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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #11 2023

Posted on 16 March 2023 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack

Open access notables

Jeongmin Yun et al. tag increasing acidifcation as a root cause of changes in behavior of CO2 fluxes below the equator, in Enhanced seasonal amplitude of atmospheric CO2 by the changing Southern Ocean carbon sink. "The enhanced seasonal amplitude of atmospheric CO2 has been viewed so far primarily as a Northern Hemisphere phenomenon. Yet, analyses of atmospheric CO2 records from 49 stations between 1980 and 2018 reveal substantial trends and variations in this amplitude globally. While no significant trends can be discerned before 2000 in most places, strong positive trends emerge after 2000 in the southern high latitudes."

Pleasant findings on conscientious behavior are found in a paper by Del Ponte, Masili?nas & Lim, in Information about historical emissions drives the division of climate change mitigation costs. Knowing something of our history influences our willingness to take on and pay for responsibility. "Here we show that when the second generation knows that the previous generation created the current wealth and mitigation costs, participants whose predecessor generated more carbon emissions offered to pay more, whereas the successors of low-carbon emitters offered to pay less."

Human-induced changes in the global meridional overturning circulation are emerging from the Southern Ocean finds changes happening for a variety of reasons but substantially including "us." Concerningly, Antarctic meltwater seems to be playing a large role: "These changes are driven by the increasing Southern Hemisphere (SH) Ferrel cell and associated increases in the westerlies and the surface buoyancy loss over its sinking branch, and the increasing Antarctic meltwater discharge, in response to ozone depletion in the SH stratosphere and increasing atmospheric CO2. A large-scale readjustment of the GMOC seems to be underway in the South Atlantic and Indo-Pacific Oceans since the mid-2000s in response to the Southern Ocean changes."

Given Skeptical Science's beat, this perspective piece in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences  and authored by Christian Better and Felix Schulz is pleasingly provocative, with reasoning we'd all surely like to believe. Why focusing on “climate change denial” is counterproductive. The authors argue that overemphasis on categorizing beliefs leads to further division and makes cooperation more difficult. 

J.S. Nanditha et al. take a close look at last year's horrific inundation of a large country with a vulnerable population in The Pakistan Flood of August 2022: Causes and Implications. This is a preprint but its conclusions are commensurate with other work, notably including that this flood was entirely congruent with predictions of climate models. Worse is likely yet to come, as detailed. The authors highlight this grim reality against Pakistan's relative inability to cope with such extreme conditions on a sustained basis. 

In their opinion piece published in WIREs Climate Change Usability of climate information: Toward a new scientific framework, Julie Jebeile & Joe Roussos reinforce conclusions shared by many science and communications practitioners concerned with matters of climate: "We generate five recommendations for adapting the practice of climate science, to produce more usable information and thereby respond more directly to the social challenge of climate change. These are: (1) integrated cross-disciplinarity, (2) wider involvement of stakeholders throughout the lifecycle of a climate study, (3) a new framing of the role of values in climate science, (4) new approaches to uncertainty management, and (5) new approaches to uncertainty communication."

Housekeeping 

One purpose of New Research is to help readers understand the differences between popular literature and academic research publications. One key dfferentiation between "pop" writing and what's found in academic journals is provision of supporting citations of prior research for all less-than-completely-obvious claims and assertions providing support for novel findings reported in new reports. To make this more apparent we're adding a new statistic to our summary top line: the total number of cited references supporting each week's collection. Due to publisher reporting gaps this number represents an undercount. 

185 articles in 66 journals by 1,153 contributing authors citing 11,646+ prior works

Physical science of climate change, effects

Can Polar Stratospheric Clouds Explain Arctic Amplification?
Dutta et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0497.1

Diverging Trends in Rain-On-Snow Over High Mountain Asia
Maina & Kumar, Earth's Future, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022ef003009

Factors affecting climate variability of basin-wide western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity
Zhu et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7925

The Varying Earth’s Radiative Feedback Connected to the Ocean Energy Uptake: A Theoretical Perspective from Conceptual Frameworks
Jiménez de la Cuesta, [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10506865.3

Observations of climate change, effects

Anthropogenic Influence on Temperature Change in China over the Period 1901–2018 Yin & Sun, Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0122.1

Changes in lengths of the four seasons in China and the relationship with changing climate during 1961–2020
Yiqi et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7919

