, Svejcar et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16809

Estimating density of forest bats and their long-term trends in a climate refuge, Law et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.10215

Expanding range and role change, Armarego-Marriott, Nature Climate Change Open Access 10.1038/s41558-023-01675-8

Future climate change will increase risk to mangrove health in Northern Australia, Chung et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-023-00852-z

Historical DNA reveals climate adaptation in an endangered songbird, Turbek et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01696-3

Increased sea ice melt as a driver of enhanced Arctic phytoplankton blooming, Castagno et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16815

Long-term Monitoring of Coupled Vegetation and Elevation Changes in Response to Sea Level Rise in a Microtidal Salt Marsh, Yang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1029/2023jg007405

Ocean currents magnify upwelling and deliver nutritional subsidies to reef-building corals during El Niño heatwaves, Fox et al., Science Advances Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.add5032

Permafrost thaw induces short-term increase in vegetation productivity in northwestern Canada, Ogden et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16812

Physiologically vulnerable or resilient? Tropical birds, global warming, and redistributions, Monge et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.9985

Rise of Ruppia in Chesapeake Bay: Climate change–driven turnover of foundation species creates new threats and management opportunities, Hensel et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2220678120

Should time-lag and time-accumulation effects of climate be considered in attribution of vegetation dynamics? Case study of China’s temperate grassland region, Jin et al., International Journal of Biometeorology 10.1007/s00484-023-02489-1

Sources of variability in seagrass fatty acid profiles and the need of identifying reliable warming descriptors, Pansini et al., Scientific Reports Open Access 10.1038/s41598-023-36498-2

Thermal mismatches explain consumer–resource dynamics in response to environmental warming, Álvarez?Codesal et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.10179

Unique evolution of foraminiferal calcification to survive global changes, Ujiié et al., Science Advances 10.1126/sciadv.add3584

Variable warming effects on flowering phenology of cherry trees across a latitudinal gradient in Japan, Hsu et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109571

Variations in soil microbial community structure and extracellular enzymatic activities along a forest–wetland ecotone in high-latitude permafrost regions, Fu et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.10205

Warming, drought, and disturbances lead to shifts in functional composition: A millennial-scale analysis for Amazonian and Andean sites, van der Sande et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16818

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

A multi-model assessment of the Global Warming Potential of hydrogen, Sand et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-023-00857-8

Characteristics of methane emissions from alpine thermokarst lakes on the Tibetan Plateau, Yang et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-38907-6

Decadal increase in groundwater inorganic carbon concentrations across Sweden, Klaus, Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-023-00885-4

Disentangling the impact of Atlantic Niño on sea-air CO2 flux, Koseki et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-38718-9

Effects of landslides on terrestrial carbon stocks with a coupled geomorphic-biologic model: Southeast Alaska, United States, Booth et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Open Access 10.1029/2022jg007297

Enhanced regional variability of seawater pCO2 under human and natural interference in a nearshore coral nature reserve (Dongshan Island, China), Dong et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1029/2022jg007235

Estimating methane emissions in the Arctic nations using surface observations from 2008 to 2019, Wittig et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-6457-2023

Evaluation of the Stratospheric Contribution to the Inter-Annual Variabilities of Tropospheric Methane Growth Rates, Zhang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl103350

Increasing riverine export of dissolved organic carbon from China, Yan et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.16819

Long-term elevated precipitation induces grassland soil carbon loss via microbe-plant–soil interplay, Wang et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.16811

OceanSODA-UNEXE: a multi-year gridded Amazon and Congo River outflow surface ocean carbonate system dataset, Sims et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-15-2499-2023

On physical mechanisms enhancing air–sea CO2 exchange, Gutiérrez-Loza et al., Biogeosciences Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-5645-2022

Soil organic carbon is a key determinant of CH4 sink in global forest soils, Lee et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-38905-8

Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001

Trends of Anthropogenic Dissolved Inorganic Carbon in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean Estimated Using a State Space Model, Boteler et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 10.1029/2022jc019483

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

Constructing soils for climate-smart mining, Ruiz et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-023-00862-x

Unlocking complex soil systems as carbon sinks: multi-pool management as the key, Angst et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-38700-5


Evaluating the techno-economic impact of decarbonizing buildings by using borehole heat exchangers in comparison to fuel-based systems, Ahmed et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2023.101262

Globalization and decarbonization: Changing strategies of global oil and gas companies, Guo et al., WIREs Climate Change 10.1002/wcc.849

Phase evolution under pressure, Javanbakht, Materialia Open Access 10.1016/j.mtla.2021.101199

Rail-based mobile energy storage as a grid-reliability solution for climate extremes, , Nature Energy 10.1038/s41560-023-01284-x

Technology advancement is driving electric vehicle adoption, Forsythe et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2219396120

Geoengineering climate

Coccolithophores and diatoms resilient to ocean alkalinity enhancement: A glimpse of hope?, Gately et al., Science Advances Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.adg6066

Comment on “An approach to sulfate geoengineering with surface emissions of carbonyl sulfide” by Quaglia et al. (2022), von Hobe et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-6591-2023

Evaluation of Pulse Aerosol Forcing on Marine Stratocumulus Clouds in the Context of Marine Cloud Brightening, Prabhakaran et al., Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 10.1175/jas-d-22-0207.1

Black carbon

Long-term observations of levoglucosan in Arctic aerosols reveal its biomass burning source and implication on radiative forcing, Chen et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2022jd037597


Critical role of biomass burning aerosols in enhanced historical Indian Ocean warming, Tian et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-39204-y

Implications of differences between recent anthropogenic aerosol emission inventories for diagnosed AOD and radiative forcing from 1990 to 2019, Lund et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-23-6647-2023

Climate change communications & cognition

Authoritarian Environmentalism as Reflected in the Journalistic Sourcing of Climate Change Reporting in China, Guo et al., Environmental Communication 10.1080/17524032.2023.2223774

Climate change on Twitter: Implications for climate governance research, Dellmuth & Shyrokykh , WIREs Climate Change Open Access 10.1002/wcc.848

Green politics beyond the state: radicalizing the democratic potentials of climate citizens’ assemblies, Ejsing et al., Climatic Change Open Access 10.1007/s10584-023-03550-z

Intersectional climate perceptions: Understanding the impacts of race and gender on climate experiences, future concerns, and planning efforts, Zoll et al., Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101576

Slow Emergency but Urgent Action? Exploring the impact of municipal climate emergency statements in Sweden, Henman et al., Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101575

The Impact of Climate Change on Media Coverage of Sponge City Programs: A Text Mining and Machine Learning Analysis, Shen & Wang, Environmental Communication 10.1080/17524032.2023.2223775

The use of qualitative research to better understand public opinions on climate change, Kleinberg & Toomey , Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences Open Access 10.1007/s13412-023-00841-w

Using Protection Motivation Theory to examine information-seeking behaviors on climate change, Li et al., Global Environmental Change Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102698

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

A comparison between climate change perceptions and meteorological observations to improve the understanding of adaptation decisions in shifting cultivation, Paul et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04521-1

A framework for analyzing the implementation of climate adaptation policies in the agriculture sector at the subnational level, Mumtaz & Puppim de Oliveira, Environmental Science & Policy 10.1016/j.envsci.2023.06.002

Assessing the black gram (Vigna mungo) yield due to climate change impacts and its adaptation strategies in the Cauvery delta region of South India, S et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04516-y

Climate-smart forestry through innovative wood products and commercial afforestation and reforestation on marginal land, Zhang et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2221840120

Climate-smart management for increasing crop yield and reducing greenhouse gas emission in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China, Zhao et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109569

