2018 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #21
Posted on 26 May 2018 by John Hartz
Editor's Pick
Climate change may lead to bigger atmospheric rivers
In early 2017, the Western United States experienced rain and flooding from a series of storms flowing to America on multiple streams of moist air, each individually known as an atmospheric river. Image credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech
A new NASA-led study shows that climate change is likely to intensify extreme weather events known as atmospheric rivers across most of the globe by the end of this century, while slightly reducing their number.
The new study projects atmospheric rivers will be significantly longer and wider than the ones we observe today, leading to more frequent atmospheric river conditions in affected areas.
"The results project that in a scenario where greenhouse gas emissions continue at the current rate, there will be about 10 percent fewer atmospheric rivers globally by the end of the 21st century," said the study's lead author, Duane Waliser, of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California. "However, because the findings project that the atmospheric rivers will be, on average, about 25 percent wider and longer, the global frequency of atmospheric river conditions — like heavy rain and strong winds — will actually increase by about 50 percent."
The results also show that the frequency of the most intense atmospheric river storms is projected to nearly double.
Atmospheric rivers are long, narrow jets of air that carry huge amounts of water vapor from the tropics to Earth's continents and polar regions. These "rivers in the sky" typically range from 250 to 375 miles (400 to 600 kilometers) wide and carry as much water — in the form of water vapor — as about 25 Mississippi Rivers. When an atmospheric river makes landfall, particularly against mountainous terrain (such as the Sierra Nevada and the Andes), it releases much of that water vapor in the form of rain or snow.
These storm systems are common — on average, there are about 11 present on Earth at any time. In many areas of the globe, they bring much-needed precipitation and are an important contribution to annual freshwater supplies. However, stronger atmospheric rivers — especially those that stall at landfall or that produce rain on top of snowpack — can cause disastrous flooding.
Atmospheric rivers show up on satellite imagery, including in data from a series of actual atmospheric river storms that drenched the U.S. West Coast and caused severe flooding in early 2017.
Climate change may lead to bigger atmospheric rivers by Esprit Smith, NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, May 24, 2018
Links posted on Facebook
Sun May 20, 2018
- New research, May 7-13, 2018 by Ari Jokimäki, Skeptical Science, May 18, 2018
- Carbon Capture, the Vacuum Cleaner the Climate Needs by Eric Roston, Bloomberg News, May 18, 2018
- Toxic Algae Blooms Occurring More Often, May Be Caught in Climate Change Feedback Loop by Georgina Gustin, InsideClimate News, May 15, 2018
- Adaptable and driven by renewable energy, saildrones voyage into remote waters by Cody Sullivan, NOAA's climate.gov, May 16, 2018
- Humans are causing massive changes in the location of water around the world, NASA says by Chris Mooney, Energy & Environment, Washington Post, May 16, 2018
- Big investors pressure oil companies on climate change by Kelly Gilblom, Bloomberg News/Houston Chronicle, May 18, 2018
- Can the San Francisco Bay Be Saved From the Sea? by Elizabeth Rush, The Atlantic, May 17, 2018
- Sagar Pounds Somalia; New Cyclone May Threaten Oman by Bob Henson, Category 6, Weather Underground, May 20, 2018
Mon May 21, 2018
- Do falling rocks cause sea level rise? Science weighs in, Opinion by Don Lincoln, CNN, May 20, 2018
- Friend of Mike Pence and a Coal-Funded Lawyer Form 'Accountability' Group to Attack Climate Lawsuits by Graham Readfern, DeSmog, May 15, 2018
- Shell faces shareholder challenge over climate change approach by Adam Vaughan, Business, Guardian, May 20, 2018
- National parks report on climate change finally released, uncensored by Elizabeth Shogren. Reveal, May 18, 2018
- Analysis: How ‘natural climate solutions’ can reduce the need for BECCS by Zeke Hausfather, Carbon Brief, May 21, 2018
- Wall Street Journal commentary grossly misleads readers about science of sea level rise, Edited by Emmanuel M Vincent, Climate Feedback, May 18, 2018
- Yes, EVs are green and global warming is raising sea levels by Dana Nuccitelli, Climate Consensus - the 97%, Environment, Guardian, May 21, 2018
- Norfolk Wants to Remake Itself as Sea Level Rises, but Who Will Be Left Behind? by Nicholas Kusnetz, InsideClimate News, May 21, 2018
Tue May 22, 2018
- The hidden carbon cost of everyday products by Kai Whiting & Luis Gabriel Carmona, The Conversation UK, May 21, 2018
- Del Mar considers unpopular 'planned retreat' strategy due to rising sea level by Phil Diehl, Los Angeles Times, May 20, 2018
- Trump Administration Joins Fossil Fuel Companies in Climate Fight Against Cities by David Hasemyer, InsideClimate News, May 21, 2018
- Turning carbon dioxide into rock - forever by Valeria Perasso, BBC News, May 18, 2018
- Research finds dry rivers a 'major driver' of climate change by Dominic Harris, Environment, Stuff.co.nz, May 21, 2018
- A Warming Climate May Produce More Drug-Resistant Infections by Monique Brouillette. Scientific American, May 21, 2018