Changing intensity of hydroclimatic extreme events revealed by GRACE and GRACE-FO
Rodell & Li, Nature Water, 10.1038/s44221-023-00040-5

Decadal Shift in Summer Precipitation Variability over East Asia in the Mid-2000s and Wave Propagation toward North America
Matsumura & Horinouchi, Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0292.1

Homogenization of daily temperature and humidity series in the UK
Brugnara et al., International Journal of Climatology, Open Access 10.1002/joc.7941

Human-induced changes in the global meridional overturning circulation are emerging from the Southern Ocean
Lee et al., Communications Earth & Environment, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-023-00727-3

Large sinuous rivers are slowing down in a warming Arctic
Ielpi et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-023-01620-9

Rising risks of compound extreme heat-precipitation events in China
Ning et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7561

The Relative Warming Rates of Heat Events and Median Days in the Pacific Northwest from Observations and a Regional Climate Model Salathé et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0313.1

Using early extremes to place the 2022 UK heat waves into historical context
Yule et al., Atmospheric Science Letters, Open Access pdf 10.1002/asl.1159

“Winga Is Trying to Get in”: Local Observations of Climate Change in the Tiwi Islands
Barnett et al., Earth's Future, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022ef002808

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

Microwave radiometer, sun-photometer and GNSS multi-comparison of integrated water vapor in Southwestern Europe
Vaquero-Martínez et al., Atmospheric Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106698

RARE: The Regional Arctic Reanalysis
Carton & Chepurin, Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0340.1

The Ocean Carbon and Acidification Data System
Gregor & Gruber Gruber, Earth System Science Data, Open Access pdf 10.5194/essd-13-777-2021

Tracking vegetation phenology of pristine northern boreal peatlands by combining digital photography with CO2 flux and remote sensing data
Linkosalmi et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-4747-2022

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

A quantitative analysis of the source of inter-model spread in Arctic surface warming response to increased CO2 concentration
Hu et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl100034

Antarctic shelf ocean warming and sea ice melt affected by projected El Niño changes
Cai et al., Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01610-x

CMIP6 projected response of the East Asian winter climate to the sea ice-free Arctic
Song & Zhou , International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7931

Contribution of future urbanization to summer regional warming in the Pearl River Delta
Chen et al., Urban Climate, 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101476

Diurnal rainfall response to the physiological and radiative effects of CO2 in tropical forests in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model v1
Harrop et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021jd036148

Evaluation of long-term changes in precipitation over Bolivia based on observations and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project models
Vicente?Serrano et al., International Journal of Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.7924

Impact of Cyclonic Wind Anomalies Caused by Massive Winter Sea Ice Retreat in the Barents Sea on Atlantic Water Transport towards the Arctic: A Model Study
Heukamp et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc019045

Impact of negative and positive CO2 emissions on global warming metrics using an ensemble of Earth system model simulations
Vakilifard et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-4249-2022

Projected Changes in Future Extreme Precipitation over the Northeast United States in the NA-CORDEX Ensemble
Nazarian et al., Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jamc-d-22-0008.1

Projection of compound wind and precipitation extremes in China based on Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project models
Meng et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7922

Projections of synoptic anticyclones for the twenty-first century
Pepler, Climate Dynamics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-023-06728-4

The future of China's urban heat island effects: A machine learning based scenario analysis on climatic-socioeconomic policies
Lan et al., Urban Climate, 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101463

The impacts of land use and land cover change on biophysical processes in West Africa using a regional climate model experimental approach
Achugbu et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7943

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

A method for selecting a climate model: an application for maximum daily temperature in Southern Spain
Abadie & Moral, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00704-023-04411-6

An Analytical Model of Two-Dimensional Mesoscale Circulation and Associated Properties Across Squall Lines
Zhang, AGU Advances, Open Access 10.1029/2022av000726

Assessment of Antarctic sea ice area and concentration in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 models
Casagrande et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7916

Deep-learning-based harmonization and super-resolution of near-surface air temperature from CMIP6 models (1850–2100)
Wei et al., International Journal of Climatology, Open Access 10.1002/joc.7926

Evaluation of temperature and precipitation from CORDEX-CORE South America and Eta-RCM regional climate simulations over the complex terrain of Subtropical Chile
Torrez-Rodriguez et al., Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-023-06730-w

Impact of Ural blocking on early-winter climate variability under different Barents-Kara sea ice conditions
Peings et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd036994

