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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #29, 2021

Posted on 22 July 2021 by doug_bostrom

103 articles

Physical science of climate change, effects

Three flavors of radiative feedbacks and their implications for estimating Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity
Rugenstein & Armour Geophysical Research Letters
Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021gl092983

Observations of climate change, effects

Multi-decadal change in western US nighttime vapor pressure deficit
Chiodi et al. Geophysical Research Letters
10.1029/2021gl092830

Recent changes in the rain regime over the Mediterranean climate region of Israel
Drori et al. Climatic Change
10.1007/s10584

Heat and freshwater changes in the Indian Ocean region
Ummenhofer et al. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
10.1038/s43017

Recent changes in global dryland temperature and precipitation
Daramola & Xu International Journal of Climatology
10.1002/joc.7301

Climate hazards are threatening vulnerable migrants in Indian megacities
Hari et al. Nature Climate Change
Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558

Faster decline and higher variability in the sea ice thickness of the marginal Arctic seas when accounting for dynamic snow cover
Mallett et al. The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc

Changing status of tropical cyclones over the north Indian Ocean
Deshpande et al. Climate Dynamics
10.1007/s00382

Period-Lengthening of the Mindanao Current Variability from the Long-Term Tide Gauge Sea Level Measurements
Chen et al. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
10.1029/2020jc016932

Increase in CO2 uptake capacity in the Arctic Chukchi Sea during summer revealed by satellite-based estimation
Tu et al. Geophysical Research Letters
10.1029/2021gl093844

Contrasting temporal variations in responses of leaf unfolding to daytime and nighttime warming
Wang et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15777

Earlier winter/spring runoff and snowmelt during warmer winters lead to lower summer chlorophyll-a in north temperate lakes
Hrycik et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15797

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

Climate Change Detection and Attribution using observed and simulated Tree-Ring Width
Franke et al.
Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

Surface atmospheric forcing as the driver of long-term pathways and timescales of ocean ventilation
Marzocchi et al. Ocean Science
Open Access pdf 10.5194/os

Global-scale changes to extreme ocean wave events due to anthropogenic warming
Morim et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748

Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and SSPs: a CORDEX-based study
Spinoni et al. International Journal of Climatology
Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.7302

Assessing the impact of climate change on soil erosion in East Africa using a convection-permitting climate model
Chapman et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access pdf 10.1088/1748

Drivers of Twenty-First-Century U.S. Winter Precipitation Trends in CMIP6 Models: A Storyline-Based Approach
Schmidt & Grise Journal of Climate
10.1175/jcli

Recent Trends in Summer Atmospheric Circulation in the North Atlantic/European Region: Is There a Role for Anthropogenic Aerosols?
Dong & Sutton Journal of Climate
Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli

A weighted ensemble of regional climate projections for exploring the spatiotemporal evolution of multidimensional drought risks in a changing climate
Zhang et al. Climate Dynamics
10.1007/s00382

Spatiotemporal characteristics and hydrological implications of downscaled hourly precipitation climate scenarios for South Korea
Lee et al. International Journal of Climatology
10.1002/joc.7300

Distinct Onset mechanisms of Two Subtypes of CP El Niño and Their Changes in Future Warming
Chen et al. Geophysical Research Letters
10.1029/2021gl093707

Future surface temperatures over Europe according to CMIP6 climate projections: an analysis with original and bias-corrected data
Carvalho et al. Climatic Change
10.1007/s10584

Advances in climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

Characteristics of Inherent Coupling Structure of Model Climates
Zhu Journal of Climate
Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli

Sources of uncertainty in multi-model large ensemble projections of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation
McKenna & Maycock
Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10506823.2

Correcting weather and climate models by machine learning nudged historical simulations
Watt-Meyer et al. Geophysical Research Letters
10.1002/essoar.10505959.1

Global oscillatory modes in high-end climate modeling and reanalyses
Feliks et al. Climate Dynamics
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382

Climatological Sensitivities of Shallow-Cumulus Bulk Entrainment in Continental and Oceanic Locations
Kirshbaum & Lamer Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
10.1175/jas

Benchmarking Performance Changes in the Simulation of Extratropical Modes of Variability across CMIP Generations
Lee et al. Journal of Climate
10.1175/jcli

The Climatology and the Midwinter Suppression of the Cold-Season North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP6 Models
Yang et al. Journal of Climate
Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli

