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Climate Change Demands New Decision-Making Strategies by National Leaders.

Posted on 24 October 2011 by John Hartz

This is a reprint of a news release posted by the World Resources Institute on Oct 17, 2011.


WRI, UNDP, UNEP and World Bank release major report: Decision Making in a Changing Climate

In light of recent extreme weather events, as well as long-term disruptions related to climate change, a major new report calls for different approaches to decision making by national leaders. The report, entitled Decision Making in a Changing Climate, explores challenges and offers recommendations for national-level government officials to make informed and effective decisions to respond to the changing climate. The report, produced by the World Resources Institute, UNDP, UNEP, and the World Bank, is the latest edition of the influential World Resources Report.

“Climate change is a vast, complex, and urgent issue for national leaders. What’s clear beyond doubt is that the decisions leaders make today will have a profound effect on their countries’ ability to find real, lasting solutions to adapt to this global crisis,” said Manish Bapna, Interim President, the World Resources Institute. “This report provides decision makers with concepts and information they need – drawn from real world experiences – to make smart choices and ensure that decision making is effective and durable in the light of these challenges.”

The challenges of climate change are made clear by the array of recent extreme weather events from massive droughts in the Horn of Africa to record rainfall in the United States to wildfires in Brazil. According to the global insurance company, Munich Re, there were more than 950 natural disasters in 2010, 90 percent of which were weather related, costing a total of at least $130 billion.

“Climate change is not solely an environmental issue. It is an issue that needs to be taken into account in order to ensure that human development is sustainable over the long term” said Olav Kjorven, Director of the Bureau for Development Policy at UNDP. “Governments must start now to incorporate climate risks into plans and policies across all sectors, including urban development, coastal planning, agriculture, water and forestry management, and electricity production.”

Drawing on input from over 100 experts in over 35 countries, the report includes 12 case studies of innovative, real world responses to climate change, such as wildfire management in Brazil, information sharing on agriculture in Mali and glacial flood management in Nepal. These countries demonstrate how some are rising to the challenge of adapting to climate change.

Yet, adaptation efforts worldwide are still failing to meet the challenge.

“Under present trends, the livelihoods of millions of farmers in Africa, and other people around the world, could be lost due to shifting hydrological patterns, higher temperatures and more extreme weather events,” said Andrew Steer, World Bank Special Envoy for Climate Change. “This doesn’t need to happen. Good policies for climate resilience and low-carbon development can be put in place at reasonable cost. The good news is that many developing countries in Africa and elsewhere are taking action to do just that.”

The report identifies key challenges to decision making, including:

  • While the pace of climate change is accelerating, there is great uncertainty about how some impacts— such as changing precipitation patterns and sea level rise — will unfold around the world;

  • Climate change impacts will not play out on a level playing field; some people are more vulnerable than others; and

  • Climate change demands tough, but transformational changes, especially when faced with choices between short-term and long-term allocation of resources.

The report offers a suite of tools and recommendations for national-level policy makers. These include: tailoring adaptation efforts to address uneven vulnerability among populations, incorporating strategies to balance both short- and long-term policy objectives, and planning for uncertainty and a longer time horizon when making decisions. Important considerations include: early and ongoing public engagement, access to information, effective institutional design, allocation of resources, and appropriate policy tools.

“National, regional and local governments, businesses, and civil society are already making decisions to make the transition to a climate resilient, low-carbon future and build the green economies of the twenty-first century,” says Kaveh Zahedi, Coordinator of UNEP’s Climate Change Program. “This report shows that smart adaptation investments, such as those in climate resilient agriculture in China, mangrove restoration in Vietnam, and watershed management in Rwanda, deliver multiple benefits from food security to coastline protection to improved energy supply and ultimately help build the resilience of communities that are most vulnerable to climate change.”

Decision Making in a Changing Climate is the 13th edition of the World Resources Report, a series that has been published over a 25 year period.

The full report, including the executive summary, individual case studies, and expert papers, can be found here.

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Comments 1 to 6:

  1. Is anyone aware of a validated statistcal compilation being published about the changes in frequency (if any - though I'm betting they are on the rise) and severity (if any - though again I suspect worse) of climate related disasters and their negative impacts? There's been quite a debate about the attribution of any individual event to AGW - rightly so as any evidence will be, at best, indirect and challengeable - but a statistical picture over time would be more convincing and useful in the armory against "skeptics" and in the political arena as these events have very real "here and now" immediately felt sconomic costs.
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  2. Whaddyaknow! here's one Increase of extreme events in a warming world or at least a statistical analysis. Anyone know of any hard global datasets?
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  3. More of a question than a comment: Other than war, when is the last time a national leader (or body of leaders) in major democracy has taken on a massive challenge and compelled people to take action and overcome a problem together? I'm looking for recent examples in history. The US Space program comes to mind, but it was a small group of people who were well funded. (Small group does great things rather than everyone in a large group doing small things.) Any other examples?
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  4. 3, noble_serf, The Great Depression. Rebuilding Europe after WW II. Rebuilding the South after the Civil War. The U.S. Interstate Highway system under Eisenhower. The taming of he American Frontier (not the kill-the-Indians part, but the rest of it, the economic and social aspects). The elimination of small pox and polio. You're not going to find much that matches our current dilemma, however. The fact is that true "global" interaction has really only been a reality for the past 75 years. The opportunity has not existed, nor the challenges presented themselves, to prepare us for what we need to be able to do today. It's all on us.
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  5. 3/4, noble_serf,Sphaerica isn't the best place to look things like CFC and the Montreal Protocol? Other places industry and government have got its act together; - The ITU - global spectrum management, telecoms protocols. - Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (only a few rogues) - international shipping (most national waters respected) we're perfectly up to the job... when the interests of people, the markets and vested interests line up. It's a question of getting big-oil/coal to adjust their business plans... if they weren't so short-termist and wanted their businesses to last 100s rather than 10s of years... they might be happy with emissions reductions.
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  6. noble_serf: The US space program (Apollo) was hardly a small group effort: At its peak, the Apollo program employed 400,000 people and required the support of over 20,000 industrial firms and universities. For another, look at the Netherland's response to catastrophic flooding in the 1950s.
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