Multivariate bias correction of regional climate model boundary conditions
Kim et al., Climate Dynamics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-023-06718-6

Sensitivity of Heavy Convective Precipitation Simulations to Changes in Land-atmosphere Exchange Processes over China
Zhang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037125

The Deep Arctic Ocean and Fram Strait in CMIP6 Models
Heuzé et al., Journal of Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0194.1

The fifth generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5. Part I: Description and illustrative examples at parameterized convection and convection-permitting resolutions
Giorgi et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd038199

Cryosphere & climate change

Decomposition of Estuarine Circulation and Residual Stratification under Landfast Sea Ice
Burchard et al., Journal of Physical Oceanography, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jpo-d-22-0088.1

Short- and long-term consequences of heat exposure on mitochondrial metabolism in zebra finches (Taeniopygia castanotis)
Pacheco-Fuentes et al., Oecologia, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00442-023-05344-7

Spatio-temporal reconstruction of winter glacier mass balance in the Alps, Scandinavia, Central Asia and western Canada (1981–2019) using climate reanalyses and machine learning
Guidicelli et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-17-977-2023

Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Response to External Forcing during the Past Two Millennia
Dai et al., Journal of Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0986.1

Incoherency in Central American hydroclimate proxy records spanning the last millennium
Obrist-Farner et al., [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10510848.1

Millennial variations in atmospheric CO2 during the early Holocene (11.7–7.4 ka)
Shin et al., Climate of the Past, Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-18-2063-2022

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

Age structure and climate sensitivity of a high Andean relict forest of Polylepis rodolfo-vasquezii in central Peru
Ticse-Otarola et al., Dendrochronologia, 10.1016/j.dendro.2023.126071

Arctic Ocean annual high in pCO2 could shift from winter to summer
Orr et al., Nature, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41586-022-05205-y

Asymmetric effects of daytime and nighttime warming on alpine treeline recruitment
Shi et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16675

Biological sensitivities to high-resolution climate change projections in the California current marine ecosystem
Sunday et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16317

Building a mechanistic understanding of climate-driven elevational shifts in birds
Neate-Clegg & Tingley, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000174

Comparison of snow disappearance date estimates and tree stem radial growth onset at the forest-tundra ecotone
Weygint et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109388

Consistent responses of vegetation gas exchange to elevated atmospheric CO2 emerge from heuristic and optimization models
Manzoni et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-4387-2022

Different factors limit early- and late-season windows of opportunity for monarch development
Yang et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.9039

Elevated CO2 alleviates adverse effects of drought on plant water relations and photosynthesis: a global meta-analysis
Wang et al., Journal of Ecology, Open Access 10.1111/1365-2745.13988

Estimates of soil nutrient limitation on the CO2 fertilization effect for tropical vegetation
Fleischer & Terrer, Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16377

Excess labile carbon promotes diazotroph abundance in heat-stressed octocorals
Xiang et al., Royal Society Open Science, Open Access 10.1098/rsos.221268

Field development of Posidonia oceanica seedlings changes under predicted acidification conditions
Pansini et al., Marine Environmental Research, 10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.105946

Forecasting distributional shifts of Patella spp. in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean, under climate change
Freitas et al., Marine Environmental Research, 10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.105945

Growth and actual leaf temperature modulate CO2-responsiveness of monoterpene emissions from Holm oak in opposite ways
Staudt et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-4945-2022

Heatwave restructures marine intertidal communities across a stress gradient
Whalen et al., Ecology, 10.1002/ecy.4027

Impacts of future climate change and atmospheric CO2 concentration on ecosystem water retention service
Yin et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002138

Influence of climate on seasonal and diurnal stem radius variations in Picea meyeri during cold seasons
Xue et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109409

Long-term stability in the circumpolar foraging range of a Southern Ocean predator between the eras of whaling and rapid climate change
Derville et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2214035120

Potential aboveground biomass increase in Brazilian atlantic forest fragments with climate change
Ferreira et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16670

Range restriction, climate variability and human-related risks imperil lizards world-wide
Chen et al., Global Ecology and Biogeography, 10.1111/geb.13655

Study of the bleaching alert capability of the CRW and CoRTAD coral bleaching heat stress products in China's coral reefs
Qin et al., Marine Environmental Research, 10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.105939