Hierarchy of value orientation and beliefs in climate change influencing the farmers’ extractive or non-extractive behavior on the farm, Karami, Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-023-03215-y

Implications for the Iranian economy from climate change effects on agriculture—a static computable general equilibrium approach, Shahpari et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04506-0

Large global variations in the carbon dioxide removal potential of seaweed farming due to biophysical constraints, Arzeno-Soltero et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-023-00833-2

Promoting banana farmers’ adoption of climate-smart agricultural practices: the role of agricultural cooperatives, Zhou et al., Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2023.2218333

Quantifying the value to the farmer from adopting climate risk-reducing technologies, Rosas & Sans, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 10.1007/s11027-023-10068-3

Spatial and temporal dynamics of the bacterial community under experimental warming in field-grown wheat, Wang et al., PeerJ Open Access 10.7717/peerj.15428

The effects of climate change on food production in India: evidence from the ARDL model, Ahmed et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access 10.1007/s10668-023-03209-w

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

Detectability of the trend and hysteresis in rainfall across Kali Gandaki River Basin, Central Himalaya, Nepal, Baniya et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04515-z

Extreme hydroclimatic variability and impact of local and global climate system anomalies on extreme flow in the Upper Awash River basin, Tola & Shetty, Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04510-4

Geomorphic response of low-gradient, meandering and braided alluvial river channels to increased sediment supply, Kemper et al., Earth 10.1016/j.earscirev.2023.104429

Identifying areas of high drought risk in southwest Western Australia, Bourne et al., Natural Hazards Open Access 10.1007/s11069-023-06065-z

MOPREDAS&century database and precipitation trends in mainland Spain, 1916–2020, Gonzalez?Hidalgo et al., International Journal of Climatology Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.8060

More extreme precipitation over the Yangtze River Basin, China: Insights from historical and projected perspectives, Wu et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106883

The UKSCAPE-G2G river flow and soil moisture datasets: Grid-to-Grid model estimates for the UK for historical and potential future climates, Kay et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-15-2533-2023

Water balance shifts induced by multiyear drought within the Budyko framework, Liu et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2022jd036758

Climate change economics

Conflict sensitive climate finance: lessons from the green climate fund, Scartozzi, Climate Policy Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2023.2212640

Drivers of Bilateral Climate Finance Aid: The Roles of Paris Agreement Commitments, Public Governance, and Multilateral Institutions, Han & Cheng, Environmental and Resource Economics Open Access 10.1007/s10640-023-00783-5

The drivers and barriers of energy efficiency, Su, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113598

Will reshoring manufacturing of advanced electric vehicle battery support renewable energy transition and climate targets?, Lal & You, Science Advances Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.adg6740

Climate change mitigation public policy research

Applicability of leadership modes outside the negotiation framework: insights from China, Hurri & Kopra, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Open Access 10.1007/s11027-023-10071-8

Energy citizenship: Accounting for the heterogeneity of human behaviours within energy transition, Schlindwein & Montalvo, Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113662

Identifying policy areas for the transition of the transportation sector, Hainsch, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113591

National climate change acts: the emergence, form and nature of national framework climate legislation, Li & Zhu , Environmental Politics Open Access 10.1080/09644016.2023.2213136

Strategies for adaptation to and mitigation of climate change: Key performance indicators to assess nature-based solutions performances, Mosca et al., Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101580

The effectiveness of building retrofits under a subsidy scheme: Empirical evidence from Switzerland, Hondeborg et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113680

The global power sector’s low-carbon transition may enhance sustainable development goal achievement, Peng et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-38987-4

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

A framework to assess multi-hazard physical climate risk for power generation projects from publicly-accessible sources, Luo et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-023-00782-w

A review of challenges, barriers, and opportunities for large-scale deployment of cool surfaces, Alhazmi et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113657

A review of climatic impacts on water main deterioration, Ahmad et al., Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101552

Centering equity in the development of a community resilience planning resource, Fry et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100520