An Evaluation of CMIP6 Historical Simulations of the Cold Season Teleconnection between Tropical Indo-Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and Precipitation in Southwest Asia, the Coastal Middle East, and Northern Pakistan and India
Barlow et al. Journal of Climate
10.1175/jcli

Cryosphere & climate change

Warm modified Circumpolar Deep Water intrusions drive ice shelf melt and inhibit Dense Shelf Water formation in Vincennes Bay, East Antarctica
Ribeiro et al. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
10.1029/2020jc016998

Faster decline and higher variability in the sea ice thickness of the marginal Arctic seas when accounting for dynamic snow cover
Mallett et al. The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc

Brief communication: Thwaites Glacier cavity evolution
Bevan et al. The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc

Inferring permafrost active layer thermal properties from numerical model optimization
Bruin et al. Geophysical Research Letters
10.1029/2021gl093306

Gulf of Alaska ice-marginal lake area change over the Landsat record and potential physical controls
Field et al. The Cryosphere
Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc

Paleoclimate

Deep ocean temperatures through time
Valdes et al. Climate of the Past
Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp

Different trends in Antarctic temperature and atmospheric CO2 during the Last Glacial
Zheng et al. Geophysical Research Letters
10.1002/essoar.10505010.1

Biology & climate change

Elevated atmospheric CO2 adversely affects a dung beetle’s development: another potential driver of decline in insect numbers?
Tocco et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15804

Large variability in response to projected climate and land-use changes among European bumblebee species
Prestele et al. Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.15780

Embedding biodiversity research into climate adaptation policy and practice
Graham et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15770

Distinct interaction effects of warming and anthropogenic input on diatoms and dinoflagellates in an urbanized estuarine ecosystem
Cheung et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15667

Limited thermal acclimation of photosynthesis in tropical montane tree species
Dusenge et al. Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.15790

Poleward shifts in marine fisheries under Arctic warming
Fauchald et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748

Probabilistic assessments of the impacts of compound dry and hot events on global vegetation during growing seasons
Hao et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748

Warm range margin of boreal bryophytes and lichens not directly limited by temperatures
Greiser et al. Journal of Ecology
10.1111/1365

Simplification, not “tropicalization”, of temperate marine ecosystems under ocean warming and acidification
Agostini et al. Global Change Biology
Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.15749

(provisional link) Snowmelt timing acts independently and in conjunction with temperature accumulation to drive subalpine plant phenology
10.1111/gcb.15803

Contrasting temporal variations in responses of leaf unfolding to daytime and nighttime warming
Wang et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15777

GHG sources & sinks, flux

The CO2 integral emission by the megacity of St Petersburg as quantified from ground-based FTIR measurements combined with dispersion modelling
Ionov et al. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp

Unrecognized threat to global soil carbon by a widespread invasive species
O’Bryan et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15769

Responses of soil N2O emissions and their abiotic and biotic drivers to altered rainfall regimes and co-occurring wet N deposition in a semi-arid grassland
Shi et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15792

Spatiotemporal variability and origin of CO2 and CH4 tree stem fluxes in an upland forest
Barba et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15783

Disproportionate microbial responses to decadal drainage on a Siberian floodplain
Kwon et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15785

Effects of clear-fell harvesting on soil CO2, CH4, and N2O fluxes in an upland Sitka spruce stand in England
Yamulki et al. Biogeosciences
Open Access pdf 10.5194/bg

Fluxes of carbon dioxide from managed ecosystems estimated by national inventories compared to atmospheric inverse modelling
Chevallier Geophysical Research Letters
Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021gl093565

Increase in CO2 uptake capacity in the Arctic Chukchi Sea during summer revealed by satellite-based estimation
Tu et al. Geophysical Research Letters
10.1029/2021gl093844

Greenhouse gas emissions from Mediterranean agriculture: Evidence of unbalanced research efforts and knowledge gaps
Aguilera et al. Global Environmental Change
Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102319

Intensified Soil Moisture Extremes Decrease Soil Organic Carbon Decomposition: A Mechanistic Modeling Analysis
Liang et al. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences
10.1029/2021jg006392

Divergent responses of primary production to increasing precipitation variability in global drylands
Hou et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15801

Hot moments drive extreme nitrous oxide and methane emissions from agricultural peatlands
Anthony & Silver Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15802