- How the “Carbon Budget” Is Causing Problems by Chelsea Harvey, E&E News/Scientific American, May 22, 2018
- Meet NASA’s New Dynamic Duo: A Pair of Climate Change-Tracking Satellites by Julissa Treviño, Smithsonian, May 22, 2018
Wed May 23, 2018
- Australia 'seven years' behind other nations as electric car sales leap by Peter Hannam, Sydney Morning Herald, May 22, 2018
- ‘Climate Change Is Real,’ Carmakers Tell White House in Letter by Ryan Beene, Bloomberg News, May 21, 2018
- We can't fight climate change without tackling agriculture emissions by Bob McDonald, CBC News, May 20, 2018
- A building El Niño in 2018 signals more extreme weather for 2019 by Eric Holthaus, Grist, May 22, 2018
- Global warming made Hurricane Harvey more destructive by John Abraham, Climate Consensus - the 97%, Environment, Guardian, May 23, 2018
- In an internal memo, the White House considered whether to simply ‘ignore’ federal climate research by Chris Mooney & Juliet Eilperin, Energy & Environment, May 23, 2018
- 'Vicious' right-wing politics fueling climate denial in Alberta, says environment minister Phillips by Carl Meher, Race Against Climate Change, National Observer, May 22, 2018
- North Carolina Wind Power Hangs in the Balance Amid Natural Security Debate by James Bruggers, InsideClimate News, May 23, 2018
Thu May 24, 2018
- A Natural Climate Change Adaptation Laboratory in Brazil by Mario Osava, Inter Press Service (IPS), May 22, 2018
- World Needs to Set Rules for Geoengineering Experiments, Experts Say by Chelsea Harvey, E&E News/Scientific American, May 23, 2018
- Climate change 'will make rice less nutritious' by Nicola Davis, Environment, Guardian, May 23, 2018
- Florida Cities Are Most at Risk From Climate Change, Report Says by Amanda Albright & Danielle, Bloomberg News, May 22, 2018
- Pruitt’s Anti-Climate Agenda Is Facing New Challenge From Science Advisers by Marianne Lavelle, InsideClimate News, May 23, 2018
- Don’t shift the goalposts of Paris Agreement’s temperature limits, Guest Post by Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Joeri Rogelj & Matthias Mengel, Carbon Brief, May 22, 2018
- What About Gravity? WSJ Readers Respond to Denialist Pseudoscience, Climate Denial Crock of the Week with Peter Sinclair, May 22, 2018
- Strict curbs on global warming would buoy world economy -study by Alister Doyle, Reuters, May 23, 2018
Fri May 25, 2018
- Climate Science websites around the world by BaerbelW, Skeptical Science, May 24, 2018
- We can't see a future': group takes EU to court over climate change by Daniel Boffey, Environment, Guardian, May 24, 2018
- Cyclone Mekunu an Increasingly Serious Threat for Oman, Yemen by Bob Henson, Category 6, Weather Underground, May 24, 2018
- Netherlands Works to Overturn Landmark Urgenda Climate Ruling by Ucilia Wang, Climate Liability News, May 24, 2018
- Unmapped roads raise risk to Southeast Asian rainforests - study by Michael Taylor, Thomson Reuters Foundation, May 25, 2018
- Federal Judge Grants Discovery in Two California Climate Cases by Amy Westervelt, Climate Liability News, May 24, 2018
- Climate change may lead to bigger atmospheric rivers by Esprit Smith, NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, May 24, 2018
Sat May 26, 2018
- Giant canyons discovered in Antarctica by Jonathan Amos, BBC News, May 24, 2018
- Lakes emit more methane as they evaporate by Tim Radford, Climate News Network, May 24, 2018
- Meet the microgrid, the technology poised to transform electricity by David Roberts & Alvin Chang, Energy & Environment, Vox, May 24, 2018
- Tropical Cyclone Mekunu Making Historic Category 3 Landfall Near Salalah, Oman With Life-Threatening Flooding, Destructive Winds, Storm Surge, The Weather Channel, May 25, 2018
- Climate change in the United States presented in 123 red, white and blue stripes by Jason Samenow, Capital Weather Gang, Washington Post, May 24, 2018
- Scientist Schools Congressmen on Climate by Vanessa Schipani, FactCheck.org, May 25, 2018
- Emails show cooperation among EPA, climate-change deniers by Ellen Knickmeyer, AP/Washington Post, May 25, 2018
- What Is Kilauea’s Impact on the Climate? by Emily Atkin, The New Republic, May 26, 2018
It seems mysterious why tar sand oil is minded in the first place, given its such a low quality, high extraction cost, environmentally devastating resource. I found some brief background on Canadas tar sands and environmental impacts here, and a history of extraction, export strategies, and pipelines controversies here.
It appears the primary reasons for mining tar sands are that Canada has huge reserves of tar sands, so is influenced by this , and has close ties with the American market, and oil and fuel products comprise approximately 20 % of Canadas exports, so there's already a large inbuilt dependency .
But it seems to me like Canada has taken a huge long term gamble that demand will continue be sufficient to pay for the high capital costs, and this goes against climate policies in its export countries to reduce oil consumption that are likely to increase, and cheap oil resulting from fracking in the USA.
This tar sand oil is only truly economic at $100 barrel, and this figure fluctuates wildly. The boom and bust oil cycle leads to swings in the Canadian curreny value that hurt their substantial manufacturing sector. Canada also gives the oil industry three billion dollars each year in subsidies here so its artificially propped up.
The environmental impacts are huge, off the scale.
Its like Canada has made a deal with the devil.