Climate-related migration and the climate-security-migration nexus in the Central American Dry Corridor, Huber et al., Climatic Change Open Access 10.1007/s10584-023-03549-6

Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users, Kopp et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01691-8

Techniques used to predict climate risks: a brief literature survey, Nanwani et al., Natural Hazards 10.1007/s11069-023-06046-2

Testing the reliability of adaptive capacity as a proxy for adaptive and transformative responses to climate change, Bartelet et al., Global Environmental Change Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102700

The agency of community groups in health and climate change adaptation governance and policy in SIDS: The case of in Toco, Trinidad and Tobago, Scobie et al., Environmental Science & Policy 10.1016/j.envsci.2023.05.006

The hazard components of representative key risks The physical climate perspective, Tebaldi et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100516

The need to include wild foods in climate change adaptation strategies, Powell et al., Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 10.1016/j.cosust.2023.101302

Unlocking the flow of finance for climate adaptation: estimates of ‘Fiscal Space’ in climate-vulnerable developing countries, Monsod et al., Climate Policy 10.1080/14693062.2023.2224281

What drives local climate change adaptation? A qualitative comparative analysis, Braunschweiger & Ingold , Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2023.03.013

Climate change impacts on human health

Heat health during future summers in eastern Asia: The combined roles of circulation, temperature and humidity, Clark & Wu, International Journal of Climatology Open Access 10.1002/joc.8145

Climate change impacts on human culture

Weather, climate change, and transport: a review, Gössling et al., Natural Hazards Open Access 10.1007/s11069-023-06054-2


Challenging the values of the polluter elite: A global consequentialist response to Evensen and Graham's (2022) ‘The irreplaceable virtues of in-person conferences’, Whitmarsh & Kreil, Journal of Environmental Psychology 10.1016/j.jenvp.2022.101881

Coupled surface to deep Earth processes: Perspectives from TOPO-EUROPE with an emphasis on climate- and energy-related societal challenges, Cloetingh et al., Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2023.104140

Drift of Earth's Pole Confirms Groundwater Depletion as a Significant Contributor to Global Sea Level Rise 1993–2010, Seo et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl103509

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

A claim for a ‘next generation’ of multisite range-wide forest genetic trials built on the legacy of ecological genetics to anticipate responses to climate, Sampedro & Alía, Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16816

A research and development investment strategy to achieve the Paris climate agreement, Aleluia Reis et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-38620-4

Do all roads lead to Paris?, Trencher et al., Climatic Change 10.1007/s10584-023-03564-7

Four ways to define the growing season, Körner et al., Ecology Letters Open Access 10.1111/ele.14260

Heat stored in the Earth system 1960–2020: where does the energy go?, von Schuckmann et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-15-1675-2023

Revisiting the carbon–biodiversity connection, Gamon, Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16829

Tackling grand challenges in wind energy through a socio-technical perspective, Kirkegaard et al., Nature Energy 10.1038/s41560-023-01266-z

The effectiveness of global protected areas for climate change mitigation, Duncanson et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-023-38073-9

The forest is not yet lost, Pires, Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01707-3

Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

What Counts as Climate? Preliminary Evidence from the World Bank’s Climate Portfolio, Nunez-Mujica et al., Center for Global Development and the Breakthrough Institute

The World Bank is one of the largest providers of development finance to poor countries. In recent years, it has been under immense public pressure, mostly from its richest shareholders, to expand its climate portfolio. The authors examine the World Bank’s climate portfolio at the project level for the period 2000–2022 and find that financing is skewed towards mitigation projects. These projects lack estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions and there is no standardized reporting on GHG estimates across the portfolio. Further, hundreds of projects tagged climate—many in poorer countries—appear to have little to do with climate change mitigation or adaptation. The authors recommend that projects labeled climate should be accompanied by a clear explanation of why they mitigate emissions, with estimates of GHG reductions, or how they help increase resilience to climate-related events. Likewise, the Bank must do more to identify outputs and verify outcomes for climate projects.