Factors that impact greenhouse gas emissions in Saudi Arabia: Decomposition analysis using LMDI
Alajmi Energy Policy
10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112454

Thermal optima of gross primary productivity are closely aligned with mean air temperatures across Australian wooded ecosystems
Bennett et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15760

Leveraging observed soil heterotrophic respiration fluxes as a novel constraint on global-scale models
Jian et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15795

Important constraints on soil organic carbon formation efficiency in subtropical and tropical grasslands
Mitchell et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15807

CO2 removal & mitigation science & engineering

Revealing the widespread potential of forests to increase low level cloud cover
Duveiller et al. Nature Communications
Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467

Manure application in managed grasslands can contribute to soil organic carbon sequestration: evidence from field experiments across Japan
Matsuura et al. Regional Environmental Change
10.1007/s10113

Agroforestry trade-offs between biomass provision and aboveground carbon sequestration in the alpine Eisenwurzen region, Austria
Bertsch-Hoermann et al. Regional Environmental Change
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113

Aerosols

The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth System Models
Zhang et al.
Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp

Recent Trends in Summer Atmospheric Circulation in the North Atlantic/European Region: Is There a Role for Anthropogenic Aerosols?
Dong & Sutton Journal of Climate
Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli

Decarbonization

The importance of temporal resolution in modeling deep decarbonization of the electric power sector
Bistline Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748

Climate change communications & cognition

Knowledge generation via social-knowledge network co-evolution: 30 years (1990–2019) of adaptation, mitigation and transformation related to climate change
Baggio Climatic Change
10.1007/s10584

Cultural determinants of climate change opinion: familism predicts climate beliefs and policy support among US Latinos
Pearson et al. Climatic Change
10.1007/s10584

Framing “nature-based” solutions to climate change
Osaka et al. WIREs Climate Change
10.1002/wcc.729

Perceived responsibility towards future generations and environmental concern: Convergent evidence across multiple outcomes in a large, nationally representative sample
Syropoulos & Markowitz Journal of Environmental Psychology
10.1016/j.jenvp.2021.101651

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

Can cropland management practices lower net greenhouse emissions without compromising yield?
Shang et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15796

Negative relationship between dry matter intake and the temperature-humidity index with increasing heat stress in cattle: a global meta-analysis
Chang-Fung-Martel et al. International Journal of Biometeorology
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00484

On the evaluation of heterogeneous climate change impacts on US agriculture: does group membership matter?
Cai & Dall’Erba Climatic Change
10.1007/s10584

Quantifying carbon budget, crop yields and their responses to environmental variability using the ecosys model for U.S. Midwestern agroecosystems
Zhou et al. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108521

Poleward shifts in marine fisheries under Arctic warming
Fauchald et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748

Co-producing climate information services with smallholder farmers in the Lower Bengal Delta: How forecast visualization and communication support farmers’ decision-making
Kumar et al. Climate Risk Management
Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100346

Greenhouse gas emissions from Mediterranean agriculture: Evidence of unbalanced research efforts and knowledge gaps
Aguilera et al. Global Environmental Change
Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102319

Non-climatic stressors constraining adaptation to drought in rice-farming communities in the Philippines
Manalo IV et al. Climate and Development
10.1080/17565529.2021.1949571

Hot moments drive extreme nitrous oxide and methane emissions from agricultural peatlands
Anthony & Silver Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15802

Manure application in managed grasslands can contribute to soil organic carbon sequestration: evidence from field experiments across Japan
Matsuura et al. Regional Environmental Change
10.1007/s10113

Agroforestry trade-offs between biomass provision and aboveground carbon sequestration in the alpine Eisenwurzen region, Austria
Bertsch-Hoermann et al. Regional Environmental Change
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113

Significant reductions in crop yields from air pollution and heat stress in the United States
Liu & Desai Earth's Future
Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021ef002000

Hydrology & climate change

River flooding in a changing climate: rainfall-discharge trends, controlling factors, and susceptibility mapping for the Mahi catchment, Western India
Das & Scaringi Natural Hazards
10.1007/s11069

Simultaneous flood risk analysis and its future change among all the 109 class-A river basins in Japan using a large ensemble climate simulation database d4PDF
Tanaka et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748

Climate change economics

Do high electricity bills undermine public support for renewables? Evidence from the European Union
Aklin Energy Policy
10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112400