Survival and physiological energetics of highly invasive mussels exposed to heatwaves
Xu et al., Marine Environmental Research, 10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.105948

The effect of tree decline over soil water content largely controls soil respiration dynamics in a Mediterranean woodland
Rodríguez et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109398

Three-dimensional differentiation of the contribution of climatic factors to vegetation change in the Pan-Tibetan Plateau
Zhang & Li, Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg007244

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

3-D atmospheric modeling of the global budget of N2O and its isotopologues for 1980-2019: The impact of anthropogenic emissions
Liang et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2021gb007202

Accelerated accumulation of anthropogenic CO2 drives rapid acidification in the North Pacific subtropical mode water during 1993−2020
Li et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101639

Combining Eddy Covariance and Chamber Methods to Better Constrain CO2 and CH4 Fluxes Across a Heterogeneous Restored Tidal Wetland
Shahan et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg007112

Constraining China's land carbon sink from emerging satellite CO2 observations: Progress and challenges
Wang et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16412

Cutting peatland CO2 emissions with water management practices
Boonman et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-5707-2022

Dynamics of greenhouse gases (CH4 and CO2) in meromictic Lake Burgsee, Germany
Fuchs et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Open Access 10.1029/2021jg006661

Eddy covariance data reveal that a small freshwater reservoir emits a substantial amount of carbon dioxide and methane
Hounshell et al., [journal not provided], Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10510558.1

Effects of acidification on nitrification and associated nitrous oxide emission in estuarine and coastal waters
Zhou et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-37104-9

Enhance seasonal amplitude of atmospheric CO2 by the changing Southern Ocean carbon sink
Yun et al., Science Advances, Open Access 10.1126/sciadv.abq0220

Estimated regional CO2 flux and uncertainty based on an ensemble of atmospheric CO2 inversions
Chandra et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-22-9215-2022

Evaluating global atmospheric inversions of terrestrial net ecosystem exchange CO2 over North America on seasonal and sub-continental scales
Cui et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl100147

Evaluation of wetland CH4 in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) land surface model using satellite observations
Parker et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-5779-2022

Fusion of multiple models for improving gross primary production estimation with eddy covariance data based on machine learning
Tian et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 10.1029/2022jg007122

Global and Regional Drivers of Power Plant CO2 Emissions over the Last Three Decades Revealed from Unit-based Database
Qin et al., Earth's Future, Open Access 10.1029/2022ef002657

How much organic carbon have UK lakes stored in the Holocene? A preliminary estimate
Du et al., The Holocene, 10.1177/09596836231157062

Magnitude and Origin of CO2 evasion from high-latitude lakes
Verheijen et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Open Access 10.1029/2021jg006768

Mahuika-Auckland: A spatially and temporally resolved fossil fuel CO2 emissions data product for Auckland, New Zealand
Keller et al., Geoscience Data Journal, Open Access 10.1002/gdj3.181

Modified future diurnal variability of the global surface ocean CO2 system
Kwiatkowski et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16514

Opposing seasonal temperature dependencies of CO2 and CH4 emissions from wetlands
Li et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16528

Optimizing 4 years of CO2 biospheric fluxes from OCO-2 and in situ data in TM5: fire emissions from GFED and inferred from MOPITT CO data
Peiro et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-22-15817-2022

Remote-sensing derived trends in gross primary production explain increases in the CO2 seasonal cycle amplitude
He et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10.1029/2021gb007220

Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0
Wei-Ping et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001

Temperature sensitivity of dark CO2 fixation in temperate forest soils
Akinyede et al., Biogeosciences, Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg-19-4011-2022

The impact of agricultural management on soil aggregation and carbon storage is regulated by climatic thresholds across a 3000 km European gradient
Edlinger et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16677

Using the atmospheric CO2 growth rate to constrain the CO2 flux from land use and land cover change since 1900
Dohner et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16396

Using the atmospheric CO2 growth rate to constrain the CO2 flux from land use and land cover change since 1900
Dohner et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16396

Variability in Sea Surface pCO2 and Controlling Factors in the Bay of Bengal Based on Buoy Observations at 15°N, 90°E
Ye et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc018477

Wetting-induced soil CO2 emission pulses are driven by interactions among soil temperature, carbon, and nitrogen limitation in the Colorado Desert
Andrews et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16669

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

A two-phase flow extended finite element technology modeling CO2 in fractured porous media
Luo et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2182