Our Common Agenda Policy Brief 8 Information Integrity on Digital Platforms, United Nations

The policy brief is focused on how threats to information, and integrity are having an impact on progress on global, national, and local issues. The brief outlines potential principles for a code of conduct that will help to guide Member States, the digital platforms, and other stakeholders in their efforts to make the digital space more inclusive and safe for all, while vigorously defending the right to freedom of opinion and expression, and the right to access information. The difference between mis- and disinformation lies with intent. Disinformation is information that is not only inaccurate but is also intended to deceive and is spread in order to inflict harm. Disinformation can be spread by State or non-State actors in multiple contexts, including during armed conflict, and can affect all areas of development, from peace and security to human rights, public health, humanitarian aid, and climate action. Misinformation refers to the unintentional spread of inaccurate information shared in good faith by those unaware that they are passing on falsehoods. Misinformation can be rooted in disinformation as deliberate lies and misleading narratives are weaponized over time, fed into the public discourse, and passed on unwittingly. In practice, the distinction between mis- and disinformation can be difficult to determine.

Report: Paying the Price. Taxpayers Footing the Bill for Increasing Costs of Climate Change, Taxpayers for Common Sense

The authors provide an introduction to the scale and types of costs federal taxpayers have borne and will continue to bear, in the absence of effective policy action on climate. They catalog federal programs addressing disaster response, federal flood insurance, infrastructure, federal crop insurance and agricultural disaster aid, natural security, and healthcare – all affected by the rising taxpayer costs of climate change. Given the challenge in calculating specific costs attributed to climate change, the report is by no means a comprehensive inventory of every climate cost that taxpayers pay annually. In fact, the data, transparency, and tools necessary to make this calculation do not yet exist.

State of the Climate in Europe 2022, Emerton et al, World Meteorological Organization and the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service

Climate change is taking a major human, economic and environmental toll on Europe, the fastest-warming continent of the world. The year 2022 was marked by extreme heat, drought, and wildfires. Sea surface temperatures around Europe reached new highs, accompanied by marine heatwaves. Glacier melt was unprecedented. The authors show how Europe has been warming twice as much as the global average since the 1980s, with far-reaching impacts on the region’s socio-economic fabric and ecosystems. In 2022, Europe was approximately 2.3 °C above the pre-industrial (1850-1900) average used as a baseline for the Paris Agreement on climate change. But, in a sign of hope for the future, renewable energy generated more electricity than polluting fossil fuels for the first time last year. Wind and solar power generated 22.3% of European Union (EU) electricity in 2022, overtaking fossil fuel (20%).

Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions

We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as "On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article's relevance and importance. 

  • Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate
  • The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you're interested in an article title and it is not listed here as "open access," be sure to check the link anyway. 

How is New Research assembled?

Most articles appearing here are found via  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance. 

Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database. 

The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:

  • Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a "yes" to this automatically. 
  • Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week's 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.

A few journals offer public access to "preprint" versions of articles for which the review process is not yet complete. For some key journals this all the mention we'll see in RSS feeds, so we include such items in New Research. These are flagged as "preprint."

The section "Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives" includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of "perspectives," observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.


Please let us know if you're aware of an article you think may be of interest for Skeptical Science research news, or if we've missed something that may be important. Send your input to Skeptical Science via our contact form.

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Previous edition

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Comments 1 to 7:

  1. As an engineer with an MBA I am interested in new information and feedback that helps me understand how to limit harm done.

    The weekly Skeptical Science New Research listing continues to be a helpful resource for increased awareness and improved understanding, especially the category of ‘Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change’.

    Politics can be understood to be the system for influencing/governing/controlling/delaying the development of social and economic systems and understanding. There is a parallel to engineering which develops new things and changes (improves and corrects) existing things.