Quantifying stranded assets of the coal-fired power in China under the Paris Agreement target
Zhang et al. Climate Policy
10.1080/14693062.2021.1953433

Assessment of the regional and sectoral economic impacts of heat-related changes in labor productivity under climate change in China
Liu et al. Earth's Future
Open Access pdf 10.1029/2021ef002028

Climate change mitigation public policy research

An emerging GHG estimation approach can help cities achieve their climate and sustainability goals
Mueller et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748

Are we at risk of an uneven low-carbon transition? Assessing evidence from a mixed-method elite study
Eicke & Goldthau Environmental Science & Policy
10.1016/j.envsci.2021.07.009

Concept of climate-charged airspaces: a potential policy instrument for internalizing aviation's climate impact of non-CO2 effects
Niklaß et al. Climate Policy
Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2021.1950602

A mixed-effect model approach for assessing land-based mitigation in integrated assessment models: A regional perspective
Diniz Oliveira et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15738

Exploring carbon footprint reduction pathways through urban lifestyle changes: a practical approach applied to Japanese cities
Koide et al. Environmental Research Letters
Open Access 10.1088/1748

Rights-based approaches to climate decision-making
Jodoin et al. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
10.1016/j.cosust.2021.06.004

(provisional link) Climate solutions to meet the suburban surge: leveraging COVID-19 recovery to enhance suburban climate governance
10.1080/14693062.2021.1949259

Climate change impacts on human health

Thermal limits in the face of infectious disease: How important are pathogens?
Hector et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15761

Combining socio-economic and climate projections to assess heat risk
Landreau et al. Climatic Change
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584

Impact of Temperature on Physical and Mental Health: Evidence from China
Yang et al. Weather, Climate, and Society
10.1175/wcas

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

Projections of salt intrusion in a mega-delta under climatic and anthropogenic stressors
Eslami et al. Communications Earth & Environment
Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247

Economic evaluation of sea-level rise adaptation strongly influenced by hydrodynamic feedbacks
Hummel et al. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Open Access pdf 10.1073/pnas.2025961118

Exploring the interactions between vulnerability, resilience and adaptation to extreme temperatures
Nunes Natural Hazards
Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11069

A GIS-based Screening Method to Identify Climate Change-Related Threats on Road Networks: A Case Study from Sweden
Johnsson & Balstrøm Climate Risk Management
Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100344

Embedding biodiversity research into climate adaptation policy and practice
Graham et al. Global Change Biology
10.1111/gcb.15770

Multilevel governance in climate change adaptation in Bangladesh: structure, processes, and power dynamics
Ishtiaque et al. Regional Environmental Change
10.1007/s10113

How does climate change adaptation policy in India consider gender? An analysis of 28 state action plans
Singh et al. Climate Policy
10.1080/14693062.2021.1953434

Climate change risks to human development in sub-Saharan Africa: a review of the literature
Dickerson et al. Climate and Development
10.1080/17565529.2021.1951644

Other

A Record-Breaking Trans-Atlantic African Dust Plume Associated with Atmospheric Circulation Extremes in June 2020
Pu & Jin Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams

Interannual variability and climatic sensitivity of global wildfire activity
Tang et al. Advances in Climate Change Research
Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2021.07.001

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

(provisional link) Extinction: a Very Short Introduction (book review)

 


Obtaining articles wihout journal subscriptions

We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as "On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article's relevance and importance. 

  • Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate
  • The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you're interested in an article title and it is not listed here as "open access," be sure to check the link anyway. 

How is New Research assembled?

Most articles appearing here are found via  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance. 

Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database. 

The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:

  • Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a "yes" to this automatically. 
  • Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week's 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.

A few journals offer public access to "preprint" versions of articles for which the review process is not yet complete. As it is the journal's decision to do so, we respect that and include such items in New Research. These are flagged as "preprint."

The section "Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives" includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of "perspectives," observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.

Articles are presented with a title link via the original publisher URL so as to preserve provenance information, and when (usually) available, a more permanent DOI link. When a publicly accessible PDF version of an article is found, a direct link is provided.

Suggestions

Please let us know if you're aware of an article you think may be of interest for Skeptical Science research news, or if we've missed something that may be important. Send your input to Skeptical Science via our contact form.

Journals covered

A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.

Previous edition

The previous edition of Skeptical Science New Research may be found here.

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