Adapting reforestation programs to observed and projected climate change
Sang et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 10.1007/s11027-023-10050-z

Adsorptive capture of CO2 by amine impregnated activated carbon, pumice and zeolite 4A
Ozturk et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2172

Carboxylation reactions for integrating CO2 capture with the production of renewable monomers
Faba et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2175

Climate impact of bioenergy with or without carbon dioxide removal: influence of functional unit and parameter variability
Repo et al., GCB Bioenergy, Open Access pdf 10.1111/j.1757-1707.2011.01124.x

Energy and economic analysis feasibility of CO2 capture on a natural gas internal combustion engine
García?Mariaca & Llera?Sastresa, Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, Open Access pdf 10.1002/ghg.2176

Evaluation of high-performance adsorbents for separation of CO2 from industrial effluent gases
Hedayati et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2197

Fizzy ore processing sequesters CO2 while supplying critical metals
Wilson & Hamilton, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 10.1073/pnas.2212424119

Importance of mangrove plantations for climate change mitigation in Bangladesh
Uddin et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16674

Interrogating the chemical mechanism for carbon dioxide (CO2) reactivity in aqueous tertiary amine solutions: Can a simple parallel hydration reaction mechanism work?
Li et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2177

Mining industrial materials as heterogeneous catalyst for high value-added cyclic carbonates production from CO2
Kanteler et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2190

Seismicity induced by geological CO2 storage: A review
Cheng et al., Earth, 10.1016/j.earscirev.2023.104369

Simulated impact of ocean alkalinity enhancement on atmospheric CO2 removal in the Bering Sea
Wang et al., Earth's Future, Open Access 10.1029/2022ef002816

Decarbonization

Can fusion energy be cost-competitive and commercially viable? An analysis of magnetically confined reactors
Lindley et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113511

Climate-combined energy modelling approach for power system planning towards optimized integration of renewables under potential climate change - The Small Island Developing State perspective
Donk et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113526

Design space exploration and decision-making for a segmented ultralight morphing 50-MW wind turbine
Kianbakht et al., Wind Energy, 10.1002/we.2781

Microbial electrosynthesis for CO2 conversion and methane production: Influence of electrode geometry on biofilm development
De la Puente et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2185

Roof integrated photovoltaic for electric vehicle charging towards net zero residential buildings in Australia
Khan et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, 10.1016/j.esd.2023.02.005

Variability in North Sea wind energy and the potential for prolonged winter wind drought
Kay et al., Atmospheric Science Letters, Open Access pdf 10.1002/asl.1158

Who has the power? Reflections on citizen engagement in district heating schemes in the UK and Sweden
Bull & Eadson, Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113505

Black carbon Aerosols

Impact of COVID-19-related Air Traffic Reductions on the Coverage and Radiative Effects of Linear Persistent Contrails over Conterminous United States and Surrounding Oceanic Routes
Duda et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037554

Climate change communications & cognition

Capitalism at the roots: the crisis of representative democracy through the eyes of Belgian climate activists
Knops & De Vydt, Environmental Politics, 10.1080/09644016.2023.2180922

Does the Climate Impact Satisfaction with Life? An Australian Spatial Study
Lignier et al., Weather, Climate, and Society, 10.1175/wcas-d-22-0063.1

Explaining differences in party reactions to the Fridays for Future-movement – a qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) of parties in three European countries
Berker & Pollex, Environmental Politics, 10.1080/09644016.2022.2127536

Translated Emission Pathways (TEPs): Long-Term Simulations of COVID-19 CO2 Emissions and Thermosteric Sea Level Rise Projections
Gonzalez & Lin, Earth's Future, Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021ef002453

Usability of climate information: Toward a new scientific framework
Jebeile & Roussos, WIREs Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1002/wcc.833

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

Climate Change Effects on Irrigated Corn Growth in the Lower Mississippi Delta
Kannan & Anapalli, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 10.1175/jamc-d-22-0107.1

Climate controls over phenology and amplitude of net ecosystem productivity in a wheat-maize rotation system in the North China plain
Yue et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109411

Confronting climate change and livelihood: smallholder farmers’ perceptions and adaptation strategies in northeastern Burundi
Batungwanayo et al., Regional Environmental Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-02018-7

Impact of climate change on future productivity and water use efficiency of wheat in eastern India
Mukherjee et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-754866/v1