    Imagine if the engineering of things was significantly influenced, was allowed to be compromised, by disinformation developed by pursuers of status/success in competition for popularity or profit. Now imagine the more massively damaging results if political leadership was influenced/compromised that way (no need to imagine it – just become more aware of today’s developed reality).

    Anyone concerned about the harm done by pursuers of personal benefit from disinformation, and the related harmful spin-offs of unjustified sharing of misinformation and the potential related unjustified fear, anger and hatred (which includes the development of hatred for people who try to increase awareness and improve understanding of climate science and the required corrections of popular and profitable developments), would benefit from reading "Our Common Agenda Policy Brief 8 Information Integrity on Digital Platforms, United Nations" (same link as the second item listed in the ‘Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change’).

    The document is fairly easy to read. And there are only about 16 pages of text in the 29 page document.

    The following excerpt, from the section titled “What harm is being caused by online mis- and disinformation and hate speech?”, captures the nature of the challenge/threat and the importance of effective collective limits on the success of people who pursue benefit from disinformation and the related lack of increased awareness and lack of improved understanding of the harm being done:

    Similarly, mis- and disinformation about the climate emergency are delaying urgently needed action to ensure a liveable future for the planet. Climate mis- and disinformation can be understood as false or misleading content that undercuts the scientifically agreed basis for the existence of human-induced climate change, its causes and impacts. Coordinated campaigns are seeking to deny, minimize or distract from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change scientific consensus and derail urgent action to meet the goals of the 2015 Paris Agreement. A small but vocal minority of climate science denialists30 continue to reject the consensus position and command an outsized presence on some digital platforms. For example, in 2022, random simulations by civil society organizations revealed that Facebook’s algorithm was recommending climate denialist content at the expense of climate science.31 On Twitter, uses of the hashtag #climatescam shot up from fewer than 2,700 a month in the first half of 2022 to 80,000 in July and 199,000 in January 2023. The phrase was also featured by the platform among the top results in the search for “climate”.32 In February 2022, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change called out climate disinformation for the first time, stating that a “deliberate undermining of science” was contributing to “misperceptions of the scientific consensus, uncertainty, disregarded risk and urgency, and dissent”.33

    Some fossil fuel companies commonly deploy a strategy of “greenwashing”, misleading the public into believing that a company or entity is doing more to protect the environment, and less to harm it, than it is. The companies are not acting alone. Efforts to confuse the public and divert attention away from the responsibility of the fossil fuel industry are enabled and supported by advertising and public relations providers, advertising tech companies, news outlets and digital platforms.34 Advertising and public relations firms that create greenwashing content and third parties that distribute it are collectively earning billions from these efforts to shield the fossil fuel industry from scrutiny and accountability. Public relations firms have run hundreds of campaigns for coal, oil and gas companies.35

    Mis- and disinformation are having a profound impact on democracy, weakening trust in democratic institutions and independent media, and dampening participation in political and public affairs. Throughout the electoral cycle, exposure to false and misleading information can rob voters of the chance to make informed choices. The spread of mis- and disinformation can undermine public trust in electoral institutions and the electoral process itself – such as voter registration, polling and results – and potentially result in voter apathy or rejection of credible election results. States and political leaders have proved to be potent sources of disinformation, deliberately and strategically spreading falsehoods to maintain or secure power, or undermine democratic processes in other countries.36

    Hopefully this UN effort will help reduce the damaging success of disinformation. And hopefully it will be more effective more rapidly than the “Universal Declaration of Human Rights (1948)”.

    The powerful ability to benefit from disinformation and its spin-offs of popularity of misinformation and hate requires a significant correction of the developed political systems and the resulting social and economic developments and corrections.

    Climate scientists, likely unwittingly, were a significant factor in exposing the problem and forcing the increased awareness and understanding of the need to correct a lot of what has developed, especially the abuse of disinformation by political game players.

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  2. OPOF, thanks for the very useful copy and paste quote.

    The misinformation is very troubling. The climate denialists are still very active although its swiched to some extent from denialism about the science, to denialism about the impacts of climate change and the solutions.

    However I'm not too keen on governments or the news media or other organisations becoming censors of information. I read George Orwells book 1984 recently and it certainly does a good job of raising awareness of the dire consequences of governmnet and media censorship even if it's well meant.

    Of course we do have some established and reasonable limits on free speech, like laws against inciting violence but they are minimal and related to law breaking. I'm talking about going  beyond this.

    But at he same time the way Musk has allowed twitter to revert to an open slather for hate and misinformation is equally as troubling. It all leaves me unsure what the best solution is. 

    However there is no justification for algorithms that send people a deluge of climate denial. This is just manipulation to increase profits.

    I recommend this book to people: 21 lessons for the 21st century by Yuval Harari. Very good chapter on climate change and other environmental issues. IMO this man has a great grasp of reality.

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  3. nigelj @2

    "However I'm not too keen on governments or the news media or other organisations becoming censors of information."

    There are other means organizations can prevent - or at least minimize - the spread of misinformation. Warning messages that content has been contested for example, or a setup that would-be commenters or sharers first have to answer a question related to the article before they can do either.

    And then, there's that whole idea of inoculation, that goes along with improving media literacy of large swaths of the population. Imagine how effective it would be, if nobody falls for all the FLICC-techniques any longer and mis- and disinformation than no longer gets shared? Finland seems to be well ahead of many other countries in that regard, based on this article published recently:

    Finland’s ‘visionary’ fight against disinformation teaches citizens to question what they see online

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  4. Nigelj,

    I am responding hoping to encourage you to read the UN document about Information Integrity on Digital Platforms.

    I agree that Harari’s “21 Lessons for the 21st Century” (and “Sapiens”) are helpful presentations. I read both books a while ago. Your comment prompted me to revisit “21 Lessons ...”

    “The Ecological Challenge” sub-section of the “Nationalism (Global Problems Need Global Answers)”, a chapter about the problems caused by nationalism, is aligned with the new UN initiative regarding the harm of successful disinformation production and promotion. Another tragically relevant chapter today is the “Post-Truth (Some Fake News Lasts Forever)” chapter.

    The item from Harari’s book that seems most relevant to the new UN initiative is from the “Education (Change Is the Only Constant)” chapter. Though not explicitly stated, the implication is that people who resist increasing their awareness and resist improving their understanding of what is harmful and helpful to the development of sustainable improvements for the future of global humanity ‘will potentially need legal or other government actions to limit the harm done by their preference for preserving a misunderstanding or lack of awareness’.

    In the chapter on Education, Harari makes the following important point:

    So what should we be teaching? Many pedagogical experts argue that schools should switch to teaching “the four Cs” – critical thinking, communication, collaboration, and creativity. More broadly, they believe, schools should downplay technical skill and emphasize general-purpose life skills. Most important of all will be the ability to deal with change, learn new things, and preserve your mental balance in unfamiliar situations.

    The new UN initiative regarding the harm of disinformation, misinformation and hate on digital platforms, including its further development and implementation, is a “four Cs” type of action.

    I would encourage you to read the complete UN document. Though I can quickly scan a document, when reading I am usually slower than others because I tend to read every word. It took me 40 minutes to read the entire text (not reading footnotes). For comparison, the Harari sub-section on The Ecological Challenge was a 10 minute read. And it is only 1/4 of the important “Nationalism” chapter. And that entire chapter is only 6% of the book’s ‘well worth reading’ content.

    Regarding your stated concern:

    However I'm not too keen on governments or the news media or other organizations becoming censors of information. I read George Orwells book 1984 recently and it certainly does a good job of raising awareness of the dire consequences of governmnet and media censorship even if it's well meant.