Impacts of climate change on the food-water nexus in central Arizona
Guan & Mascaro, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109413

Long-term effect of forest harvesting on boreal species assemblages under climate change
Bouderbala et al., bioRxiv, Open Access pdf 10.1101/2022.08.21.504664

Maladaptation in food systems and ways to avoid it
Bezner Kerr, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 10.1016/j.cosust.2023.101269

Private finance for food system climate adaptation: opportunity or contradiction?
, A Handbook for the Assessment of Children's Behaviours, Open Access 10.1002/9781119977452.ch23

The climate-driven distribution and response to global change of soil-borne pathogens in agroecosystems
Peng et al., Global Ecology and Biogeography, 10.1111/geb.13662

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

A study on the spatial and temporal evolution of multi-year extreme precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin
Zhang et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-023-04416-1

Analyzing future rainfall variations over southern malay peninsula based on CORDEX-SEA dataset
Qin et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00704-023-04422-3

Decadal Background for Active Extreme Drought Episodes in the Decade of 2010–19 over Southeastern Mainland Asia
Wang et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0561.1

Effect of CO2 concentration on drought assessment in China
Jiang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7657

Future Atmospheric Rivers and Impacts on Precipitation: Overview of the ARTMIP Tier 2 High-Resolution Global Warming Experiment
Shields et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl102091

Hailstone Characteristics in Northeast Italy from 29 Years of Hailpad Data
Manzato et al., Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 10.1175/jamc-d-21-0251.1

Hysteresis behaviors in East Asian Extreme Precipitation Frequency to CO2 Pathway
Jo et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099814

Impacts of atmospheric CO2 increase and Amazon deforestation on the regional climate: a water budget modeling study
Ruv Lemes et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7929

Impacts of atmospheric CO2 increase and Amazon deforestation on the regional climate: A water budget modelling study
Ruv Lemes et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7929

Impacts of future climate change and atmospheric CO2 concentration on ecosystem water retention service
Yin et al., Earth's Future, 10.1029/2021ef002138

Spatiotemporal Analysis of Extreme Precipitation in the Southern Great Plains Hydroclimate Region
Flanagan & Mahmood, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 10.1175/jamc-d-22-0071.1

Temporal variability of precipitation over the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau and its surrounding areas in the last 40 years
Lu et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7953

The Pakistan Flood of August 2022: Causes and Implications
J. S. et al., ESS Open Archive, Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10512560.1

Trends and variability of rainfall characteristics influencing annual streamflow: A case study of southeast Australia
Fu et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7923

Climate change economics

Financing climate change mitigation and adaptation in Caribbean SIDS
Mohan, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000167

The Achievement of Multiple Nationally Determined Contribution Goals and Regional Economic Development in China
Yuan et al., Environmental and Resource Economics, Open Access 10.1007/s10640-022-00752-4

The financial Kuznets curve of energy consumption: Global evidence
Doytch et al., Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113498

Climate change mitigation public policy research

Can green finance development promote total-factor energy efficiency? Empirical evidence from China based on a spatial Durbin model
Guo et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113523

Correlating CO2 emissions of cities with the inter-city carbon compensation mechanism: a regional perspective in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River (MRYR), China
Li et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-023-03089-0

Energy Efficiency and Directed Technical Change: Implications for Climate Change Mitigation
Casey, The Review of Economic Studies, Open Access pdf 10.1093/restud/rdad001

Greenhouse gas emission budgets and policies for zero-Carbon road transport in Europe
Plötz et al., Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2023.2185585

How carbon emission prices accelerate net zero: Evidence from China's coal-fired power plants
Wu et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113524

Information about historical emissions drives the division of climate change mitigation costs
Del Ponte et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-37130-7

Multi-level climate governance: examining impacts and interactions between national and sub-national emissions mitigation policy mixes in Canada
Scott et al., Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2023.2185586

The effects of institutions and cultures on people's willingness to pay for climate change policies: A meta-regression analysis
Chaikumbung, Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113513

The Recognition of Indigenous Peoples in Latin American Climate Governance: A Review of Nationally Determined Contributions
Carmona et al., Weather, Climate, and Society, 10.1175/wcas-d-22-0059.1

The role of nature-based solutions and senses of place in enabling just city transitions
Raymond et al., Environmental Science & Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2023.02.021

The role of public energy advising in sustainability transitions– empirical evidence from Sweden
Mignon & Winberg, Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113525

Tracing the development of Anti-Fossil Fuel Norms: insights from the Republic of Ireland
Fitzgerald, Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2023.2181750

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

Bonding, bridging, linking social capital as mutually reinforcing elements in adaptive capacity development to flood hazard: Insights from rural Bangladesh
Javed Azad & Pritchard, Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100498

Complex Climate Change Risk and Emerging Directions for Vulnerability Research in Africa
AYANLADE et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100497

Creating adaptive social-ecological fit: The role of regional actors in the governance of Sea-level rise adaptation in San Francisco bay
Vantaggiato et al., Global Environmental Change, Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102654

Exploring market-driven adaptation to climate change in a general equilibrium global trade model
Standardi, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 10.1007/s11027-023-10049-6

Maladaptation in food systems and ways to avoid it
Bezner Kerr, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 10.1016/j.cosust.2023.101269

The limits of migration as adaptation. A conceptual approach towards the role of immobility, disconnectedness and simultaneous exposure in translocal livelihoods systems
Sakdapolrak et al., Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2023.2180318

Weapons of the vulnerable? A review of popular resistance to climate adaptation
Brink et al., Global Environmental Change, Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102656

Climate change impacts on human health

Reduction in near-surface wind speeds with increasing CO2 may worsen winter air quality in the Indo-Gangetic Plain Paulot et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl099039

Regional and seasonal variability in human thermal stress in Poland
Tomczyk & Bednorz, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00704-023-04421-4

Climate change & geopolitics

China and the energy matrix in Latin America: Governance and geopolitical perspective
Ugarteche et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113435

Other

Challenging the values of the polluter elite: A global consequentialist response to Evensen and Graham's (2022) ‘The irreplaceable virtues of in-person conferences’
Whitmarsh & Kreil, Journal of Environmental Psychology, 10.1016/j.jenvp.2022.101881

Changes in deep ocean contribute to a “see-sawing” Gulf Stream path
Wang et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl100937

High emission rates and strong temperature response make boreal wetlands a large source of isoprene and terpenes
Vettikkat et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-2683-2023

How low-carbon innovation drives city’s green development? Evidence from China
Ren et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-023-03098-z

The role of SST forcing in the interdecadal variations of the Pacific-Japan pattern in the late 1990s
Li et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7930

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

Countries’ long-term climate strategies fail to define residual emissions
Buck et al., Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01614-7

Diverse carbon dioxide removal approaches could reduce impacts on the energy–water–land system
Fuhrman et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-023-01604-9

Fluorinated greenhouse gas and net-zero emissions from the electronics industry: the proof is in the pudding
Raoux, Carbon Management, Open Access 10.1080/17583004.2023.2179941

Fluorinated greenhouse gas and net-zero emissions from the electronics industry: the proof is in the pudding
Raoux, Carbon Management, Open Access 10.1080/17583004.2023.2179941

GHG and SCI: Addressing the energy-climate crisis
Oldenburg & Maroto?Valer, Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 10.1002/ghg.2169

Multifactorial effects matter: Moving thermal adaptation into a real-world setting
Liang & Lehmann, Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16524

Shoreline-sentinels of global change show the consequences of extreme events
Hawkins et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16477

Why focusing on “climate change denial” is counterproductive
Bretter & Schulz, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Open Access 10.1073/pnas.2217716120

Why residual emissions matter right now
Buck et al., Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01592-2


Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

Climate Trauma: the Growing Toll of Climate Change on The Mental Health of Australians, Gergis et al., The Climate Council of Australia Limited

The authors provide quantitative data and a rich trove of qualitative testimonies from people all over Australia who have lived through disasters. These data provide a better understanding of the impacts of climate change on mental health in Australia. The research provided an opportunity to hear from those on the front line of the climate crisis about how to better prepare for and respond to future disasters. Stronger action on climate change is fundamental to promoting the mental health and well-being of not only Australians but of communities all over the world.

A Race to the Top: Latin America, Bauer et al., Global Energy Monitor

Latin America has the potential to increase its utility-scale solar and wind power capacity by more than 460% by 2030 if all 319 gigawatts (GW) of prospective new projects in the region come online. Together with existing distributed and smaller-scale solar capacity, Latin America will be on track to meet, and potentially surpass, the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) 2030 regional net zero renewable energy goals if it implements all of its prospective larger-scale projects.