    Of course we do have some established and reasonable limits on free speech, like laws against inciting violence but they are minimal and related to law breaking. I'm talking about going beyond this.

    Your concern is addressed in the UN document. Also, the interventions you are accepting are ‘interventions to limit harm done’. That is, or should be, the fundamental principle of laws and their restrictions of freedom. Tragically, I agree that sovereign national or regional governments and pursuers of profit cannot be trusted to constantly govern their law-making, regulation-creation, enforcement or other actions to limit harm done. Pursuits of popularity and profit can create interests for individuals and sub-groups of global humanity that are in conflict with correcting harmful developments and conflict with developing sustainable improvements for global humanity. Those damaging ‘developed and developing conflicts if interest’ include the potential for the sub-group of ‘all of current-day humanity’ having interests that conflict with the development of a sustainable improving future for global humanity.

    So, Harari’s book is informative and exposes many important issues. However, the UN document is doing the harder work of applying the ‘four Cs’, to develop global change regarding the integrity of digital information to limit harm done. The section titled “What is the relevant international legal framework?” (page 9) addresses the matter of free speech (as do other parts of the document). It is less than a 3 minute read and opens and ends with:

    The promotion of information integrity must be fully grounded in the pertinent international norms and standards, including human rights law and the principles of sovereignty and non-intervention in domestic affairs. In August 2022, I transmitted to the General Assembly a report entitled “Countering disinformation for the promotion and protection of human rights and fundamental freedoms”.15 In the report, I laid out the international human rights law that applies to dis-information, including the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights. Under these international legal instruments, everyone has the right to freedom of expression.16
    In its resolution 76/227, adopted in 2021, the General Assembly emphasized that all forms of disinformation can negatively impact the enjoyment of human rights and fundamental freedoms, as well as the attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals. Similarly, in its resolution 49/21, adopted in 2022, the Human Rights Council affirmed that disinformation can negatively affect the enjoyment and realization of all human rights.

    And the following is a quote from the beginning of the section titled “Towards a United Nations Code of Conduct UN” (page 21):

    The United Nations Code of Conduct for Information Integrity on Digital Platforms, which I will put forward, would build upon the following principles:
    • Commitment to information integrity
    • Respect for human rights
    • Support for independent media
    • Increased transparency
    • User empowerment
    • Strengthened research and data access
    • Scaled up responses
    • Stronger disincentives
    • Enhanced trust and safety

    I encourage people who are concerned about the harm of disinformation to take the time to read the full UN document.

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  5. BaerbelW,

    The education-related action by Finland is a helpful action in parallel with, but not part of the scope of, the UN actions regarding Information Integrity on Digital Platforms.

    A major 'non-censorship' action discussed in the UN document is developing ways to effectively keep disinformation, misinformation and hate messages from being profitable, especially by controlling advertising placement. A related action would be for responsible advertisers to stop advertising on platforms that do not effectively do that.

    During my MBA education in the early 1980's my course on Marketing began with the professor telling us that we will be learning about the ability to be temporarily successful by being misleading and warning us about the unsustainability of that Marketing approach.

    Attempts to benefit from Disinformation are nothing new. Digital Platforms are just the latest, and potentially most damaging, development that can be abused that way, especially with the rapid unregulated development of AI.

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  6. BaerbelW @3 , thank you ~ a brilliant idea to have commenters demonstrate that they have read the article before they make a comment.  I see problems with eliminating the troll factories, though.  But there might be ways of overcoming that.

    Thanks also for the Finland link.  I knew that Finland's education system was well ahead of the bunch (of the rest of us), but you show that the Finns are Gold Medal indeed, in producing a civilized society.

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  7. Thank you for your kind remarks, OPOF. We're just closing in on 4 years of 208 contiguous editions. Stokers really help to keep the engine turning. :-)

    I've passed on your compliment to Marc, who trawls for the gov/NGO section (and whose experience and hence informed discernment we're very fortunate to have on hand).  

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