Developing Model Federal Legislation to Advance Safe and Responsible Ocean Carbon Dioxide Removal Research in the United States, Romany M. Webb and Korey Silverman-Roati, Sabin Center for Climate Change Law

This model federal legislation aims to advance safe and responsible ocean carbon dioxide removal (CDR) research in U.S. waters. Controlled field trials and other in-ocean research is critical to improve scientific and societal understanding of CDR techniques that could help the U.S. reach its climate goals. However, existing legal frameworks were not designed to regulate ocean CDR and, in some cases, unnecessarily or inappropriately restrict needed research. The purpose of this proposed model legislation is to establish clear and efficient permitting regime for in-ocean CDR research. At the same time, the model legislation builds in consultation, monitoring, and other safeguards to ensure research occurs in a scientifically-sound manner and minimizes potential risks to the environment and communities.

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How is New Research assembled?

Most articles appearing here are found via  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance. 

Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database. 

The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:

  • Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a "yes" to this automatically. 
  • Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week's 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.

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  1. Regarding the perspective piece “Why focusing on “climate change denial” is counterproductive” by Christian Better and Felix Schulz:

    Initial impressions may be that this perspective and the resulting recommendations are helpful. But some of the recommendations appear likely to be harmful from the perspective of pursuing Sustainable Development today for the benefit of Others, especially for the future of humanity.

    The required actions will be divisive in most of the currently developed societies because those societies did not develop to be governed by learning about harm and aspiring to limit harm done and help others.

    The required action is not ‘making sure that everyone is happy about how the required protection of Others from harm and the development of sustainable improvements occurs’. What is required is effective governing of the actions of all people, especially people who are motivated to resist learning what is ‘unsustainable and harmful and needs to be stopped’ like human climate impacts do.

    The climate impact issue is not a case of limiting the harmfulness of developing behaviour. A lot of unsustainable and harmful activity has already become popular, profitable, desired and aspired to. The requirement is the ending of harmful popular and profitable harmful human activity and the related ‘denial of understanding that it needs to happen, and that everybody needs to fairly participate in ending the harm and repairing harm done’. It is not a choice. Self-govern responsibly, or be governed to limit harmfulness. Not allowing a person to be harmful, or harmfully misled into believing harmful misunderstandings, is not 'a harmful restriction of freedom.'

    A related ‘hard reality’ is that ‘developing sustainable improvement requires thoughtful restriction of freedom based on the diligent pursuit of learning what is harmful and aggressively limiting the harm done and rapidly achieving reconciliation, and ideally full repair, of harm done’.

    The developed reality is that people who would personally prefer to more slowly reduce their harmfulness will need to be disappointed. And some of the most powerful people will need to be the ‘most disappointed’. Individuals who want to benefit from increased harmfulness, except the desperate who are living less than basic decent lives, need to be disappointed even if they are middle class or lower status. The problem is primarily due to people who over-consume and whose ‘needed consumption to live a basic decent life’ is more harmful than it needs to be. And a related part of the problem is less harmful people developing an interest in being more harmful.

    Attempting to avoid divisiveness, especially attempting to not disappoint individualists, is almost certain to result in more harm done. In the realm of climate change impacts it is likely to push things to a higher climate impact RCP than could would happen if the most harmful are the most disappointed (which is what should happen). It is also a pathway that makes it harder to develop sustainable improvements because ‘more harm needs to be dealt with’.

    In addition, appeasing individualists has already resulted in the near certainty that the harm done to future generations by the current generation will exceed the robustly established 1.5 C limit (that probably should be 1.0 C but we are already well past that point). Those who benefited most from more harm done need to be responsible for the rapid removal of all that excess CO2. And individualists with personal prosperity and status interests are very unlikely to ‘choose’ to fairly participate in that unprofitable, but required, collective action.

    The problem is ‘the harmful unsustainable beliefs and actions that have developed due to a failure to effectively collectively govern and limit human activity based on the pursuit of learning about what is unsustainable and harmful’. And part of the developed problem is the ‘development and promotion of positive perceptions of benefit’ governing over the need to learn about and limit harm done and make amends for harm done.

    Poorly governed competition for popularity and profit created the problem. Continued freedom for individuals to evade learning to be less harmful and evade helping to repair damage done will result in more damage done, all justified by ‘Positive Perceptions of Benefits Obtained and other harmful misunderstandings’.

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